Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09GUAYAQUIL231
2009-11-18 19:31:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Consulate Guayaquil
Cable title:  

REPORT ON ECUADOR'S ENERGY SHORTAGE

Tags:  ENRG ECON EINV EC 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0018
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHGL #0231 3221931
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 181931Z NOV 09
FM AMCONSUL GUAYAQUIL
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0056
INFO RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA
RUEHGL/AMCONSUL GUAYAQUIL
RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA
C O N F I D E N T I A L GUAYAQUIL 000231 

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 2019/11/18
TAGS: ENRG ECON EINV EC
SUBJECT: REPORT ON ECUADOR'S ENERGY SHORTAGE

REF: QUITO 1110; QUITO 1080

DERIVED FROM: DSCG 05-1 (B),(D)

C O N F I D E N T I A L GUAYAQUIL 000231

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 2019/11/18
TAGS: ENRG ECON EINV EC
SUBJECT: REPORT ON ECUADOR'S ENERGY SHORTAGE

REF: QUITO 1110; QUITO 1080

DERIVED FROM: DSCG 05-1 (B),(D)


1. (SBU) SUMMARY: Due to a drought, the Paute hydroelectric power
plant, which normally provides 30 to 40% of Ecuador's power, is
only meeting about 9% of Ecuador's power demands, causing the
country to experience a nationwide power shortage (ref A). The two
US-owned power generators in the country, Machala Power (owned by
Noble Energy) and Electroquil (owned by Duke Energy) are running
flat out,- however, political and logistical problems are hampering
their efforts. END SUMMARY

Praying for Rain in Paute


2. (U) During the rainy season, the Paute hydroelectric plant is
capable of producing up to 40% of the 42,000MWh/day demanded by the
Ecuadorian power grid. However, due to an extended drought, it is
currently only producing approximately 3,600MWh/day, or 9% of
demand. Moreover, the water level at the dam is 1.5 meters below
the acceptable level to continue operations. Operators fear that
if it does not rain soon the plant will have to close completely.
Although Ecuador's other power plants are trying to make up for the
shortfall, a number of plants are closed for maintenance. The
result is a 7,000MWh/day shortfall.

Machala Power and Politics


3. (C) EconOff spoke with the Scott Graham, the manager of Machala
Power's natural gas plant, owned by Texas based Noble Energy, to
get his opinion of the current crisis. Graham affirms that Machala
Power has been running at full capacity since October 6. Their
current capacity is 130MW, thus enabling them to produce
3,120MWh/day assuming no downtime for maintenance. Machala's
original concession with the government obligated them to build
more capacity in three phases: the already complete phase 1 of
130MW; phase 2 at 60MW; and phase 3 at 90MW. However, Machala
Power has had chronic problems getting paid by the GoE and has
therefore not initiated phases 2 and 3, and currently has no plans
to expand (ref B). The GoE sees this as a violation of the terms
of the concession while Machala believes it is not obligated to
continue to invest in the country while it is not getting paid.
Graham has little faith that Machala will be in Ecuador much longer
and expects the company to be nationalized eventually. Given the
rocky relationships Machala Power and its sister subsidiary EDC
have had with the GOE, it is highly unlikely that Machala will
install any more energy generating capacity in the country. In a
November 14 conversation with Econoff, an EDC official said the
company expects the GoE to initiate imminently a "caducity" process
against it to cancel the Noble subsidiary's gas concession, which
it uses to supply the Machala Power plant.

Duke Energy to the Rescue


4. (C) In contrast to Machala Power, Duke Energy-owned Electroquil
has a very good relationship with the Correa regime. Although the
company has had payment problems in the past, they recently
renegotiated their Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) on very favorable
terms. Duke runs four generators located outside of Guayaquil,
with a total capacity of 168MW. However, the company is currently
only running three generators due to a lack of diesel fuel.
According to Electroquil President, Gustavo Larrea, the problem
lies with the GoE's inability to deliver diesel to the plant. The
oil is imported through the port in Esmereldas, located 180km from
Guayaquil. According to Larrea, the government simply does not
have the infrastructure to unload diesel from tanker ships fast
enough. Local newspapers report tanker trucks waiting at the port
all day without being filled.


5. (C) Larrea also noted that the GoE has asked Duke Energy to
increase capacity. The proposed plan is to move three 20MW diesel
generators from Peru to Santa Elena province. Although the
decision has to be made in Duke's boardroom, Larrea is convinced it
will be approved given Duke's pleasure with the recently
renegotiated PPA. Once approved, the generators could be online in
seven to eight months and contribute 60MW capacity to the
Ecuadorian grid. Of course, it should be noted that these new
generators would also be diesel powered, so the GOE will still have
to find a way to import and unload more diesel.
Fernandez