Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09DOHA472
2009-07-27 12:07:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Doha
Cable title:  

AMERICAN OIL & GAS ATTORNEY DOWNPLAYS "GAS OPEC"

Tags:  EPET ENRG ECON QA IR RS 
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VZCZCXRO7127
PP RUEHDE RUEHTRO
DE RUEHDO #0472 2081207
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 271207Z JUL 09
FM AMEMBASSY DOHA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9284
INFO RUCNGEC/GAS EXPORTING COUNTRIES COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L DOHA 000472 

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/25/2019
TAGS: EPET ENRG ECON QA IR RS
SUBJECT: AMERICAN OIL & GAS ATTORNEY DOWNPLAYS "GAS OPEC"

REF: A. DOHA 435

B. DOHA 428

Classified By: Amb Joseph LeBaron for reason 1.4 (b) and (d)

----------
KEY POINTS
----------

-- In a July 23, 2009 meeting with Ambassador, William Cattan
of Dewey & LeBoeuf said Qatar viewed the Gas Exporting
Countries Forum (GECF) as a vehicle for technical
cooperation, not price-fixing.

-- He also noted that Qatar had found a niche as a
non-political supplier of energy supplies.

-- Cattan told the Ambasador that the organization would be
"moderately unctional" over the next few years.

------------
(C) COMMENTS
------------

-- Qatari officils maybe sincere in their present
opposition tothe emergence of the GECF as a natural gas
versin of OPEC.

-- That said, if the natural gas maket suffers a prolonged
downturn, the inceasing incentives to collude may be hard to
ignore, even for Qatar. Given the dependence of Russia,
Iran, and Qatar on their energy resources, it would be
surprising if they did not begin to move in such a direction.

End Key Points and Comments.

C O N F I D E N T I A L DOHA 000472

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/25/2019
TAGS: EPET ENRG ECON QA IR RS
SUBJECT: AMERICAN OIL & GAS ATTORNEY DOWNPLAYS "GAS OPEC"

REF: A. DOHA 435

B. DOHA 428

Classified By: Amb Joseph LeBaron for reason 1.4 (b) and (d)

--------------
KEY POINTS
--------------

-- In a July 23, 2009 meeting with Ambassador, William Cattan
of Dewey & LeBoeuf said Qatar viewed the Gas Exporting
Countries Forum (GECF) as a vehicle for technical
cooperation, not price-fixing.

-- He also noted that Qatar had found a niche as a
non-political supplier of energy supplies.

-- Cattan told the Ambasador that the organization would be
"moderately unctional" over the next few years.

--------------
(C) COMMENTS
--------------

-- Qatari officils maybe sincere in their present
opposition tothe emergence of the GECF as a natural gas
versin of OPEC.

-- That said, if the natural gas maket suffers a prolonged
downturn, the inceasing incentives to collude may be hard to
ignore, even for Qatar. Given the dependence of Russia,
Iran, and Qatar on their energy resources, it would be
surprising if they did not begin to move in such a direction.

End Key Points and Comments.


1. (SBU) During a July 23, 2009 meeting with Ambassador,
William Cattan, a former attorney with Qatar's RasGas,
commented on the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF). His
remarks follow.


2. (C) Cattan told the Ambassador that the GECF was an
organization defined and controlled by its three leading
members -- Russia, Iran, and Qatar. He said that the
conflicting interests of these three countries largely
accounted
for the organization's failure to reach consensus on the most
substantively important issues, such as pricing and selecting
a secretary-general at June's GECF ministerial in Doha (Ref
A). Whereas Russia and Iran favored collusion on prices,
Qatar, maintains Cattan, wanted to limit the GECF to
technical cooperation. (Note: This is consistent with what
Qatar's Energy Minister Abdullah Bin Hamad Al Attiyah told
Ambassador at their June 29 meeting. See Ref B.)


3. (C) Cattan noted that Qatar enjoys a non-political
reputation in its gas sales. While Russia and Iran have used
their energy resources as weapons to pursue other state
objectives, Cattan argued that Qatar had adhered to a policy
of selling to everyone. Cattan told the Ambassador that
Qatar was not modeling its gas industry after Russia's
heavy-handed instrument of state, Gazprom.


4. (C) In this context, Qatar's eagerness to host the
headquarters for the GECF should be seen as an effort to
thwart Russian and Iranian attempts to turn the organization
into a price-fixing apparatus, according to Cattan. Had Doha
not been selected as the headquarters, Moscow or Tehran would
likely have been chosen, he stressed.


5. (C) Asked by Ambassador what lies ahead for the GECF,
Cattan responded that he expects it to muddle along as a
"moderately functional" body for the next few years.
Conceding that the current global downturn in natural gas had
created incentives for price collusion, he nevertheless
maintained that internal divisions over the future of the
organization would prevent the GECF from enhancing
cooperation on prices.
LeBaron