Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09DHAHRAN8
2009-03-02 16:22:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Consulate Dhahran
Cable title:  

SHI'A UNREST CONTINUES TO BUILD AFTER THE MEDINA INCIDENT

Tags:  KDEM KIRF KISL PGOV PHUM PINR PREL PTER SA IR LE 
pdf how-to read a cable
P 021622Z MAR 09
FM AMCONSUL DHAHRAN
TO SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0008
INFO AMEMBASSY BEIRUT PRIORITY 
IRAN COLLECTIVE
GULF COOPERATION COUNCIL COLLECTIVE
ISLAMIC COLLECTIVE
AMCONSUL DHAHRAN
C O N F I D E N T I A L DHAHRAN 000008 


SIPDIS

PASS TO NEA/ARP FOR JOSHUA HARRIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 3/2/2019
TAGS: KDEM KIRF KISL PGOV PHUM PINR PREL PTER SA IR LE
SUBJECT: SHI'A UNREST CONTINUES TO BUILD AFTER THE MEDINA INCIDENT

REF: 09 RIYADH 346, 09 RIYADH 270

CLASSIFIED BY: Joseph Kenny, Consul General, EXEC, DOS.
REASON: 1.4 (b),(d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L DHAHRAN 000008


SIPDIS

PASS TO NEA/ARP FOR JOSHUA HARRIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 3/2/2019
TAGS: KDEM KIRF KISL PGOV PHUM PINR PREL PTER SA IR LE
SUBJECT: SHI'A UNREST CONTINUES TO BUILD AFTER THE MEDINA INCIDENT

REF: 09 RIYADH 346, 09 RIYADH 270

CLASSIFIED BY: Joseph Kenny, Consul General, EXEC, DOS.
REASON: 1.4 (b),(d)


1. (C) Key Points:
--------------

-- The Shi'a clashes with Saudi security forces in Medina in
February have set off a wave of demonstrations, protests, and
calls on the government for justice.

-- Members of the Shi'a communities from the Eastern Province
were involved in the Baqi'a cemetery incident (ref A).

-- Several foreign Shi'a personalities from Lebanon, Iraq, and
Iran have publicly condemned the alleged acts of the Saudi
religious police and security forces in Medina.

-- Around 150 Shi'a leaders went to Riyadh to meet with the King
to discuss the growing frustration among the Shi'a of Saudi
Arabia. King Abdullah did not meet with them.

-- Several Shi'a leaders warned that tempers are rising in their
communities and they are concerned that violence may break out.



2. (C) Comment:
--------------

-- The King's bold cabinet shakeup earlier this year left a sour
taste with the Shi'a as their calls for more representation in
the SAG went largely ignored. The incident in Medina that
followed has only provoked an already restless population.
Though post has not found any evidence that Iran or Hezbollah
orchestrated or instigated the events at Baqi'a cemetery, they
will almost certainly find a more welcoming audience as Saudi
Shi'a frustrations mount. It is evident to post that the calm
and cool heads of the Shi'a mainstream leadership are losing
influence over their communities and are scrambling to maintain
their credibility as legitimate and effective Shi'a
representatives. Post agrees with many of our Shi'a
interlocutors that a meeting between King Abdullah and a number
of prominent Shi'a would go a long way to easing tensions.


3. (C) THE MEDINA SPARK... The clashes between Shi'a pilgrims

and Saudi security forces in Medina that began February 20 (ref
A) have enraged Shi'a communities across the Kingdom. Since the
Medina incident, Shi'a leaders in the Eastern Province (EP) have
been scrambling to calm their communities and call on the King
to take action and address the discrimination against Shi'a in
Saudi Arabia. The Sunni and Shi'a blogospheres have been more
active than usual laying strong accusations against each other,
some more credible than others. One contact from Qatif who was
present in Medina at the time of the incident told PolOff how he
witnessed the harassment and arrest of his teenage nephew by the
religious police over his manner of prayer, highlighting the
instigative and exaggerated behavior of the religious police
towards the Shi'a in Medina.


4. (C) ...STARTS A FIRE IN THE EAST. Medina has captured the
attention of the Shi'a across the Kingdom, especially in the
large Shi'a communities in the EP. In the Shi'a oasis of Qatif
and nearby Safwa, small groups of protesters totaling in the
hundreds took to the streets on Friday, February 27, but were
quickly dispersed by Saudi security forces. Several Shi'a
contacts confirmed reports of gunfire by Saudi security forces
in Qatif, though the shots were fired in the air in order to
disperse the crowds. On Saturday, February 28 some Shi'a
parents in Qatif and al-Ahsa did not send their children to
school in protest of the Medina incident. Participation in this
boycott was not widespread, but some sources said that at
certain schools more than 70% of students were absent. A
handful of smaller protests took place in the EP over the past
couple of weeks and more calls for protests this week have been
made on several blogs. Several residents of Qatif have told
PolOff that since the Medina incident the presence of police and
Saudi security forces has increased in the Shi'a towns of Qatif
and Safwa.


5. (C) FOREIGN INFLUENCE. The Medina impact has even reached
abroad with Lebanon's top Shi'a cleric, Grand Ayatollah Mohammed
Hussein Fadlallah, calling on the SAG to punish the policemen
accused of beating pilgrims. Similar condemnations have been
made by Shi'a clerics in Iran and on an Iraqi website affiliated
with Muqtada al-Sadr. Several prominent Saudi Shi'a have
dismissed suggestions of Iranian or Hezbollah influence or
instigation at Baqi'a cemetery as "Wahabbi propaganda."
However, they welcome the mounting international pressure and
support from anywhere they can get it.


6. (C) PATIENCE IS RUNNING THIN. XXXXXXXXXXXX(protect),an
elected municipal council member and prominent Shi'a leadership
figure, told PolOff that he and other Shi'a leaders are "trying
to reduce tempers" in their respective communities. However, he
warned that "the root for trouble is there" and that the
potential for violence in Saudi could be worse than the
"sectarian violence in Iraq." XXXXXXXXXXXX (protect),a
high-profile Saudi human rights activist, voiced his concerns
that the Shi'a youth will resort to violence unless the SAG
takes action. XXXXXXXXXXXX (protect),a moderately influential
Shi'a sheikh, told PolOff that if the Shi'a leadership does not
meet with the King, then their followers will view them as
having failed. All of the contacts were especially concerned
with the stabbing of the Shi'a Sheikh Jawad al-Jaraadi by
"Wahabbi extremists" in Medina and the fear of future sectarian
attacks going unpunished. These warnings echo previous Dhahran
reporting about increasingly frustrated and restless Shi'a youth
(ref B).


7. (C) SHI'A LEADERS WANT TO MEET WITH THE KING. In an
unprecedented move, about 150 Shi'a community leaders from
Qatif, al-Ahsa, Medina and Najran went to Riyadh to request a
meeting with King Abdullah. They went to discuss the
deteriorating situation between the Shi'a and Sunni communities
and communicate the urgency needed to quell rising tensions.
According to several different high-level Shi'a sources in the
EP, this delegation would have demanded the following
deliverables: 1) the immediate release of all Shi'a arrested
during the events in Medina, 2) a full and independent
investigation into the incidents in Medina and justice for those
who broke any laws, and 3) the appointment of Shi'a to
ministerial positions and the Shura Council. However, sources
said that King Abdullah denied a meeting on the evening of March
1 at which time the delegation departed Riyadh and returned to
their respective communities. Shi'a leaders such as Sheikh
Hassan al-Saffar continue to push to meet with the King.


8. (C) DIVIDED WE STAND. According to one source who was in
Medina at the time, shortly after the incident at the Baqi'a
cemetery, Sheikh Qadim of Medina led a delegation of Shi'a from
al-Ahsa, Qatif, and Medina to meet with Prince Abdulaziz bin
Majed bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, the provincial governor of Medina.
The source noted that this was a sign of the Shi'a uniting
behind this case and believes that this intervention led to the
release of some detainees. However, XXXXXXXXXXXX told
PolOff that in reality the Saudi Shi'a remain divided among
regional factions and are pursuing competing agendas and
interests. He noted that even the delegation that went to
Riyadh did not speak with one voice, which he remarked is only
helping the SAG in their efforts to "divide and conquer" the
Shi'a.


KENNY