Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09ASMARA366
2009-10-21 06:04:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Asmara
Cable title:  

ISAIAS WOOS EGYPT ON SOMALIA

Tags:  PREL PGOV EG ER SO 
pdf how-to read a cable
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C O N F I D E N T I A L ASMARA 000366 

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR AF/E AND NEA
LONDON AND PARIS FOR AFRICA WATCHERS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/18/2019
TAGS: PREL PGOV EG ER SO
SUBJECT: ISAIAS WOOS EGYPT ON SOMALIA

REF: DJIBOUTI 1199

Classified By: Ambassador Ronald K. McMullen for reason 1.4(d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L ASMARA 000366

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR AF/E AND NEA
LONDON AND PARIS FOR AFRICA WATCHERS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/18/2019
TAGS: PREL PGOV EG ER SO
SUBJECT: ISAIAS WOOS EGYPT ON SOMALIA

REF: DJIBOUTI 1199

Classified By: Ambassador Ronald K. McMullen for reason 1.4(d).


1. (C) Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit and
Director of the Egyptian General Intelligence Service Omar
Suleiman met with President Isaias on October 3 to discuss
Somalia and other regional issues, according to the deputy at
the Egyptian embassy, Hossam Nureldein (protect). FM Gheit's
stopover followed the June visit of FM Osman Saleh and PFDJ
political chief Yemane Ghebreab to Cairo, where they
delivered President Isaias' hand-written invitation to FM
Aboul Gheit to meet with him, Nureldein stated. FM Gheit and
Director Suleiman were in Asmara for approximately three
hours before heading onward to Yemen.


2. (C) The October 3 meeting focused on Eritrea's initiative
on Somalia. Isaias wants the Arab League, Egypt, Qatar,
Yemen, and Saudi Arabia in particular, to propose a "regional
initiative" that has been crafted by the GSE. The new
strategy entails "less emphasis on Mogadishu" and more on
bringing other actors to the table (Note: this is consistent
with the GSE's position on Somalia and wanting to include
Sheikh Aweys, Hizbul Islam, and other elements in the Somali
discussion. End Note). The initiative would also call on
Arab League nations to meet with African countries (Kenya,
Ethiopia, and Djibouti in particular) to pitch the proposal
and gain support. According to Mohamed El Mullah, cabinet
advisor for African Affairs at the Egyptian MFA, the plan
includes a cease-fire, widely inclusive discussions, and
reconciliation. Isaias also stated that he would not
recognize the "illegitimate" TFG as part of the strategy,
according to El Mullah. He also said that Egypt had not
accepted, but was still studying the proposal. Hossam
believes that Isaias is pushing the Arab League to be the
policy leader on this initiative in order to lend the
proposal credibility.


3. (C) Hossam did not comment extensively on Egypt's support
for the proposal. He stated, however, that it is unlikely
the four nations proposed to lead the initiative will agree
to Isaias' plans because Arab nations are dealing with their
own African interests at the moment, such as the implications
for Egypt of South Sudan separating from Khartoum. Hossam
was also amused by Isaias' description of Ethiopia's
involvement in Somalia: "a Christian nation invading a Muslim
nation." Hossam believes Isaias chose these words
specifically to try to incite the Egyptians' ire against
Ethiopia.


4. (C) COMMENT: Given that the AU and IGAD have called for
sanctions against Eritrea, Isaias is left with dwindling
options on the African continent. As an alternative, Isaias
is now seeking partnership from his Middle Eastern friends in
an attempt to legitimize his alternative to the Djibouti
process. If he can get the Arab League to side with him on
Somalia, he will be vindicated for isolating Eritrea from the
rest of the African continent and may be able to use his
Middle Eastern allies/donors/trading partners to lobby
against sanctions.


5. (SBU) This cable was coordinated with Embassy Cairo.
McMULLEN