Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09AITTAIPEI25
2009-01-08 08:18:00
UNCLASSIFIED
American Institute Taiwan, Taipei
Cable title:  

MEDIA REACTION: U.S. AND CROSS-STRAIT RELATIONS

Tags:  OPRC KMDR KPAO TW 
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RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHIN #0025 0080818
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 080818Z JAN 09
FM AIT TAIPEI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0668
INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 8838
RUEHHK/AMCONSUL HONG KONG 0298
UNCLAS AIT TAIPEI 000025

SIPDIS

DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/TC, EAP/PA, EAP/PD - NIDA EMMONS
DEPARTMENT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO TW
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: U.S. AND CROSS-STRAIT RELATIONS

Summary: Taiwan's major Chinese-language dailies focused their
January 8 news coverage on the ongoing probe into former President
Chen Shui-bian's legal case and on Taiwan's sagging economy. In
terms of editorials and commentaries, an op-ed in the
mass-circulation "Apple Daily" discussed the Taiwan policy speech
recently delivered by Chinese President Hu Jintao. The article said
Hu has vigorously embarked on another level of political attack,
with the goals of breaking the bottom line of two noes, which the
United States set for Taiwan in last August, and paving the way for
its ultimate reunification. End summary.

"Mona Lisa Smile of Hu Jintao"

Dr. Emerson Chang, Director of Nan Hua University's Department of
International Studies, opined in the mass-circulation "Apple Daily"
[circulation: 520,000] (1/8):

"...This article maintains that now that [Chinese President] Hu
[Jintao] has achieved the three cross-Strait links and peace talks
between the KMT and the Chinese Communist Party, and dealt a heavy
blow against [the campaign for] Taiwan independence, he has
vigorously embarked on another level of political attack with the
goals of breaking the bottom line of the two noes that the United
States set for Taiwan and paving the way for ultimate reunification.
The reasons are listed below:

"First, in terms of the barriers to [China's] peaceful
reunification, given that the Taiwan independence force has now
suffered a setback, how to deal with its relations with big nations
has become Beijing's top priority. In order to solve this problem,
Beijing must first break through the two noes bottom line that the
United States has set for Ma Ying-jeou in dealing with cross-Strait
relations -- namely, 'there should be no hint that China has
sovereignty over Taiwan, and that Beijing cannot have the final say
regarding any of Taiwan's activities in the international
community.' To do that, in his latest definition of cross-Strait
relations, Hu asserted that both sides of the Taiwan Strait are of a
status of separate, rather than split governance (referring to
governing power rather than sovereignty). Hu has further advocated
that 'both sides of the Taiwan Strait will return to unification,
which is not to restructure sovereignty or territory but to end the
political confrontation.' His reason for doing so is to rule out
[the possibility of] dealing with cross-Strait relations using the
German or Korean models. Namely, when it comes to the ultimate
resolution of the Taiwan issue, he wants to eliminate interference
from external forces, that is, the model of 'restraining Taiwan via
the United States.' Through direct negotiations between the two
sides of the Taiwan Strait, he wants to exclude the need for
interference from Washington so as to achieve his so-called 'new
starting point in history.' ...

"In other words, Hu may say yes to Ma's various essential requests,
but for form's sake, they have to go through formal negotiations
between the two sides, and formal statements must be issued so as to
confirm to the international community the principal and subordinate
relationship between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait. His goal
is to not only pave the way for peaceful unification but also
prevent Taiwan from joining hands with the United States to push for
Taiwan independence after the island has succeeded in expanding its
international space and acquired a peace agreement [with Beijing].
...

"Given such requests, Ma is now facing a dilemma: Namely, he will
surely have to face a backlash from the United States and the Green
camp should it proactively begin formal negotiations [with China].
But he will definitely be criticized by China and the Blue camp if
he decides to wait passively. Since Hu has already acquired
bargaining chips such as the three links, and since the U.S.
government is now facing a transfer of power and the financial
tsunami, Ma's card of tilting toward the United States and [being]
pro-China has not generated the outcome of winning advantages from
both sides as he originally expected. Instead, he is now caught in
acrossfire and an awkward situation of no substance. ..." [Ed. Note:
The "two noes," defined above, were an invention that the "Liberty
Times" attributed to AIT Chairman Raymond Burghardt. Chairman
Burghardt never actually articulated the so-called "two noes," and
the State Department has officially characterized the "Liberty
Times" report on the subject as "false."

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