Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08USOSCE98
2008-04-16 16:28:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Mission USOSCE
Cable title:  

CFE: APRIL 15 JCG PLENARY, RUSSIA SAYS TOI WORK IS

Tags:  KCFE OSCE PARM PREL 
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VZCZCXYZ0000
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHVEN #0098/01 1071628
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 161628Z APR 08
FM USMISSION USOSCE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5646
INFO RUCNCFE/CONVENTIONAL ARMED FORCES IN EUROPE
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RUEKJCS/DIA WASHDC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
RUEASWA/DTRA ALEX WASHINGTON DC//OSAE
RUESDT/DTRA-OSES DARMSTADT GE
RHMFISS/CDR USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5-DDPMA-IN/CAC/DDPMA-E//
RUEAHQA/HQ USAF WASHINGTON DC//XONP//
UNCLAS USOSCE 000098 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR VCI/CCA, EUR/RPM
NSC FOR DOWLEY
JCS FOR J5 NORWOOD
OSD FOR ISA (PERENYI)

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KCFE OSCE PARM PREL
SUBJECT: CFE: APRIL 15 JCG PLENARY, RUSSIA SAYS TOI WORK IS
WASTE OF TIME

REF: USOSCE 87

Sensitive but Unclassified; please protect accordingly. Not
for Internet.

UNCLAS USOSCE 000098

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR VCI/CCA, EUR/RPM
NSC FOR DOWLEY
JCS FOR J5 NORWOOD
OSD FOR ISA (PERENYI)

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KCFE OSCE PARM PREL
SUBJECT: CFE: APRIL 15 JCG PLENARY, RUSSIA SAYS TOI WORK IS
WASTE OF TIME

REF: USOSCE 87

Sensitive but Unclassified; please protect accordingly. Not
for Internet.


1. (SBU) SUMMARY: At the April 15 Joint Consultative
Group (JCG),Germany and Russia exchanged opposing views
stemming from Russia,s refusal to accept Germany's April 8
inspection notice. Belarus said that despite the 28 March NAC
statement,s positive tone, it does not solve the problems
related to ratification of the a/CFE. He suggested the only
way to restore the viability of the CFE regime is for all
states to ratify the a/CFE as soon as possible. The JCG
adopted the decision on the length of the session, with the
last plenary to be held on July 22, and the first plenary of
the fall on September 9. At the Treaty Operations and
Implementation (TOI) working group following the plenary,
Russia backed away from its approach in recent weeks to TOI
work. Instead, it made a strong statement that asserted it
is a waste of time to discuss any implementation issues for
the current Treaty since it is obsolete. Russia says we
should deal with more serious matters, like how to get a/CFE
to enter into force. End summary.


2. (SBU) Belarus (Pavlov) was first to intervene at the
Plenary with a statement recalling the previous week,s
discussion related to the March 28 NAC statement on CFE
(JCG.DEL/14/08). Belarus has taken note of the NAC
statement, and despite its positive tone and many provisions,
it does not solve the problems for NATO states to ratify
a/CFE. The only way it is possible to restore the viability
of the CFE regime is ratification by all States Parties. He
drew particular attention to paragraph 6 of the NAC statement
that indicates the current situation cannot continue
indefinitely. Non-entry into force of a/CFE will lead to a
complete failure of European security. Belarus encouraged
all states to ratify a/CFE as soon as possible.

Shall we dance?
--------------


3. (SBU) Similar to the U.S. and Polish statements last
week (Ref A),Germany (Richter) made a statement regretting
Russia, rejection of its April 8 notification requesting an

inspection beginning on April 15. Germany intends to
maintain all its duties, including information exchanges
under CFE despite Russia,s unilateral suspension of the
Treaty. He made clear Germany,s wish to counter the danger
of further erosion of the Treaty, by Russia or others.
Germany will discourage others from eroding the Treaty, which
is an anchor for stability and European security. Germany
will try its "level best" to overcome the current situation.
The parallel actions package offers the best approach to
address Russian concerns. The NAC statement makes it clear
that Allies will meet the requirements to make a/CFE possible
through the parallel action package. Now it is up to Russia
to take action, to end its suspension, to take up the package
and bring this situation to an end. (see Journal
JCG.JOUR/658).


4. (SBU) Russia (Ulyanov) responded calmly by noting he
has already had the occasion to explain three times why it is
no longer possible for Russia to accept such inspections and
why it will continue to refuse them. He did not want to take
our time by repeating his previous remarks, and if raised
again, he reserved the right to refrain from responding yet
again. Russia understands Germany,s concerns and feelings
about erosion of the CFE, but the best way to avoid erosion
is to engage in an intense dialogue ) whether bilteral, in
the JCG, or NATO. Russian appeals for dialogue in the JCG
have not produced much in the way of results. As to ways to
save CFE, nothing prevents NATO states to set about ratifying
a/CFE now. The outstanding issues related to Moldova ad
Georgia have no bearing on ratification and ar purely
dictated by political considerations. Tis is an erroneous
approach and Russia appeals aain for substantive discussion
necessary for a/CE ratification.



5. (SBU) Based on Russia,s response, Germany pointed out
that there is a written package on the table endorsed by all
NATO states. When such a package is offered, it is fair to
expect a response. Russia has made clear it is studying the
proposal. When can we expect a response from Russia to
NATO,s proposal? Ulyanov professed not to understand the
question, noting the package has been under consideration for
some time, at least from October 12 last year. In fact, the
package has many Russian proposals, not just NATO or U.S.
ideas. These were discussed in Washington in February, and
in Moscow on March 19, and the next meeting has not yet been
decided. The document under consideration has lots of
brackets, and lots of it has not been agreed to. Reaching
agreement on all aspects will be difficult and could take
quite awhile.


6. Although the U.S. did not speak at the meeting, afterwards
Russia (Ulyanov) referred to Germany's statement and quietly
asked the U.S. (Neighbour) if we believed it would be useful
for Russia to provide a detailed response to the NAC
statement of March 28 in the JCG. USDel replied that NATO
had a set of constructive proposals on the table; the logical
Russian response would be to take them seriously and work
cooperatively to reach closure on them in bilateral talks.
He said this would be going far beyond the generalities in
the Russian MFA statement. Neighbour cautioned that the JCG
was not the place to negotiate the parallel package, that we
will not engage there in the details and it would be
counter-productive to the bilateral track. Ulyanov said he
accepted that position, but asked that we pass his question
to capital, i.e., whether a Russian response in the JCG in
detail to elements of the NAC statement could be helpful.

TOI Story
--------------


7. (SBU) At the TOI meeting following the plenary, the
Lists of Notifications and Formats (JCG.TOI/23/07/Rev2) was
agreed as a reference document, but further discussion of TOI
issues was essentially blocked after Russia highjacked the
meeting at agenda item 6 (Consolidated Matrix 2008). Russia
claimed that this document is not an official document of the
JCG, has never been adopted nor agreed, and was merely the
initiative of one delegation (Germany) to be used as a
reference document. Russian rep (Solomenko) said the agenda
for this meeting should only deal with CFE business, but
since Russia is not applying the CFE Treaty anymore, it
cannot be involved in "minor updates" to a Treaty that is
"obsolete." It is a waste of time to discuss such items, and
we should deal with more serious matters such as how a/CFE
can enter into force and how we can ensure all can enforce
the obligations under a/CFE. Russia asked that this item be
removed from the agenda, and in the future we should only
work on a/CFE issues.


8. (SBU) USDel (Claus) responded, supporting the Chair's
work and Germany's efforts, calling the Consolidated Matrix a
very useful document in support of JCG discussions. USDel
also noted that work on current TOI issues (e.g., POET,
costs, aCFE inspection report formats) are necessary to
prepare for entry into force of aCFE. Turkey and Canada
supported the US. Fardellotti, expressing surprise, recalled
that in previous discussions of the Consolidated Matrix
(which has been produced by Germany for several years),all
States had expressed support for the document. (Comment:
Russia may be backtracking on the document because, for the
first time, it does not contain Russian CFE information for
2008 and instead uses derived data. During the April 10
small group meeting, Solomenko was easy to work with and did
not raise any of the above issues. End comment.)


9. (SBU) During discussions after the meeting with the Chair
and the Secretariat, it was agreed to reissue the agreed
Lists of Notifications and Formats document as a 2008 TOI
paper. The Chair will refer to it at the next JCG plenary,
request his comments be entered into the journal, and ask the

JCG whether it should be a draft decision. Regarding the
Consolidated Matrix, Fardellotti will publish it (with U.S.
provided corrections) as a reference document, noting that
all States Parties had an opportunity to comment. The small
group (minus Russia) will meet on April 17 to discuss how
best to engage Russia in the TOI.

AOB
--------------


10. (SBU) Per Ref A, Armenia also provided information on
its national ratification procedures in response to Russia,s
requests for such data. Under Armenian law, international
treaties are subject to ratification. Interagency
coordination is required before receiving approval from the
President and the Constitutional Court. Consultations are
held with parliament, and following parliamentary approval
the Minister of Foreign Affairs informs the depositary of the
ratification. The process can take from 6 months to one year.


11. (SBU) The JCG adopted the decision on the length of the
current session, and start of the fall session. The last
plenary this session will be July 22, and September 9 will be
the opening plenary in the fall. (JCG.DEC/1/08). The next
JCG is on April 22, and will be chaired by Hungary.


12. (SBU) At the JCG-T on April 14, Hungary confirmed that
it will provide a dialogue presentation for the April 29 JCG
plenary on permanent stationing and temporary deployments.
Hungary will pre-brief the JCG-T on April 28. Germany said
it would move its presentation to May 6, rather than April 22
in light of Russia,s plans to discuss ceilings for potential
new Treaty members on that date.
FINLEY