Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08TBILISI1367
2008-08-12 13:57:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Tbilisi
Cable title:  

GEORGIA: GOG REQUEST FOR ASSISTANCE

Tags:  PGOV PHUM GG 
pdf how-to read a cable
R 121357Z AUG 08
FM AMEMBASSY TBILISI
TO SECSTATE WASHDC 9893
INFO EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS TBILISI 001367 

DEPT FOR TASK FORCE ONE, EUR/CARC

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PHUM GG
SUBJECT: GEORGIA: GOG REQUEST FOR ASSISTANCE

UNCLAS TBILISI 001367

DEPT FOR TASK FORCE ONE, EUR/CARC

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PHUM GG
SUBJECT: GEORGIA: GOG REQUEST FOR ASSISTANCE


1. Prime Minister Lado Gurgenidze presented a proposed stabilization
and reconstruction package to us on August 12 on behalf of the
Georgian government. The PM urged the USG to consider a quick,
positive response to the request for a standby facility to bolster
their efforts to ensure liquidity in the financial system and to
send a clear message of USG support for Georgia. He emphasized to
us that the fundamentals of the economy are strong, and they are
managing their way through the crisis. Like many standby
facilities, he thought it would not be used. The PM noted that such
a facility would provide a tangible guarantee to investors and
depositors, and help restore confidence in an economy that has been
a star performer in the past several years and is likely to continue
to be so. He stated without reservation that no other institution -
not the IMF, the WB, nor any other bilateral - could create support
for the Saakashvili government that this type of U.S. support would
provide.


2. The components of the proposal address critical economic or
budget challenges that the GoG faces. The G provided basic
justifications for the proposals, and the PM and his government are
anxious to expand upon them. With the exception of the reinsurance
and IDP facility proposals, the GoG is asking for loans, for which
they are ready to pay nominal fees. They are not asking for hand
outs, but rather, they are asking for our help to help themselves.

Begin Text
--------------
The Georgia Assistance package proposal
USD1 bn standby five-year loan facility to the National Bank of
Georgia

Why: to ensure there is no loss of confidence in the Georgian
banking sector

USD100 mln reinsurance pool for inbound vessels/cargo

Why: beginning from Saturday, as the Russian navy ships were sighted
nearby Poti, many freight forwarders/shipping companies showed
reluctance to ship to our Ports, due to the marked increase in
insurance costs. This facility won't protect us from an out-and-out
blockade or seizure or (obviously) obliteration of our ports, but
would ensure the supplies flow (in and out) during periods of
uncertainty

Key Infrastructure Repo Agreement
Explanation: a list of Key Infrastructure is agreed upon, including
our ports, roads, electricity infrastructure, airports and so on -
both state and private-owned (optional for the private parties, of
course). The US and Georgia enter into an agreement which allows
the owners of this designated infrastructure to transfer the title
to the assets for USD1 to the United States, and repurchase the
assets for the same symbolic price. It is essential we are able to
transfer the title on short notice

Why: a confidence-enhancing measure for our infrastructure
investors/lenders etc. If they opt in, they would be essentially
guaranteed that their assets will not be destroyed during any period
of uncertainty (as it is unimaginable that anyone would knowingly
target the US-owned assets). We have been planning to attract about
USD2 billion of infrastructure investment in the next 2-3 years, it
is essential we are able to do so to support the high GDP growth
rates

USD300 mln highway expansion and rehabilitation loan facility

Why: we have been discussing private funding to complete this. In
the current environment, it will be a while before we can get this
initiative privately funded, so this facility would allow us to
proceed with this important project without delay.

USD100 mln agribusiness & export facilitation three-year loan
facility

Why: the government would on-lend the fund to the agriculture and
export-focused SMEs, in order to alleviate social pressures in rural
areas (50 percent of the population, 10 percent of GDP -
unsustainable) and stimulate exports to improve our balance of
payments. We have started this program on our own in 2008
(Affordable Credit),have disbursed about 30 million Lari to date
(loan sizes range from 10,000 to 1 million Lari),and the program is
very popular. We have both the legislative framework (it's in the
2008 budget law) and disbursement & monitoring infrastructure. The
US loan would allow us to keep the program alive despite the
inevitable budget cuts as the tax revenue collection dips in the
aftermath of the Russian aggression. The loan would be repaid fully
by the Georgian state regardless of the collection rates/performance
of the SME loans.

USD100 mln IDP settlement/assistance facility

Why: We were already stretched in terms of budget assistance to the
IDPs etc. The inevitable dip in the budget revenue will make it
even harder to support them/help settle etc, especially given that
their numbers are likely to increase. We'd appreciate it if this
were a grant, rather than a loan, given its humanitarian nature

Free Trade Agreement

Why: As you are aware, we have one of the freest trade regimes in
the world (no import tariffs or any other restrictions of any kind,
etc),so it's a matter of partner-like reciprocity, and a very
strong political message as well.

END TEXT

TEFFT