Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08TASHKENT146
2008-02-04 08:58:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Tashkent
Cable title:  

UZBEKISTAN TAKES ANOTHER SWIPE AT TAJIKISTAN OVER

Tags:  ENGR EAID PREL TI UZ 
pdf how-to read a cable
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DE RUEHNT #0146/01 0350858
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 040858Z FEB 08
FM AMEMBASSY TASHKENT
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9167
INFO RUEHAH/AMEMBASSY ASHGABAT 3701
RUEHTA/AMEMBASSY ASTANA 9911
RUEHEK/AMEMBASSY BISHKEK 4315
RUEHLM/AMEMBASSY COLOMBO 0177
RUEHKA/AMEMBASSY DHAKA 0182
RUEHDBU/AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE 0193
RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 3906
RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL 2173
RUEHKT/AMEMBASSY KATHMANDU 0265
RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW 7293
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 0851
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 0119
RUEHVEN/USMISSION USOSCE 2300
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
RHMFISS/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL
C O N F I D E N T I A L TASHKENT 000146 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR SCA/CEN, OES/ETC, OES/PCI, OES/STC, EUR/ACE
DOE FOR NNSA,
EPA FOR OFFICE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/04/2018
TAGS: ENGR EAID PREL TI UZ
SUBJECT: UZBEKISTAN TAKES ANOTHER SWIPE AT TAJIKISTAN OVER
HYDROPOWER STATION

REF: A. 07 TASHKENT 1853


B. TASHKENT 114

Classified By: Poloff Steven Prohaska for reasons 1.4 (b, d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L TASHKENT 000146

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR SCA/CEN, OES/ETC, OES/PCI, OES/STC, EUR/ACE
DOE FOR NNSA,
EPA FOR OFFICE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/04/2018
TAGS: ENGR EAID PREL TI UZ
SUBJECT: UZBEKISTAN TAKES ANOTHER SWIPE AT TAJIKISTAN OVER
HYDROPOWER STATION

REF: A. 07 TASHKENT 1853


B. TASHKENT 114

Classified By: Poloff Steven Prohaska for reasons 1.4 (b, d).


1. (C) Summary: The recent publication in Uzbekistan's
state-run press of an article critical of Tajikistan's
hydroelectric power projects, and flagged by President
Karimov in his January 24 meeting with CENTCOM Commander
Admiral Fallon, is the latest move in Uzbekistan's
longstanding efforts to derail the initiative, and is meant
as a signal to international audiences. The article blamed
Tajikistan for inefficient use of existing facilities and
called for a mutually acceptable, environmentally-friendly
solution that does not reduce water levels for downstream
countries. In addition to articles in the press, Uzbekistan
also has urged other countries including China, Russia, and
Kazakhstan to steer clear of investment in Tajikistan's
hydropower projects and threatened to withdraw from
cooperation with the Asian Development Bank if the bank
finances such projects. Uzbek officials have raised their
displeasure with Tajikistan in meetings with U.S. officials
repeatedly over the past two weeks. End summary.


2. (SBU) This cable includes data from official press
reporting, Emboffs' meetings, Embassy files, and the regional
ESTH LES, and has been coordinated with Embassy Dushanbe.


3. (C) In a January 24 article in the state-run newspaper
"Pravda Vostoka," the Director of Uzbekistan's Hydroproject
Institute, Sergey Zhigaryov, criticized Tajikistan's
hydroelectric power projects in Uzbekistan's latest move to
counter a project it perceives as dangerous to Uzbekistan's
national interests. This follows on the heels of President
Karimov's speech on the use of transboundary waters at the
Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit on August 16 and
Uzbekistan's September 4 accession to two United Nations
conventions on the use of international watercourses (ref A).
(Comment: There was no sign that the Shanghai Cooperation
Organization would take up a mediation role on this issue.
End comment.)



4. (SBU) The author noted that the test launch of the first
power unit at the Sangtuda-1 hydroelectric power station in
Tajikistan occurred recently with substantial assistance from
Russia. While acknowledging that Tajikistan's efforts to
expand power production were understandable given power
supply problems in the winter, Zhigaryov cast the blame for
power shortages mainly on Tajkistan's inefficient use of
existing facilities and its increased exports of electricity
to Afghanistan during periods of electricity shortage. (Note:
Tajikistan actually curtails its export of power to
Afghanistan in the winter relative to the summer. Sizable
exports to Afghanistan have not taken place yet. End note.)
Zhigaryov then criticized claims that Sangtuda-1 benefits all
Central Asian nations, stated that 95 percent of Central
Asians depend on farm irrigation, and said that discharging
large amounts of water in the winter has a disastrous effect
on the environment. He stressed the importance of
coordination on hydroelectric projects, and that any
agreement must not reduce the watercourse level for
downstream countries (i.e. Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and
Turkmenistan),and must not threaten the environmental safety
of the region.


5. (SBU) Uzbekistan is the largest water user among the
downstream countries (Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan,
and parts of Afghanistan),and some ninety percent of
Uzbekistan's available water resources stem from neighboring



countries. Uzbekistan's economy continues to depend heavily
on agriculture, particularly cotton. Historically,
Uzbekistan has argued that the discharge of water from
upstream hydropower projects during the winter (when there
are power shortages upstream) would be severely disruptive to
agriculture in Uzbekistan.


6. (C) In addition to using the media, international law, and
statements at multilateral summits, Uzbekistan has warned
potential investors in Tajikistan's hydropower projects to
stay away. A local Embassy employee reported that in a
conversation with an Asian Development Bank official last
November, the official indicated that then-Finance Minister
(and now First Deputy Prime Minister) Rustam Azimov had
approached a visiting Asian Development Bank official and
warned that if the bank financed Tajikistan's hydropower
project, Uzbekistan would withdraw from cooperation with the
bank. Uzbekistan has actively steered other countries such
as China, Russia, and Kazakhstan away from cooperating on
upstream hydropower projects.


7. (C) Uzbek officials have raised Tajikistan's planned
hydropower projects several times over the past two weeks
with Embassy and USG officials. Ismat Faizullaev, Director
of the MFA's USA Office, expressed his concern to P/E Chief
on January 24, before a meeting with visiting CENTCOM
Commander Admiral Fallon. President Karimov himself voiced
strong endorsement of the views carried in the article when
he meet with Admiral Fallon (ref B). Deputy Prime Minister
(and Head of the Fuel and Energy Complex) Ergash Shaismatov
and Minister of Foreign Economic Relations Elyor Ganiev
forcefully conveyed Uzbek objections in January 29 meetings
with Ambassador Norland and visiting SCA Senior Advisor Bob
Deutsch. All described the "disastrous" consequences of the
planned hydroelectric cascade. All in effect said that the
Tajik plans were "unacceptable" to Uzbekistan and must take
into account the downstream needs of Uzbekistan's Amu Darya
basin.

Comment:
--------------


8. (C) Sangtuda-1 alone will have little downstream impact.
If Tajkistan is able to realize its goal of completing
multiple additional hydropower stations including Rogun,
Shurob, Dashtijum, Sangtuda-2, and others, however, these
stations could pose a serious threat to Uzbekistan's
agriculture if they are not well-managed. Clearly, the
Uzbeks make a convincing case that the Tajiks should take on
board Uzbek concerns, particularly concerning winter water
releases. The Uzbeks are aware that both CENTCOM and the
Embassy have been paying attention to these issues, and they
certainly would like to leverage our influence. We will
continue to pursue a policy of encouraging all parties to
work through existing mechanisms, such as environmental
impact assessments and international conventions, and to
pursue greater regional cooperation and integration on
underlying issues. An upcoming opportunity to register U.S.
views will be the UNDP-sponsored conference on the Aral Sea
scheduled to take place on March 12-13 in Tashkent.
NORLAND