Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08RIGA22
2008-01-11 14:58:00
SECRET//NOFORN
Embassy Riga
Cable title:  

(S/NF) LATVIA/RUSSIA - INTEL ISSUES TO COMPLICATE

Tags:  PINR PREL RS LG 
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VZCZCXRO9960
PP RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV
DE RUEHRA #0022 0111458
ZNY SSSSS ZZH
P 111458Z JAN 08
FM AMEMBASSY RIGA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4646
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
S E C R E T RIGA 000022 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS
NOFORN

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/11/2035
TAGS: PINR PREL RS LG
SUBJECT: (S/NF) LATVIA/RUSSIA - INTEL ISSUES TO COMPLICATE
RELATIONS

REF: TD-315/001443-08

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires Stuart M. Seldowitz. Reason: 1.4 (b,
c and d)

S E C R E T RIGA 000022

SIPDIS

SIPDIS
NOFORN

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/11/2035
TAGS: PINR PREL RS LG
SUBJECT: (S/NF) LATVIA/RUSSIA - INTEL ISSUES TO COMPLICATE
RELATIONS

REF: TD-315/001443-08

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires Stuart M. Seldowitz. Reason: 1.4 (b,
c and d)


1. (S/NF) Summary: A Russian diplomat in Latvia, who is a
declared SVR officer, will leave his post by the time his
visa expires in June because his previous expulsion from
France has him on a Schengen blacklist. The GOL has decided
not to expel the individual because they do not have
information on any inappropriate activity in Latvia. The GOL
had downplayed the issue to avoid a fight with Moscow over
what is really not a Latvian issue, although this may now
change. This case is separate from the possible expulsion of
another Russian embassy employee on whom the Latvians can
prove involvement in espionage, which is now likely to go
forward later in January. The sum total of these events
could cause some difficulties in Latvian/Russian relations
End summary.


2. (U) On December 30, a TV news show ran a story that the
Latvian government was preparing to expel a first secretary
of the Russian Embassy for intelligence activity. The MFA
originally denied the story and then leaked that there was a
Russian diplomat who had an issue because of Latvia's
admission to the Schengen zone in December 2007. The
individual in question, the press reported, was on a black
list for activities in another Schengen country and therefore
could not be issued a further Latvian visa.


3. (S/NF) Janis Kazocins, chief of the SAB (main intelligence
agency) told post GRPO chief that the individual in question
is Anatoly Kagolov, who is a declared SVR officer. Kagolov
was declared PNG in France some years ago for espionage
activity, but because he is declared in Riga, the Latvians
did not see the need to expel him. MFA State Secretary Penke
told Charge similar information, noting that Kagolov's
current visa expires in June and that the GOL has told the
Russian Embassy that he will have to depart by that date and
that his current visa does not allow him to travel outside of
Latvia. The Russians were not happy about this outcome but
accepted it.


4. (S/NF) GRPO sources confirm that Kagolov is not the same
individual that the SAB is recommending be expelled for
espionage activities (ref). In a January 11 update to GRPO
chief, GOL officials said that they have now obtained
permission to expel the second individual and expected to do
that by the end of the month.


5. (S/NF) Comment: All in all, the Latvians have probably
handled the Kagolov case well, although there has been some
press criticism for being "too soft." They have a commitment
to their Schengen partners but they also need to maintain
their relations with Moscow. Agreeing to let him stay in
Latvia but not extend his visa seems a decent compromise. On
the other hand, proceeding with the expulsion of the second
individual will create tensions with Moscow, which will
likely retaliate. The government was nervous about making an
expulsion one of its first acts since it will have a chilling
effect on relations with Russia, which had been on the
upswing, but the evidence against him was apparently so
compelling that PM Godmanis decided to proceed. It is likely
that the invitation for President Zatlers to visit Moscow
will be a casualty of this decision, but it should be a move
that will have strong support among the ethnic Latvian
population of the country.
SELDOWITZ