Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08PODGORICA132
2008-04-16 17:21:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Podgorica
Cable title:  

MONTENEGRO WILL NOT RECOGNIZE KOSOVO BEFORE SERBIAN

Tags:  PREL PGOV MW KO SR 
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VZCZCXRO9917
PP RUEHBW RUEHPOD
DE RUEHPOD #0132 1071721
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 161721Z APR 08
FM AMEMBASSY PODGORICA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0761
INFO RUEHPS/AMEMBASSY PRISTINA PRIORITY 0095
RUEHBW/AMEMBASSY BELGRADE PRIORITY 0346
RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW PRIORITY 0023
RUEHTI/AMEMBASSY TIRANA PRIORITY 0108
RUEHVJ/AMEMBASSY SARAJEVO PRIORITY 0079
RUEHSQ/AMEMBASSY SKOPJE PRIORITY 0030
RUEHTH/AMEMBASSY ATHENS PRIORITY 0005
RUEHVB/AMEMBASSY ZAGREB PRIORITY 0149
RUEHPOD/AMEMBASSY PODGORICA 0842
UNCLAS PODGORICA 000132 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV MW KO SR
SUBJECT: MONTENEGRO WILL NOT RECOGNIZE KOSOVO BEFORE SERBIAN
ELECTIONS

REF: PODGORICA 87

UNCLAS PODGORICA 000132

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV MW KO SR
SUBJECT: MONTENEGRO WILL NOT RECOGNIZE KOSOVO BEFORE SERBIAN
ELECTIONS

REF: PODGORICA 87


1. (SBU) SUMMARY: Montenegro will not recognize Kosovo before
Serbia's May 11 elections in order to avoid strengthening the
nationalist vote in Serbia. Both Kosovo PM Thaci and former PM
Ceku have told FM Rocen (protect) and Montenegrin PM Djukanovic
(protect),respectively, that they understand and support the
GOM position, according to Rocen. Rocen acknowledged that he
and his Macedonian counterpart had compared notes on recognition
plans, but stopped short of saying the two governments are
coordinating moves. Rocen did not speculate as to when
Montenegro might recognize, but said that a nationalist victory
in Serbia would make it easier to take such a step. END SUMMARY




2. (SBU) FM Rocen (protect) told the Ambassador 4/15 that the
GOM will not recognize Kosovo before Serbia's May 11 elections
-- in order not to strengthen Serbia's nationalist vote on
election day, according to the FM. He said that he had
discussed this recently with Kosovo PM Thaci and claimed that
the latter understood and supported the Montenegrin decision.
Rocen added PM Djukanovic had also received the same reaction
from Ceku during a recent telephone call placed by the former
Kosovo PM.




3. (SBU) Rocen said he had twice compared notes with the
Macedonian FM about recognition plans. According to Rocen, the
Macedonian FM had said that Skopje did not plan on waiting for
its own elections in June before recognizing. Asked whether or
not the two countries planned to coordinate announcements of
recognition, Rocen said there was no formal agreement to do so.





4. (SBU) Rocen would not speculate about when Montenegro might
recognize Kosovo, but repeated the GOM assertion that it planned
to align its position with its Euroatlantic partners. He opined
that a nationalist victory in Serbia's elections would make it
easier for Montenegro to recognize Kosovo, but he repeated an
observation made earlier to us by the PM that the GOM did not
fear a Radical victory (reftel). As the PM had told us earlier
as well, Serbian Radical Party deputy leader Toma Nikolic had
sent signals to the GOM that Montenegro would have no cause to
worry in the event the SRS came to power in Belgrade. Rocen
also played down the prospect of a parliamentary debate on
Kosovo, something for which the opposition has been calling. He
said the GoM was not afraid of such a discussion, but that only
the Government would determine if or when to bring the matter to
parliament.




5. (SBU) The FM added that Serbian FM Jeremic had told him that
Serbia's policy was to minimize the number of countries that
recognize Kosovo with the intention of demanding (perhaps around
the September UNGA) that the matter of Kosovo's independence be
referred to the ICJ for review.




6. (SBU) Rocen also made the point of telling the Ambassador
that the PM and he would be traveling to Moscow next week, but
would not be seeking meetings "at the highest level." The main
reason for the visit, he said, was to be present at the opening
of the first Montenegrin bank ever to be opened abroad (note: a
bank at least partially owned by Montenegrin oligarch Dusko
Knezevic.)

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