Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08MOSCOW1133
2008-04-23 14:06:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Moscow
Cable title:  

MFA DOWNPLAYS RESULTS OF PUTIN'S TRIP TO LIBYA

Tags:  PGOV PREL ECON ENRG LY RS 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO5769
PP RUEHBW
DE RUEHMO #1133/01 1141406
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 231406Z APR 08
FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 7733
INFO RUEHXD/MOSCOW POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
RUEHTRO/AMEMBASSY TRIPOLI
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 MOSCOW 001133 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/23/2018
TAGS: PGOV PREL ECON ENRG LY RS
SUBJECT: MFA DOWNPLAYS RESULTS OF PUTIN'S TRIP TO LIBYA

REF: MOSCOW 184

MOSCOW 00001133 001.2 OF 002


Classified By: Acting Political M/C Robert Patterson for reasons 1.4 (b
/d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 MOSCOW 001133

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/23/2018
TAGS: PGOV PREL ECON ENRG LY RS
SUBJECT: MFA DOWNPLAYS RESULTS OF PUTIN'S TRIP TO LIBYA

REF: MOSCOW 184

MOSCOW 00001133 001.2 OF 002


Classified By: Acting Political M/C Robert Patterson for reasons 1.4 (b
/d).


1. (C) Summary: The MFA told us that Putin's April 16-17
visit to Tripoli signified improved Russia-Libya relations
while producing fewer concrete results than reported by the
press. Russia and Libya signed memoranda of understanding
for closer economic, energy and military cooperation,
including the prospect for potential arms sales, but just one
contract for Russian Railways to construct a $3.5 billion
rail line in Libya. The GOR agreed to cancel Libya's $4.5
billion Soviet-era debt, but only on the condition that Libya
purchase an equal amount of goods from Russia by 2020. The
visit provided an opportunity for Putin's first meeting with
al-Qadhafi in an atmosphere the MFA portrayed as cordial and
positive. End summary.

Putin Visit to Help Economic Ties
--------------


2. (C) MFA Libya Desk officer Maxim Ganzey told us on April
23 that Putin's recent trip to Libya was intended to expand
political and economic ties, but that the results were far
more modest than portrayed in the press. He explained that
from the political standpoint, Putin's trip was largely a
symbolic and successful gesture intended to demonstrate to
Libya the importance Russia placed on improved relations.
The GOR hopes enhancing bilateral ties will expand
opportunities for Russian business to tap into Libya's
developing economy (reftel). The atmosphere during the visit
was particularly cordial, with Putin having a private
breakfast at al-Qadhafi's home. Putin reciprocated by
inviting the Libyan leader to Moscow. Ganzey asked if
Secretary Rice intended to visit Libya, saying such a visit

SIPDIS
would give a similar boost to U.S. companies hoping to do
business there, according to the GOR reading of the "Libyan
mentality."


3. (C) Ganzey explained that Russia had not canceled Libya's
$4.5 billion Soviet-era debt outright, but agreed to cancel
the debt by 2020 on the condition that Libya purchased an
equal amount of Russian goods. Russia insisted that these
include non-military goods in addition to military hardware.
According to Ganzey, Putin's trip hinged on the GOR reaching
some kind of compromise with Libya on the debt issue, which
had hampered efforts to improve bilateral cooperation for the
past several years. Putin signed off on the debt-for-goods
deal just eight days prior to departing for Tripoli.

One Contract and Several MOUs
--------------


4. (C) Ganzey confirmed that the one contract signed during
the visit was for Russian Railways to construct a 310-mile
railway between the Libyan cities Surt and Benghazi. The
deal, worth $3.5 billion, will be Russian Railways' largest
overseas project. Ganzey said press reports of $10 billion
worth of deals were overblown and all other agreements were
merely general memoranda of understanding to establish
"closer cooperation" in various sectors. According to
Ganzey, these included MOUs between Gazprom and the Libyan
National Oil company, between a Dutch Gazprom subsidiary and
the Libya-Africa Investment Fund (LAIF),and between a
Russian producer of electrical power lines and LAIF. He
implied an agreement on sharing "secret information" was to
facilitate future arms sales. Ganzey said that a nuclear
framework agreement had not been signed and was still under
consideration by experts on both sides, adding that such an
agreement would simply put Rosatom in a position to bid on
potential nuclear-related contracts such as construction of a
Libyan NPP.

Cornering the European Energy Market?
--------------


5. (C) Grigory Levchenko of Gazprom's International Business
Department told us on April 23 that the visit was a "success"
for Gazprom, whose chief, Alexey Miller, accompanied Putin to
Tripoli. Both Levchenko and Ganzey pointed out, however,
that no concrete oil and gas deals had been signed; only that
Gazprom, which recently won the right to explore several
fields in Libya, was interested in future tenders for
exploration. Levchenko called the trip a "first step" toward
greater Gazprom involvement in Libya.


6. (SBU) Analysts reacting to the apparent "success" of
Putin's visit have speculated that improved Russian ties to
North African energy producers such as Libya could help
increase Russian influence in the European energy market.
Others, however, downplayed Gazprom's ability to meaningfully

MOSCOW 00001133 002.2 OF 002


alter long-standing European-North African energy routes and
ties.
BURNS