Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08MILAN15
2008-02-01 17:39:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Consulate Milan
Cable title:  

AND NOW FOR SOMETHING COMPLETELY DIFFERENT:

Tags:  EAIR ECON ELAB ETRD IT KPRV 
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VZCZCXRO7509
PP RUEHAG RUEHDF RUEHIK RUEHLZ RUEHROV
DE RUEHMIL #0015/01 0321739
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 011739Z FEB 08
FM AMCONSUL MILAN
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1416
INFO RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE
RUEHRO/AMEMBASSY ROME 8313
RUEHFL/AMCONSUL FLORENCE 0151
RUEHNP/AMCONSUL NAPLES 0149
RHMCSUU/FAA NATIONAL HQ WASHINGTON DC
RULSDMK/DEPT OF TRANSPORTATION WASHINGTON DC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MILAN 000015 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/WE, EB/TRA/OTP, EB/TRA/AN, EB/TRA DAS BYERLY
PLEASE PASS TO TRANSPORTATION AND FAA

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: EAIR ECON ELAB ETRD IT KPRV
SUBJECT: AND NOW FOR SOMETHING COMPLETELY DIFFERENT:
DE-HUBBING MILAN'S MALPENSA

REF: 07 MILAN 273

MILAN 00000015 001.2 OF 002


-------
Summary
-------

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MILAN 000015

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/WE, EB/TRA/OTP, EB/TRA/AN, EB/TRA DAS BYERLY
PLEASE PASS TO TRANSPORTATION AND FAA

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: EAIR ECON ELAB ETRD IT KPRV
SUBJECT: AND NOW FOR SOMETHING COMPLETELY DIFFERENT:
DE-HUBBING MILAN'S MALPENSA

REF: 07 MILAN 273

MILAN 00000015 001.2 OF 002


--------------
Summary
--------------


1. (SBU) Alitalia cuts at Milan's Malpensa go into full
force as of April 1, 2008. Flight reductions of over 25
percent of Malpensa's traffic and more than one third of its
intercontinental routes will have an immediate, significant
impact on the region's economy starting with job cuts of at
least 1,300. Future prospects for rebuilding service are
somewhat promising but will take years. Entrenched union
interests and a lack of political will to make difficult
decisions has led to the current situation: a drastic cutback
of economically valuable and growing intercontinental routes
at Malpensa to keep Alitalia out of bankruptcy long enough
for it to be sold. End summary.

--------------
Immediate Impact
--------------


2. (SBU) On January 31, Alitalia gave final notice to
Assoclearance (Italy's flight clearance agency) to cancel 793
weekly flights from Milan's Malpensa airport from April 1,

2008. This represents sixty-four percent of Alitalia's
current 1,238 flights from Malpensa. Before the cuts,
Alitalia accounted for over half of Malpensa's traffic.
Media reports quote passenger losses for Malpensa between 6.5
and 8 million per year. SEA, the management company for
Malpensa and Linate airports, did not renew the contracts of
230 workers as of January 31 and will not renew another 700
when their contracts are up at the end of March. SEA expects
cuts to reach a total of 1,300 over the next few months.
This first tranche will consist of employees eligible for
retirement or other temporary government assistance. Future
cuts will be more painful. Unions estimate up to 4,000 job
losses total, while the Lombardy Region claims 7,000 in the
greater Milan area if SEA, Alitalia, taxi and hotel workers
are all taken into account. Both near and longer term
financial losses to area businesses and commercial fairs due
to the lack of intercontinental connections are difficult to

calculate, though observers agree they will be significant.
The immediate impact on U.S. travelers is the loss of direct
flights to/from Boston, Chicago, Miami and Newark.

--------------
Two-Year Tumble
--------------


3. (SBU) SEA President Giuseppe Bonomi was relatively upbeat
in discussions with the Consul General, noting SEA was
mounting an aggressive effort to attract other carriers and
continuing airport infrastructure upgrades. However, he was
clear that Malpensa's development was based on the hub model
and would need to find a new majority carrier. While hopeful
this could be accomplished in the medium term because of
interest from Italian carrier AirOne and a lack of excess
capacity throughout Europe, he acknowledged the next two
years, at a minimum, would be abysmal. The tight markets for
airplane purchases could further delay the ramp up of another
carrier at Malpensa, especially for long haul routes. A two
to three year lack of direct intercontinental connectivity
could significantly alter business patterns in Northern
Italy, creating a drag on the local and regional economies.

--------------
Future Prospects
--------------


4. (SBU) SEA will reportedly sue Alitalia for damages of one
billion euros stemming from infrastructure improvements
requested by Alitalia to support its Malpensa hub operations
(requested as recently as June 2007, a week before the
decision to drastically cut flights at Malpensa was made
public). AirOne is appealing the GOI's decision to pursue
exclusive negotiations with Air France with the Regional
Court of Lazio. Major financial players such as Banca
Intesa-San Paolo and wealthy area businessmen have publicly

MILAN 00000015 002.2 OF 002


expressed willingness to finance an AirOne expansion at
Malpensa. SEA will push for government assistance to
liberalize air service agreements with other countries to
allow additional flights on popular routes such as Dubai.
SEA sees great potential in increased cargo operations, but
this is limited by Italian Customs staffing patterns (only
open during normal business hours 5 days a week). American
Airlines is expected to pick up Alitalia's vacated flight to
Newark.

--------------
Comment: Costs of Government Inaction
--------------


5. (SBU) Alitalia's dire financial straits have been evident
for years. Alitalia launched numerous "rescue plans" over
the years, with all but the most recent calling for expanded
service and an increased focus on the Malpensa hub.
Entrenched union interests and a lack of political will to
make difficult decisions has led to the current situation: a
drastic cutback of economically valuable and growing routes
(Alitalia's Malpensa intercontinental flight passengers grew
nine percent from 2006 to 2007) to keep Alitalia out of
bankruptcy long enough for it to be sold. End comment.
WEYGANDT