Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08KARACHI582
2008-10-25 13:18:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Consulate Karachi
Cable title:  

SINDH - PML-N PLANS SINDH REORGANIZATION

Tags:  PGOV PREL PK 
pdf how-to read a cable
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PP RUEHLH RUEHPW
DE RUEHKP #0582/01 2991318
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 251318Z OCT 08
FM AMCONSUL KARACHI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0720
INFO RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD PRIORITY 0187
RUEHLH/AMCONSUL LAHORE PRIORITY 2592
RUEHPW/AMCONSUL PESHAWAR PRIORITY 4475
RUCQAAA/USCINCCENT INTEL CEN MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHMFISS/CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KARACHI 000582 

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/25/2018
TAGS: PGOV PREL PK
SUBJECT: SINDH - PML-N PLANS SINDH REORGANIZATION

REF: A. KARACHI 426

B. KARACHI 477

Classified By: CLASSIFIED BY CONSUL GENERAL KAY ANSKE, REASONS 1.4 (B)
AND (D).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KARACHI 000582

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/25/2018
TAGS: PGOV PREL PK
SUBJECT: SINDH - PML-N PLANS SINDH REORGANIZATION

REF: A. KARACHI 426

B. KARACHI 477

Classified By: CLASSIFIED BY CONSUL GENERAL KAY ANSKE, REASONS 1.4 (B)
AND (D).


1. (C) SUMMARY: The Sindh Vice President of the Pakistan
Muslim League ) Nawaz (PML-N) told the Consul General (CG)
on October 16 that his party plans to reorganize the Sindh
provincial party structure. The restructured party will
include some former Pakistan Muslim League (PML) politicians
and members of influential families in its new leadership
structure. The move is part of a strategy to gain more
political influence in the province ahead of the 2009 local
government elections. He also said that Shahbaz Sharif,
brother of PML-N leader Nawaz Sharif, will promote greater
provincial autonomy during a speech at a November 15 Council
of Foreign Relations reception in Karachi. The Chief
Ministers of all four of Pakistan's provinces are expected to
attend the reception. End summary.


2. (C) Sindh Pakistan Muslim League ) Nawaz (PML-N) Vice
President Saleem Zia told the Consul General (CG) on October
16 that his party plans to make a concerted effort to gain
influence in Sindh province. According to Zia, PML-N will
hold party reorganization meetings in November to elect a
slate of influential new leaders to carry the party into the
2009 local government elections. He said the party is
currently conveying its plans to diplomats, politicians and
business leaders to underscore its determination to increase
the party's base.


3. (C) Zia explained that PML-N's poor showing in the
February 2008 Sindh provincial elections was caused, in part,
by a lack of attention from national party leaders to the
province. He also told the CG that the current PML-N Sindh
leadership is dedicated but lacks the prestige or finances to
successfully contest in elections. The party did not win a
single National or Provincial Assembly seat from Sindh.


4. (C) Zia noted that PML-N has recruited disaffected
members of the Pakistan Muslim League (PML) who can prove
that they joined PML under duress and, subsequently, did not
make public derogatory statements against PML-N or hold any
high ranking position in the PML. While PML-N does not
expect sweeping changes in its provincial leadership, he said
the party plans to also include influential and well-heeled
families from various areas in the province, such as the
Jatois (from Dadu),the Chandios (from Larkana and
Hyderabad),and the Shirazis (from Badin),in its new
leadership structure.

Shabaz Sharif to Speak on Provincial Autonomy
-------------- -


5. (C) According to Zia, there is much discussion within
party ranks that Nawaz and Shahbaz Sharif are directly
responsible for the dismal showing of the PML-N in the
February 2008 elections. According to the talk, party
leadership neglected Sindh. The fact that neither Sharif
brother visited Sindh during the campaign is seen as a prime
example of the neglect of the province by the party. To
remedy this, Shahbaz Sharif, brother of PML-N leader Nawaz
Sharif, will visit Sindh Province more often, starting with a
visit in mid-November. Nawaz Sharif will also visit Sindh at
a later date. For the moment, Shahbaz Sharif is scheduled to
speak in support of greater provincial autonomy at a November
15 Pakistan Council on Foreign Relations reception in
Karachi. The Chief Ministers from all four of Pakistan's
provinces are expected to attend the event.


6. (C) Comment: PML-N leaders appear to be positioning the
party to take advantage of growing discontent, both from
within and externally, with the ruling Pakistan People's
Party (PPP). Internally, the PPP in Sindh is rife with
dissention between those members who were close to Benazir
Bhutto and those who are close to Asif Zardari. Externally,
Karachi business leaders feel the PPP focused too much
attention on restoring judges while ignoring a serious
economic decline until it was almost too late. Business
leaders and ordinary citizens have repeatedly told the CG
that they are alarmed over a rise in violent crime. Many
citizens also fear the possibility of a growing Taliban
influence in the city caused by an increase in refugees from
the Northwest Frontier Province (NWFP) and the Federally
Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) (reftels A and B).

KARACHI 00000582 002 OF 002




7. (C) Comment (continued): Although Post does not believe
that PML-N will supplant PPP as the majority party in Sindh
province, PML-N leaders may be attempting to counter PPP
ambitions elsewhere by making a concentrated effort in Sindh
province and forcing the PPP to dedicate resources to defend
its own backyard. In a possible bid to expand its influence
outside of its home base in Punjab, PML-N plans to voice
support for greater provincial autonomy (a key Baloch demand)
at an event that should include all four provincial Chief
Ministers. The coming months will determine whether this
gambit will pay off for PML-N.
Anske