Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08BUDAPEST268
2008-03-12 13:56:00
SECRET
Embassy Budapest
Cable title:  

LONELY NEAR THE TOP: PRIME MINISTER'S FOREIGN

Tags:  PREL PGOV HU 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0000
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHUP #0268 0721356
ZNY SSSSS ZZH
P 121356Z MAR 08
FM AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST
TO SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2685
S E C R E T BUDAPEST 000268 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPARTMENT FOR ACTING UNDER SECRETARY FRIED, EUR/NCE, EUR
DAS BRYZA AND DAS GARBER; PLEASE PASS TO NSC FOR ADAM
STERLING

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/11/2018
TAGS: PREL PGOV HU
SUBJECT: LONELY NEAR THE TOP: PRIME MINISTER'S FOREIGN
POLICY ADVISOR ON HUNGARY'S RUSSIA POLICY

REF: BUDAPEST 225

Classified By: P/E COUNSELOR ERIC V. GAUDIOSI; REASONS 1.4 (B) AND (D)
S E C R E T BUDAPEST 000268

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPARTMENT FOR ACTING UNDER SECRETARY FRIED, EUR/NCE, EUR
DAS BRYZA AND DAS GARBER; PLEASE PASS TO NSC FOR ADAM
STERLING

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/11/2018
TAGS: PREL PGOV HU
SUBJECT: LONELY NEAR THE TOP: PRIME MINISTER'S FOREIGN
POLICY ADVISOR ON HUNGARY'S RUSSIA POLICY

REF: BUDAPEST 225

Classified By: P/E COUNSELOR ERIC V. GAUDIOSI; REASONS 1.4 (B) AND (D)

1.(S) Summary: Speaking off-line during a March 9 meeting
with Ambassador Foley, the Prime Minister's Foreign Policy
Advisor recapped his visit to Washington, reiterated PM
Gyurcsany's commitment to South Stream, but expressed his own
reservations regarding the GoH's "rush" to join the project.
Ambassador Banai criticized the lack of "Hungarian, European,
or Western policy" that would "set limits for Russia," but
confided that he is "alone" in his views within the Prime
Ministry. End Summary.

PRIME MINISTER COMMITTED TO SOUTH STREAM ...


2. (C) Recapping his recent trip to Washington, Ambassador
Banai expressed his appreciation for Post's support and for
Assistant Secretary Fried and DAS Bryza and DAS Garber's
time. He noted that Prime Minister Gyurcsany believes "South
Stream is a step forward" and emphasized his desire and his
readiness to "keep making the case to other American
interlocutors." Banai confirmed that the PM would drop by
his own meeting with Congressman Wexler next week.


3. (C) In response to the Ambassador's expression of concern
regarding how the USG's views on South Stream had been
conveyed, Banai commented that he believed his
characterization of his meetings had been "accurate if not
complete." He recognized that we would make clear our
position, but described his bottom line from the trip as
"although we do not agree on all points, this was ultimately

our sovereign decision." Ambassador Foley underscored our
interest in the issue of energy security and our concern
about how our views were characterized by others. While we
want to put this issue behind us, we will need to address the
"daylight" between his characterizations and our policy.

AND PRIME MINISTER'S FOREIGN POLICY ADVISOR CONCERNED


4. (S) Making clear that he was speaking strictly "without a
mandate," Banai voiced serious personal concerns regarding
the lack of a "Hungarian, European, or Western strategy on
Russia." "Russia and the EU have only a technical
relationship," he continued, while individual capitals
continue to "play games with Moscow" to the detriment of
their own allies. "Russia knows what it wants," he
continued, "no more 'colorful revolutions' nearby and maximum
leverage from its energy resources." By contrast, the West
has "set no limits on Russia and no rules for Russia."


5. (S) He made no exceptions and no excuses for Hungary,
criticizing their own "rush toward South Stream" and the lack
of a "common denominator" among the parties. Describing the
South Stream agreement as "a sovereign decision ( and a
sovereign mistake," he professed his own personal support for
Nabucco and for "concrete actions to make that clear."


6. (S) But Banai sees few allies within the GoH. Concluding
"in triple brackets," he commented that "I am alone in making
these arguments ( and I don't make the decisions."

OUT OF STEP AND OUTNUMBERED


7. (S) Comment: Returning from a Washington trip he knows
did not go well, Banai was clearer than he has ever been
regarding his reservations on Russia policy in general and on
South Stream in particular. Although his personal
credibility is damaged after his admitted selectivity in
discussing Washington's views and his government's
last-minute hesitation on Kosovo (septel),we do believe his
comment that his views are badly out of step ) and badly
outnumbered ) in the Prime Ministry. Maintaining our
relationship with Banai in the aftermath of his trip is a
manageable problem; moving forward with the Gyurcsany
government in light of what he describes as an entirely
different strategic perspective is an entirely different
order of magnitude. End Comment.
FOLEY