Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08BRUSSELS1802
2008-11-28 15:31:00
UNCLASSIFIED
USEU Brussels
Cable title:  

EU UNEMPLOYMENT UP TO 7.1 PERCENT; EURO ZONE RATE UP TO

Tags:  ELAB EUN 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO1714
RR RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLN
RUEHLZ RUEHNP RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHBS #1802/01 3331531
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 281531Z NOV 08
FM USEU BRUSSELS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC
RUEHC/DOL WASHDC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BRUSSELS 001802 

SIPDIS

DOL FOR BLS AND ILAB
TREASURY FOR IMI
STATE FOR DRL/IL

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ELAB EUN
SUBJECT: EU UNEMPLOYMENT UP TO 7.1 PERCENT; EURO ZONE RATE UP TO
7.7 PERCENT

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BRUSSELS 001802

SIPDIS

DOL FOR BLS AND ILAB
TREASURY FOR IMI
STATE FOR DRL/IL

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ELAB EUN
SUBJECT: EU UNEMPLOYMENT UP TO 7.1 PERCENT; EURO ZONE RATE UP TO
7.7 PERCENT


1. SUMMARY. The latest EU unemployment data collected by the EU
Commission's Statistical Office (EUROSTAT) confirm the deterioration
of the labor market situation in Europe. The aggregate unemployment
rate for the EU-27 reached 7.1 percent in October 2008 (up from 7.0
percent in September 2008),according to data published by EUROSTAT
on November 28. Unemployment in the euro zone (EU countries
participating in the euro) increased to 7.7 in October 2008 (also up
0.1 percentage point on the previous month). END SUMMARY.


2. With seasonal adjustment and compensation for differences in
national statistical methods, the
unemployment rate for the EU-27 stood at 7.1 percent
in October 2008, up from 7.0 percent in September 2008 and from 6.9
percent in October 2007. The unemployment rate for the euro zone
stood at 7.7 percent in October 2008, up from 7.6 percent in
September 2008 and from 7.3 percent in October 2007 (comparison
based on EU-15; euro zone membership effective since January 1,
2008). Due to the inclusion of data from the most recent EU labor
force survey, the monthly unemployment figures for September 2008
have been revised upward for a certain number of countries (Estonia,
Spain, Portugal and Sweden),showing a marked increase for Estonia,
in particular.


3. The lowest monthly rates among those compiled by EUROSTAT from
the EU-27 for October 2008 were recorded in the Netherlands (2.5
percent),Austria (3.0 percent) and Denmark (3.2 percent). The
highest rates were recorded in Spain (12.8 percent) and Slovakia
(10.0 percent).


4. EUROSTAT noted that fifteen countries among
the EU-27 recorded a decrease in their unemployment
rate over a year, eleven an increase and one remained stable. The
most significant decreases (October-to-October comparison) occurred
in Poland (from 8.7 percent to 6.4 percent) and Austria (from 4.3
percent to 3.0 percent),while the highest increases occurred in
Spain (from 8.5 percent to 12.8 percent) and Estonia (from 4.1
percent to 7.5 percent).


5. Based on EUROSTAT estimates, male unemployment
reached 6.8 percent in October 2008 for the EU-27 and 7.2 percent
for the euro zone, up 0.4 percentage point and 0.7 percentage point
respectively when compared to October 2007. The female unemployment
rate over the same period reached 7.5 percent for the EU-27 and 8.3
percet for the euro zone, minus 0.1 percentage point and up 0.1
percentage point respectively over the twelve-month period.


6. Unemployment rates among young people under 25 for October 2008
ranged from 5.1 percent in the Netherlands and 5.4 percent in
Austria to 28.1 percent in Spain and 22.4 percent in Sweden. The
October 2008 rate for this age group was estimated at 15.9 percent
for both the EU-27 and the euro zone, compared to 14.9 percent (plus
1.0 percentage point) and 14.6 percent (plus 1.3 percentage point)
respectively for October 2007.


7. EUROSTAT estimated that 17.183 million were
unemployed in the EU-27 in October 2008 (12.003 million in the euro
zone). In absolute numbers, the number of unemployed increased by
709,000 for the EU-27 and by 810,000 for the euro zone over the
twelve-month period.


8. Following is the breakdown of unemployment rates in ascending
order for the individual EU member states:

(Seasonally-adjusted)
(October 2008 unless otherwise indicated)

Netherlands 2.5
Austria 3.0
Denmark 3.2
Cyprus 3.8
Luxembourg 4.2
Slovenia 4.3
Czech Republic 4.4
Lithuania 4.7
Bulgaria 5.6
Malta 5.7
UK 5.7 (August 2008)
Romania 5.9 (second quarter 2008)
Poland 6.4
Finland 6.4
Belgium 6.6
Sweden 6.6
Italy 6.8 (second quarter 2008)
Germany 7.1
Ireland 7.1
Latvia 7.2

BRUSSELS 00001802 002 OF 002


Estonia 7.5
Greece 7.5 (second quarter 2008)
Portugal 7.8
Hungary 8.1
France 8.2
Slovakia 10.0
Spain 12.8

EU-27 7.1
Euro zone 7.7


9. The monthly rates and numbers of unemployed are
estimated and based on data from the EU labor force
survey. The estimated rates may differ from
national unemployment rates due to differences in
methods and definitions of unemployment. Unemployed
people according to ILO criteria are those aged 15
and over who:

-- Are without work;

-- Are available to start work within the next two
weeks; and

-- Have actively sought employment at some time
during the previous four weeks.

SILVERBERG