Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08BISHKEK1190
2008-11-26 10:27:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Bishkek
Cable title:  

KYRGYZ MAY BE CLOSE TO AGREEMENT WITH CANADIAN-RUN

Tags:  EMIN ECON PREL EINV KG 
pdf how-to read a cable
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BISHKEK 001190 

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR SCA/CEN (GORKOWSKI)

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/26/2018
TAGS: EMIN ECON PREL EINV KG
SUBJECT: KYRGYZ MAY BE CLOSE TO AGREEMENT WITH CANADIAN-RUN
GOLD MINE

REF: A. BISHKEK 588

B. BISHKEK 668

BISHKEK 00001190 001.2 OF 002


Classified By: Deputy Chief of Mission Lee Litzenberger, Reason 1.4 (b)
and (d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BISHKEK 001190

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR SCA/CEN (GORKOWSKI)

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/26/2018
TAGS: EMIN ECON PREL EINV KG
SUBJECT: KYRGYZ MAY BE CLOSE TO AGREEMENT WITH CANADIAN-RUN
GOLD MINE

REF: A. BISHKEK 588

B. BISHKEK 668

BISHKEK 00001190 001.2 OF 002


Classified By: Deputy Chief of Mission Lee Litzenberger, Reason 1.4 (b)
and (d).


1. (C) Summary: A senior Kumtor Operating Company (KOC)
official advised Embassy November 20 that agreement is Qar
over a revised mining concession for the Kumtor gold mine.
KOC, which contributes nearly 10% of central government tax
revenue, has not yet determined whether to proceed with
arbitration over a $2.4 million land tax assessment. Despite
uninterrupted power supplies, mine operations have been
disrupted by power spikes that have sidelined the main
milling operations. Even though KOC increased gold
production from 9.36 tons in 2007 to 12.5 tons for the first
ten months of 2008, the KOC official dismissed claims of
large gold production increases at other Kyrgyz mines in the
near future. A positive resolution of the Kumtor dispute
would boost a long-tarnished Kyrgyz investment climate. End
summary.

Moving from the Status Quo
--------------


2. (C) While decrying Kyrgyz quibbling over "minor" issues,
KQtor Operating Company (KOC) Vice President Phil Yee told
Qboffs November 20 that agrQment with Kyrgyz authorities
over a revised mining concession is "near." (Note: The
Kumtor operation, which provides more than 10% of the central
government's tax revenues, has been plagued by protracted
negotiations over a revised agreement -- see reftels. The
new agreement would grant the Kyrgyz a greater ownership
stake in KOC's parent company in exchange for a simplified
taxation regime and an expanded concession. End note.) Yee
added that each side had reduced their negotiating teams to
two people in order to limit personal agendas. (Note: This
comment appears to be a reference to outspoken KOC adversary
Kubanychbek Isabekov, who is Deputy Speaker of the Kyrgyz
parliament. End note.)


3. (C) Despite Yee's optimism, the Bishkek Interdistrict
Court on November 17 validated a $2.4 million land tax
assessment against KOC, which KOC had previously planned to
dispute via arbitration. Yee confirmed that two KOC staff
members had already been summoned to discuss the payment, but
did not reply when asked if KOC would reinstate arbitration
proceedings. (Comment: KOC may not want to upset conclusion
of an agreement by restarting arbitration. End comment.)
However, parliament, which is dominated by the
pro-presidential Ak Jol party, would need to approve the
agreement. If the agreement is endorsed by senior Kyrgyz
officials, Deputy Speaker Isabekov may tone down his
objections.

The Power Business
--------------


4. (C) Yee confirmed that the premium KOC pays for
electricity has ensured steady supplies to the mine site, but
added that surges in the power lines, caused by disruptions
elsewhere, have sidelined the mine's mill for hours as a
time. Recognizing the economic impact of the mine, the
majority state-owned Kyrgyz power transmission company has
dispatched engineers to the Kumtor mine to devise methods to
limit future problems.

Counting Nuggets
--------------


5. (C) Yee doubted reports attributed to Kyrgyz State

BISHKEK 00001190 002.2 OF 002


Geology Agency chief Kapar Kurmanaliyev that large increases
in gold production from other Kyrgyz mines in coming years
would be realized. Kurmanaliyev reportedly conceded that
Kumtor is the only "productive" gold mine in the Kyrgyz
Republic. According to available data, KOC produced 9.36
tons Qgold in 2007 and has increased production to 12.5
tons for the ten months through October 2008.

Comment
-------------- Q

6. Q) Realizing a long-term agreement on the Kumtor
operation would be a boost to the Kyrgyz Republic's tarnished
investment climate. This high-profile dispute has troubled
potential investors, especially in the extractive industries
sector, and has limited Kyrgyz economic growth. Once the
dispute is resolved, the government should be able to turn
the resources dedicated to negotiating this agreement to
making necessary improvements in business and investment
conditions.
GFOELLER