Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08BELMOPAN172
2008-03-20 22:17:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Belmopan
Cable title:  

BELIZE:

Tags:  PGOV PREL PINR BH 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO0898
RR RUEHGR
DE RUEHBE #0172 0802217
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 202217Z MAR 08
FM AMEMBASSY BELMOPAN
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 1198
INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE
RUCNCOM/EC CARICOM COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS BELMOPAN 000172 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR WHA/CEN - ROIS BEAL

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR BH
SUBJECT: BELIZE:

REF: (A) Belmopan 068, (B) Belmopan 163

UNCLAS BELMOPAN 000172

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR WHA/CEN - ROIS BEAL

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR BH
SUBJECT: BELIZE:

REF: (A) Belmopan 068, (B) Belmopan 163


1. (U) Summary. Following a crushing defeat in February's general
elections, former People's United Party's Prime Minister Said Musa
resigned as party leader. A leadership struggle ensued between his
preferred successor and a group of reformers who had challenged
party leadership in the past. The leadership contest has further
fractured an already beleaguered party inducing party founder George
Price to denounce the lead reform candidate and request his removal
from the party. Rumors that the new government will file criminal
charges against Musa and his allies abound. End Summary.


2. (U) The general election on February 7 yielded a landslide
victory for the United Democratic Party (UDP). Of the 31 contested
seats, the People's United Party (PUP),that had governed with a
large majority for more ten years, won only six seats - in two cases
retaining seats by less than 20 votes (ref A). The former Prime
Minister Said Musa, resigned as party leader and a power struggle
ensued. A leadership contest developed between former Education
Minister Francis Fonseca and a group of reformers who had resigned
from Cabinet during the previous government. Two of the reformers
(Mark Espat and John Briceno) planned to run for the party leader
position at the PUP national convention scheduled for March 30.


3. (U) By March 17, both reform candidates withdrew from the race
citing the contest as "closed, undemocratic, and fixed." Francis
Fonseca, the only remaining candidate, is closely tied to the
unpopular leadership of the previous government and shares the
surname of his cousin Ralph Fonseca who has been pilloried in the
press for alleged illegal activities. The reformers and local media
accuse the discredited former leadership of doing everything
possible to anoint Francis their hand-picked successor.


4. (U) On March 19, revered former Prime Minister and PUP party
founder George Price, in his role as senior party advisor, submitted
a letter to the National Executive of the PUP asking that reform
leadership candidate Mark Espat be removed from the party. The
letter cited party disloyalty and included allegations of conspiring
with the UDP to have former PUP government officials arrested.


5. (U) Former Prime Minister Musa and his close allies have come
under increased pressure due to allegations of criminal wrongdoing.
Press reports state that as early as next week criminal charges will
be filed against former government officials including Musa. The
charges will most likely be linked to financial improprieties
relating to a government guarantee of private debt. If Francis
Fonseca emerges as PUP leader, he may be involved in the
investigation as he signed the original government guarantee in his
role as Attorney General (ref B).


6. (U) Comment: Despite the PUP's crushing defeat at the polls in
February that seemed to indicate the public's outcry for greater
transparency, honesty, and good governance in Belize, it appears the
former Prime Minister and his close cronies are reluctant to
relinquish their remaining claim to power. With representatives of
the old guard maintaining a stranglehold on the PUP, and the former
Prime Minister and his cronies pulling the strings, the party is
unlikely to leave behind allegations of corruption or gain popular
strength for the next elections. End Comment.

HILL