Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08BEIJING2946
2008-07-30 11:18:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Beijing
Cable title:  

AS PRC OLYMPIC PREPARATIONS HIT THE FINAL SPRINT,

Tags:  PGOV PHUM PREL KOLY CH 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO9328
OO RUEHCN RUEHGH RUEHVC
DE RUEHBJ #2946/01 2121118
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 301118Z JUL 08
FM AMEMBASSY BEIJING
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8872
INFO RUEHOO/CHINA POSTS COLLECTIVE
RUEHKT/AMEMBASSY KATHMANDU 3849
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 4581
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 BEIJING 002946 

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/30/2033
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PREL KOLY CH
SUBJECT: AS PRC OLYMPIC PREPARATIONS HIT THE FINAL SPRINT,
CHINESE ANXIETY REIGNS

REF: A. OSC/FBIS CPP20080714584003

B. OSC/FBIS CPP20080716172010

C. OSC/FBIS CPP20080711704002

D. OSC/FBIS FEA20080723734391

E. OSC/FBIS CPP20080717968261

F. BEIJING 2864

G. OSC/FBIS FEA20080725736000

Classified By: Ambassador Clark T. Randt, Jr. Reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 BEIJING 002946

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/30/2033
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PREL KOLY CH
SUBJECT: AS PRC OLYMPIC PREPARATIONS HIT THE FINAL SPRINT,
CHINESE ANXIETY REIGNS

REF: A. OSC/FBIS CPP20080714584003

B. OSC/FBIS CPP20080716172010

C. OSC/FBIS CPP20080711704002

D. OSC/FBIS FEA20080723734391

E. OSC/FBIS CPP20080717968261

F. BEIJING 2864

G. OSC/FBIS FEA20080725736000

Classified By: Ambassador Clark T. Randt, Jr. Reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).


1. (C) SUMMARY: Stories in official media focusing on
security concerns, threats of terrorism, incidents of
explosions and alleged uncovered terrorist cells in the
run-up to the Olympics have led to intense government
scrutiny of and fear among the local population. Despite
some accusations aimed at "overseas anti-Chinese forces," the
media's identification of domestic threats such as "East
Turkestan terrorists," "Tibetan separatists," "Falungong
believers" and "dissatisfied persons in society," all threats
largely from within the PRC population, has heightened the
general public's sense of fear. Xinjiang experts in Beijing
and Urumqi echo media hype of the likelihood of an "attack"
during the Olympics by "East Turkestan forces." Resulting
paranoia, as described in a blog entry that has been a hit
among China's netizens in recent days, is coinciding with
increased pressure on Uighurs and even ethnic Mongolians
living in Beijing. Han Chinese also complain that "security
measures" have not increased people's sense of security, but
rather made them feel more vulnerable. As local business
suffers because of security measures, traffic controls and
the exit of thousands of migrant workers from the city, it
appears that a variety of social groups, including government
officials, are ready for the Olympics to be over. A video
allegedly produced by the "Turkestan Islamic Party" (TIP),
which claims responsibility for recent explosions in Kunming,
Wenzhou, Guangzhou and Shanghai, has added to pre-Olympic
anxiety among the Chinese public despite relatively limited
Mainland media coverage of its release. END SUMMARY.

Official Media Stoke Olympics Security Fears
--------------


2. (U) A July 13 article in the CCP flagship newspaper, the
People's Daily, reads that the "March 14" riots in Lhasa,

Tibet, "sounded an alarm to Beijing" and argues that those
incidents along with the recent "uncovering of terror cells"
in Xinjiang show that "overseas anti-Chinese forces" are
willing to use violence "on behalf of Tibetan independence
and Xinjiang independence" (ref A). "The threats facing the
Beijing Olympic Games have exceeded those facing Games of the
past," states the article, adding that the goal of the
Beijing Organizing Committee for the XXIX Olympic Games
(BOCOG) has shifted from hosting "the best Olympics" to
hosting a "secure Olympics." In contrast to the People's
Daily, Li Wei, a counterterrorism expert at the Ministry of
State Security-affiliated China Institutes for Contemporary
International Relations (CICIR),gave greater importance to
threats from within China than to threats from outside when
he called attention to -- in this order -- "East Turkestan
terrorists," "Tibetan separatists," "Falungong believers,"
"dissatisfied persons in society" and "international
terrorists" as the "enemies" of the Beijing Olympic Games in
a July 16 interview with state media (ref B). The Beijing
Youth Daily on July 11 published a notice from the Municipal
Public Security Bureau offering rewards ranging from RMB
10,000-500,000 (USD 1,500-73,000) for information leading to
the prevention of incidents caused by "violent terrorism" or
"Falungong and other cults" (ref C).

Blog Entry Resonates with Chinese Netizens
--------------


3. (U) While discussing the "Kunming explosions" (ref D),"my
colleagues and I all shared the view that it is best not to
leave home if necessary, and not go to crowded areas during
this time," a blogger pen-named Li Puman wrote in recent
days. The entry has resonated with netizens, as many quickly
re-posted Li's piece, entitled "Our Fragile Sense of
Security," on a number of popular websites and chat rooms.
Steps such as publishing a "manual" on what to do in case of
a terrorist attack issued this month by the Ministry of
Public Security have made Li feel like he "could bump into
(terrorists) at any time" (ref E). Li suggests the general
public cannot help but feel "alarmed and suspicious" in the
current environment because "security measures" have not
increased people's sense of security, but rather made them

BEIJING 00002946 002 OF 003


feel more vulnerable. "The Olympics are here and in the
interest of Olympic security, we can tolerate a lot of
inconvenience," comments Li. "But as the Government carries
out this work, shouldn't it at the same time keep in mind the
feelings of the common people and related nerve-calming work?"

CASS Xinjiang Expert Hypes the ETIM Threat to Olympics
-------------- --------------


4. (C) Embassy contacts in academia echo the tone and fear
evident in local state-run media, with special attention paid
to perceived threats from China's Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous
Region (XUAR). Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS)
Xinjiang expert Li Sheng (strictly protect) told PolOffs July
18 he believes there is a "more than 50-percent chance" that
"East Turkestan" forces will "attempt" a violent terrorist
attack during the Olympics. Asked if the Government is
focusing on international terrorists in addition to "East
Turkestan" forces, he replied that "East Turkestan" forces
are in fact an international threat, and cited the East
Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) as a predominately
"international group."


5. (C) Ma Pinyan (strictly protect) an expert on religious
extremism and counterterrorism at the Xinjiang Academy of
Social Sciences in Urumqi, XUAR, told PolOff on July 17 that
he believes Beijing security is too tight to allow an attack
in the nation's capital, but said there is a strong chance of
an incident in Xinjiang during the Olympics. Ma refused to
attribute the recent surge in reporting on thwarted
"terrorist" attacks and disruption of "terrorist cells" in
Xinjiang as a public awareness campaign, asserting rather
that the "terrorists" are becoming more active as the
Olympics approach. Li Sheng, however, suggested that timing
of the reported public sentencing and execution of three
"East Turkestan terrorists" in Kashgar on July 9, one month
before the start of the Games, is a clear sign to potential
troublemakers "not to disrupt the Olympics" (ref F).

Scholar: CT a "New Issue," Government "Very Nervous"
-------------- --------------


6. (C) Director of South Asian, Middle Eastern and African
Studies at the Foreign Ministry-affiliated China Institute of
International Studies (CIIS),Li Guofu (strictly protect)
noted to PolOffs as early as February 2008 that a broad
problem the Government faces is how to increase public
vigilance toward terrorism without upsetting "social peace
and happiness." Li was skeptical of China's Olympic security
preparedness, repeatedly stressing that Chinese security
forces have "no experience" with counterterrorism work and
that they are "very, very nervous." The stress on the
Government is understandably high. Zhang Dajun, Co-Founder
of the Beijing-based Transition Institute think tank
(strictly protect),told PolOff that Party officials across
Beijing "all cannot wait for the Olympics to be over."

Authorities Worried about "Dangerous" Ethnic Groups?
-------------- --------------


7. (C) CASS's Li Sheng said that security organs aim to
"understand the circumstances" of every non-resident in
Beijing, regardless of what ethnicity, country or even
province from which he or she comes. However, contacts
around Beijing suggest that authorities are paying special
attention to particular ethnic minority groups. A Beijing
native (strictly protect) who works at a state-owned company
in Beijing said that at an office retreat this spring, the
staff had to attend a pre-Olympic security lecture in which
they were encouraged to immediately call the police if they
noticed Tibetans or Uighurs engaging in "strange behavior."
A popular Shanghai English-language blog recently posted a
security notice from Shanghai's "Tomorrow Square" office
tower complex that alerts the public to immediately report to
the guard staff if "Tibetans, Uighurs or ethnic Hui from
Qinghai's Hualong County enter the tower." (NOTE: Though
Hualong County is famous in Qinghai Province for underground
gun production, Post is unaware of a separatist threat
there.) An ethnic Kazakh professor from Xinjiang told PolOff
in May that ethnic minority police officers, including one of
his own family members, have been recruited to assist with
security in Olympic host cities in recent months because of
their language abilities. He offered no further information
on the numbers or duties of such recruits.


8. (C) A Uighur native of Kashgar working as a musician in

BEIJING 00002946 003 OF 003


Beijing (strictly protect) told PolOff in May that undercover
police often visit the bar where his band performs because of
the substantial number of Uighurs who frequent the
establishment. On July 14, the same contact told PolOff that
police had visited his apartment twice in recent weeks to
"ask for ID" and take pictures inside his apartment. Because
of this pressure, he says he will begrudgingly return to
Kashgar for the duration of the Olympics.


9. (C) A 26-year-old ethnic Mongolian surnamed Li who works
at an American-run public relations firm (strictly protect)
in Beijing told PolOff that the police are thwarting her
Beijing residence permit renewal, a procedure that she says
has been an annual, five-minute routine for the past eight
years. Li is actually only one-eighth Mongolian and does not
even speak any Mongolian language, but her mother chose to
register her as an ethnic Mongolian at birth so that she
could enjoy education and family planning benefits for ethnic
minorities. She has made numerous trips to her Beijing
neighborhood police department over the past several weeks,
only to be told each time that she needs to provide another
document to secure the signature of a higher official. One
police officer at the station told her that they had no
record of her residence permit, while another bluntly told
her that her renewal is facing difficulties because
Mongolians are one of the "three dangerous ethnic groups,"
which also include Uighurs and Tibetans.

TIP Video Downplayed by Official Media
--------------


10. (SBU) While the nationalistic, CCP-sponsored Global Times
newspaper reported the TIP video, calling it a "good
opportunity for China to rebut international criticism," and
Cankao Xiaoxi (a Chinese-language digest of international
press pieces) reprinted articles from Hong Kong and Taiwan on
the video, most Mainland media neglected to cover the story
(ref G). State media have quoted local government officials
and CICIR expert Li Wei stating that terrorism had nothing to
do with the explosions in southern China. Multiple postings
of the TIP video are available on YouTube, but the connection
timed out when PolOff twice tried on two different
(non-Embassy) computers to view the video, suggesting
government censorship. Youku.com, a PRC-based,
Chinese-language clone of YouTube, is not carrying the video.


11. (C) Tsinghua University School of Humanities and Social
Sciences Dean and advisor to the Beijing Municipal Government
Li Qiang (strictly protect) told PolOff on July 29 he had not
even heard of the TIP video, but asserted that Beijing would
downplay such a story out of fear that publicizing such an
open threat from Uighur terrorists would risk causing panic.
Tsinghua's Li believes that the Chinese Government is very
concerned about an incident at the Games and just about
anybody could pose a threat. An incident-free Games is now
the priority, even if it raises the risk of Chinese security
forces overstepping and harming the image of the Games, said
Li.
RANDT