Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08BASRAH43
2008-05-13 07:28:00
CONFIDENTIAL
REO Basrah
Cable title:  

SOUTHERN REGION FORMATION STILL ON BASRAWI MINDS

Tags:  PGOV IR IZ 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO2613
PP RUEHDE RUEHDIR RUEHIHL RUEHKUK
DE RUEHBC #0043/01 1340728
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P R 130728Z MAY 08
FM REO BASRAH
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0736
RUEHGB/AMEMBASSY BAGHDAD PRIORITY 0319
INFO RUEHBC/REO BASRAH 0773
RUCNIRA/IRAN COLLECTIVE
RUCNRAQ/IRAQ COLLECTIVE
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BASRAH 000043 

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 5/13/2018
TAGS: PGOV IR IZ
SUBJECT: SOUTHERN REGION FORMATION STILL ON BASRAWI MINDS

REF: A. A) BASRAH 9

B. ( B) BASRAH 2

C. (C) BASRAH 13

D. ( D) BASRAH 41

BASRAH 00000043 001.2 OF 002


CLASSIFIED BY: Howell Howard, Director, Regional Embassy Office
Basrah, Dept. of State.
REASON: 1.4 (b),(d)



C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BASRAH 000043

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 5/13/2018
TAGS: PGOV IR IZ
SUBJECT: SOUTHERN REGION FORMATION STILL ON BASRAWI MINDS

REF: A. A) BASRAH 9

B. ( B) BASRAH 2

C. (C) BASRAH 13

D. ( D) BASRAH 41

BASRAH 00000043 001.2 OF 002


CLASSIFIED BY: Howell Howard, Director, Regional Embassy Office
Basrah, Dept. of State.
REASON: 1.4 (b),(d)




1. (C//REL USA, MCFI) Summary: The formation of a southern Iraqi
region is still on the agenda of many political actors in
Basrah. With the exception of the Sunnis and staunch
nationalists, the preponderance of Basrawis appears to favor a
southern region in some form. ISCI's ultimate goal remains a
nine-province region, but it has delayed work until after the
provincial elections and may first support the creation of
smaller regions in the South hoping to amalgamate them later.
Fadhila still wants to turn Basrah into a region, but is waiting
for ISCI to move first. Finally, the small Federal Democratic
Iraqi Coalition wishes to create a region out of Maysan, Dhi Qar
and Basrah. End Summary.

WHY THE SOUTH WANTS A REGION
--------------


2. (C//REL USA, MCFI) According to numerous and varied sources,
the preponderance of Basrawis favor the creation of a regional
assembly. Several reasons are often cited for a southern
region. There is a genuine and persistent resentment among
southerners for the way Baghdad has transferred the South's
resources - predominantly oil wealth and electrical power - to
the North for several decades (and including PM Maliki's
government). This sentiment is compounded by the recognition of
the economic benefits that the Kurdish Regional Government has
experienced since its formation. Southerners also want to
redress decades of neglect to the South under the former regime,
secure greater autonomy from Baghdad, and give political
recognition to the cultural and religious homogeneity of the
southern provinces.

ISCI: STILL AFTER NINE PROVINCES
--------------

3. (C//REL USA, MCFI) The ISCI party leader in Basrah, Furat al
Shar'a, told us on May 3 that ISCI still prefers forming a
single region out of the nine provinces south of Baghdad, but
elections had to come first. ISCI, recognizing they lack enough
clout in several provinces, will not pursue a super province
initially. Instead, ISCI will try to form smaller regions with
the intention of amalgamating them later (Ref A). ISCI's first

attempt at forming a region would likely comprise Babil,
Qadisiyah, Najaf and Muthanna. ISCI would also support the
efforts of other parties to amalgamate Basrah, Dhi Qar, and
Maysan. ISCI remains opposed to Fadhila's plan to form a
single-province region out of Basrah.

FADHILA: BASRAH AS A PROVINCE REGION
--------------

4. (C//REL USA, MCFI) Fadhila has been laying the groundwork
over the past couple of months to turn Basrah into a
single-province region, but has also considered including Maysan
and Dhi Qar. Governor Mohammed Wa'eli told us May 11 that
Fadhila was collecting signatures to obtain the two percent
threshold required for holding a region formation referendum
(Refs B & C) and that he convinced local Sadrist leaders to
support Fadhila's plan. However, Wa'eli also noted that Fadhila
is delaying further action until after the elections unless ISCI
attempts to form a region first. Fadhila continues to state
that it seeks to deny ISCI - and thus Iran - a proxy state by
making Basrah a region. Wa'eli opined that Basrawis would want
to protect their control over the resources and therefore would
oppose Basrah's amalgamation into a larger ISCI dominated region.

SMALL PARTY GETS IN THE ACT
--------------

5. (C//REL USA, MCFI) The Federal Democratic Iraq Coalition
(FDIC),a minor political party, is also intent on turning
Basrah, Maysan and Dhi Qar provinces into a single region (Ref
D). FDIC has organized a "Southern Tribal Council" of civil
society groups, editors, artists, and intellectuals to lobby for
a region. FDIC reasons that the South needs to become a region
to protect itself from Iranian interference, separate it from
the clerical influence of Najaf, and achieve some autonomy from
Baghdad. FDIC selected these three provinces because they had
the most in common culturally and economically, they suffered
the most under Saddam Hussein, and three provinces would be
easier to control than the nine-province region proposed by
ISCI. According to other sources, the Kurds are funding the
FDIC's efforts to provide political cover for their own region.
Wa'eli also told us that CoR member and former Basrah Governor,
Wa'el Abd al-Latif al-Fadel, has been working with "independent

BASRAH 00000043 002.2 OF 002


entities" to collect signatures, but he was uncertain if Wa'el
was working with FDIC.

COMMENT
--------------

6. (C//REL USA, MCFI) It is unlikely that efforts to create a
southern region, in one form or the other, will disappear soon.
Aside from nationalists and Sunnis, the stiffest opposition
would likely come from Prime Minister Maliki and his Dawa Party,
who would not benefit from a region formation and lose influence
over a portion of the country. Fadhila's delaying tactic is
also likely due to our messaging that while this is ultimately
an Iraqi decision, there are more pressing issues at this time
for Iraq to deal with (elections, reconciliation, hydrocarbons
law, etc.). Wa'eli told us most recently that the U.S. and UK
both seemed to oppose region formation now; while we stressed
again that it was an Iraqi decision, Wa'eli appears to be taking
a lack of overt support as a reason to hold off for the moment.
End Comment.
HOWARD