Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08BAGHDAD3231
2008-10-06 14:33:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Baghdad
Cable title:  

PRT KIRKUK: IFTAR CELEBRATIONS REFLECT BOTH

Tags:  PGOV PHUM KDEM IZ 
pdf how-to read a cable
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O 061433Z OCT 08
FM AMEMBASSY BAGHDAD
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9822
INFO RUCNRAQ/IRAQ COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BAGHDAD 003231 

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/31/2018
TAGS: PGOV PHUM KDEM IZ
SUBJECT: PRT KIRKUK: IFTAR CELEBRATIONS REFLECT BOTH
OPTIMISM AND SKEPTICISM ABOUT ELECTION LAW PASSAGE

REF: BAGHDAD 3082

Classified By: Classified by PRT Leader Howard Keegan; reasons 1.4(b) a
nd (d)

This is a Kirkuk PRT reporting cable.

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BAGHDAD 003231

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/31/2018
TAGS: PGOV PHUM KDEM IZ
SUBJECT: PRT KIRKUK: IFTAR CELEBRATIONS REFLECT BOTH
OPTIMISM AND SKEPTICISM ABOUT ELECTION LAW PASSAGE

REF: BAGHDAD 3082

Classified By: Classified by PRT Leader Howard Keegan; reasons 1.4(b) a
nd (d)

This is a Kirkuk PRT reporting cable.


1. (C) Summary: At a 25 September PRT-hosted iftar that
brought together community leaders from all ethnicities in
Kirkuk Province, attendees had the opportunity to socialize
and to share views on the just-passed provincial election
law. The overall tone was optimistic. Arabs were most
positive, followed closely by the Turkomen with the Kurds
superficially positive but cautious. Even Kurdish leaders
recognized a new phase of negotiations had begun. No one set
down unhelpful demands or redlines, a change from previous
discussions with PRT members on the same topic. End summary.


2. (SBU) PRT hosted an iftar September 25, and conversation
among Kurdish, Arab, and Turkomen participants focused on the
just-passed Provincial Elections Law. The collective Arab
reaction is that Article 24 of the new law responds to enough
of their demands to meet the community's needs. They gave up
the external enforcement mechanism of the original Article
24's paragraph 7, but believe the compromise law ensures
Kirkuk's future remains for the Council of Representatives
(COR) to decide. If the COR fails, Arabs are comfortable
that the "three presidencies" (a reference to the Presidency
Council),will develop a solution for Kirkuk along with the
UN. Kirkuki Arabs also are pleased that the COR committee
will examine allegations the Kurds attempted to forcibly
changed Kirkuk's demography since 2003 and that it will
require a full review of voter registries. Arabs say they
are prepared to support the work of the committee at the
local level. The leader of the emergent Arab Unity Party,
Abu Saddam, seemed more moderate than even two days before,
acknowledging "we accept we cannot get everything" and that
Article 24 is a "good compromise and the Arabs are getting
important things."


3. (SBU) Formerly disorganized Arab political community
leaders appear to have been planning for this moment for some
time. The Arab Unity Bloc (AUB) has already formed
subcommittees covering agricultural land issues,
identification card registration review, and "trespassers"
(i.e., residents brought in to Kirkuk to change the
province's demography) to facilitate the work of the Article
24 Committee. Both the Kurds and Turkomen appear to be one
step behind in the process before it has even begun.


4. (SBU) The Turkomen had sought non-Kurdish (Shi'a
majority, if possible) Iraqi Army troops from the south to
take over provincial security, to facilitate greater and more
open Turkomen participation in Kirkuk's political life.
While Turkomen contacts said that the approved Article 24
didn't give them all they wanted, they still regard it as
positive for their community. Turkomen leaders told us they
are going to help the committee by providing it with
documents and information about jinsiya registration cards to
help validate voter registration lists.


5. (SBU) Kurdish reactions, from both PUK/KDP and
politically independent Kurds, varied. Several KDP members
indicated they will insist that territorial claims under
Article 140 be addressed, including land tenure decisions and
forcible changes to Kirkuk's demography directed against
Kurds since 1968. They alleged past destruction of 772
Kurdish villages and said the Article 24 Commission must deal
with this to be valid. PUK members spoke more moderately,
reflecting involvement by party members in developing and
approving the compromise Article 24. Independent Kurds were
fairly skeptical, criticizing the performance of the two
major Kurdish parties and questioning their dedication to the
Kurdish people. Some seemed to question whether KDP and PUK
helped to postpone the Provincial Elections Law for their own
political interests.


6. (C) Comment: While Kirkuki public reaction to the
Provincial Elections Law has been generally positive, there
are differences in perception among Kirkuk's ethnic
communities regarding their relative success in the
negotiations and necessary next steps. Arabs are satisfied
and committed to working within the Article 24 framework.
The Turkomen are somewhat more skeptical of making additional
political gains, but support the process. Kurdish views are
varied. While the PUK seems ready to engage, KDP leaders may
take a harder approach that could degrade the Committee's
probability of success. Nevertheless, each of Kirkuk's
ethnic communities seem to think they succeeded in protecting
enough of their fundamental interests to avoid walking away,

BAGHDAD 00003231 002 OF 002


although they appreciate that they did so in part through
some creative ambiguity. End comment.

CROCKER