Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08ANKARA1293
2008-07-18 13:19:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Ankara
Cable title:  

TURKEY APPROACHES MEDITERRANEAN UNION WITH CAUTION

Tags:  PREL PGOV FR TU IS SY 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO0883
RR RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
DE RUEHAK #1293/01 2001319
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 181319Z JUL 08
FM AMEMBASSY ANKARA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 6887
INFO RUEHXK/ARAB ISRAELI COLLECTIVE
RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
RHMFISS/EUCOM POLAD VAIHINGEN GE
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC
RUEUITH/ODC ANKARA TU
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ANKARA 001293 

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/15/2018
TAGS: PREL PGOV FR TU IS SY
SUBJECT: TURKEY APPROACHES MEDITERRANEAN UNION WITH CAUTION
AND CYNICISM

REF: PARIS 1358

Classified By: POL Counselor Daniel O'Grady, for reasons 1.4 (b,d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ANKARA 001293

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/15/2018
TAGS: PREL PGOV FR TU IS SY
SUBJECT: TURKEY APPROACHES MEDITERRANEAN UNION WITH CAUTION
AND CYNICISM

REF: PARIS 1358

Classified By: POL Counselor Daniel O'Grady, for reasons 1.4 (b,d)


1. (C) Summary: Despite PM Erdogan's last minute decision to
attend the Mediterranean Union Summit July 13-14, the GOT
remains highly skeptical of the organization's viability, as
well as French intentions. Turkey's MFA successfully
negotiated a series of concessions in the final communiqu to
ensure the Mediterranean Union would not become an
alternative to full EU membership for Turkey, as first
proposed by President Sarkozy during his election campaign,
and guaranteeing Turkish Cypriot project access. Turkey will
likely hedge committing further to the Union concept until
after modalities are finalized at a Ministerial in November.
Erdogan and Sarkozy primarily discussed Turkey's EU accession
bid during their side meeting. Sarkozy reportedly offered
assurances that his opposition to Turkish membership would
not influence France's actions as the EU Presidency Chairman.
Meanwhile, growing French interest in the Israel/Syria talks
is not necessarily welcomed in Ankara, which may further cool
an already tepid bilateral relationship. End Summary.


2. (C) Although the Union for the Mediterranean has evolved
significantly since French President Sarkozy first floated
the idea as an alternative to Turkish EU membership, the GOT
maintains strong reservations. MFA EU Political Relations
Department Head Cengiz Furat explained Turkey supports the
Mediterranean Union as a forum for expanding the Barcelona
Process and increasing regional dialogue. Nevertheless, the
GOT worries that France will use Turkey's Mediterranean Union
membership to block its EU bid and that the organization
could exasperate existing Eastern Mediterranean tensions.
The GOT is especially leery of project selection; Greece and
Cyprus have already submitted a regional sea highway project
that would exclude Turkey. The MFA will closely monitor how
such modalities are addressed at the November Ministerial
before deciding the full extent of Turkish participation.

NEGOTIATING A PRENUPTIAL AGREEMENT
--------------

3. (C) French Embassy Second Secretary Francois-Xavier

Reymond told us Turkey played extremely coy in the months
leading up to the Paris Summit. When the French Government
first broached the issue in February, the GOT maintained it
"must evaluate" the proposal before committing. The MFA
insisted on communiqu language stating: 1) Turkey is an EU
aspirant country; 2) membership in the Mediterranean Union
and the EU are not mutually exclusive; and 3) the maritime
and land highways projects will apply to the entire
Mediterranean basin. In addition, the GOT wanted assurances
that Turkish Cypriots would be allowed to participate in
Union projects. Although the MFA approved the joint
declaration at a July 3-4 working level meeting, PM Erdogan
only agreed to attend the Paris Summit after Sarkozy extended
three written invitations and made a last-minute plea on July
8 via telephone.

SYMBOLIC MEETING ON THE MARGINS
--------------

4. (C) Reymond described Erdogan and Sarkozy's bilateral
meeting as "symbolic," highlighting the fact that the two
leaders had never previously met with full protocols in
either capital. Sarkozy reportedly explained that the
original concept for the Mediterranean Union reflected
campaign rhetoric and was never operationalized, underscoring
that membership in this Mediterranean Union does not preclude
EU accession. During France's Presidency, Sarkozy told
Erdogan the EU would open as many chapters as possible (at
least two) as determined by Turkey's technical readiness.
Sarkozy, nevertheless, cautioned that France had not changed
its position on Turkey's EU membership.


5. (C) Sarkozy lauded Turkey's mediation efforts between
Israel and Syria during a brief discussion on the Middle East
peace process. On other issues, Erdogan and Sarkozy simply
agreed to disagree. Furat said the tone was congenial,
adding that both leaders skirted the more contentious issues.
France's decision to circumvent protocol and seat Erdogan at
Sarkozy's table for dinner was well received, Furat commented.

MORE OF THE SARKO SHOW?
--------------

6. (C) Comment: Despite Erdogan's attendance at the Paris

ANKARA 00001293 002 OF 002


Summit, the GOT is approaching the Mediterranean Union with
caution and cynicism. Many Turks question whether it will
become anything "more than the Sarko Show." Furthermore, the
GOT does not want to create another venue for France and
Cyprus to challenge Turkey's EU aspirations. France's use of
the Paris Summit to reestablish itself as a Middle East
player has also raised some eyebrows here. Although Turkey
has publicly stated it supports all efforts to advance the
Middle East peace process, France's newfound interest in the
Israel/Syria talks, an issue on which Turkey has hung its
foreign policy credentials, could lead to additional tension
in the bilateral relationship. End Comment.

Visit Ankara's Classified Web Site at
http://www.intelink.sgov.gov/wiki/Portal:Turk ey

WILSON