Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08ADDISABABA304
2008-02-07 12:08:00
CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN
Embassy Addis Ababa
Cable title:  

ETHIOPIA/ERITREA: UNMEE DECIDES TO WITHDRAW FROM

Tags:  PREL PBTS MOPS KPKO ET ER 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO1693
PP RUEHROV
DE RUEHDS #0304/01 0381208
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 071208Z FEB 08
FM AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9458
INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY 7237
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RHMFISS/CJTF HOA PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RHMFISS/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ADDIS ABABA 000304 

SIPDIS

NOFORN
SIPDIS

DEPARTMENT FOR AF AND AF/E , AND INR/AA
LONDON, PARIS, ROME FOR AFRICA WATCHER
CJTF-HOA AND USCENTCOM FOR POLAD

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/07/2018
TAGS: PREL PBTS MOPS KPKO ET ER
SUBJECT: ETHIOPIA/ERITREA: UNMEE DECIDES TO WITHDRAW FROM
ERITREA

REF: 08 ADDIS ABABA 117

Classified By: Ambassador Donald Yamamoto for Reasons: 1.4 (B) and (D).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ADDIS ABABA 000304

SIPDIS

NOFORN
SIPDIS

DEPARTMENT FOR AF AND AF/E , AND INR/AA
LONDON, PARIS, ROME FOR AFRICA WATCHER
CJTF-HOA AND USCENTCOM FOR POLAD

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/07/2018
TAGS: PREL PBTS MOPS KPKO ET ER
SUBJECT: ETHIOPIA/ERITREA: UNMEE DECIDES TO WITHDRAW FROM
ERITREA

REF: 08 ADDIS ABABA 117

Classified By: Ambassador Donald Yamamoto for Reasons: 1.4 (B) and (D).


1. (C/NF) SUMMARY. On February 6, Acting Special
Representative of the Secretary General Azouz Ennifar ordered
the United Nations Mission in Ethiopia and Eritrea (UNMEE) to
execute a complete withdrawal from Eritrea after being unable
to obtain fuel from the Eritrean government since December 1.
Ethiopian Prime Minister has agreed to allow the force to
withdraw into Ethiopia but he will not allow them to stay in
Ethiopia for more than a few weeks after the redeployment is
complete. Meles expects that UNMEE will be changed into an
observer mission when the mandate comes up for renewal in
July 2008. UNMEE's operations order (OPORD) outlines a
timeline of three weeks to move the entire force with its
equipment into Ethiopia. However, Ennifar is not certain
Eritrean President Isaias will allow the force to withdraw
with its equipment and vehicles. END SUMMARY.

--------------
ENNIFAR ORDERS FULL WITHDRAWAL
--------------


2. (C/NF) On February 6, Ennifar ordered UNMEE to withdraw
completely from Eritrea after being unable to obtain fuel for
the mission from the Eritrean government since December 1
(REF). UNMEE/Eritrea no longer has sufficient fuel to
operate and is nearly down to its strategic reserves which
they can only use for evacuation of the force. Publicly, the
UN is calling the move temporary, but few observers believe
UNMEE will return to Eritrea. Ennifar told Ambassador on
February 6 that he expected the advance elements from UNMEE
to begin arriving in Ethiopia within 48 hours.

-------------- --
ETHIOPIA INSISTS WITHDRAWING FORCES CANNOT STAY
-------------- --


3. (C/NF) According to UNMEE officers, Ennifar's plan was
to relocate to Ethiopia, establish new team sites, and

monitor the border with the full force from the Ethiopian
side, but the Ethiopian government will only allow the
withdrawing forces to stay in Ethiopia temporarily. The
Ethiopian Ministry of Defense instructed UNMEE to move the
additional forces to existing UNMEE sites, and is refusing to
allow UNMEE to establish new camps. UNMEE officers note that
the current UNMEE infrastructure in Ethiopia is not prepared
to accept hundreds of additional troops and staff.


4. (C/NF) Prime Minister Meles told the Ambassador on
February 6 that he would allow UNMEE to evacuate into
Ethiopia, but that the forces could not reestablish
themselves in Ethiopia. Meles expects that UNMEE will be
changed to an observer mission when the mandate comes up for
renewal in July 2008. In the meantime, Meles said the
additional UNMEE troops must leave Ethiopia within a few
weeks after the redeployment is complete, but the UNMEE
forces currently deployed in Ethiopia will remain as they are
until UNMEE's mandate is changed.

--------------
UNMEE NEEDS THREE WEEKS TO RELOCATE
--------------


5. (C/NF) UNMEE's operations order (OPORD) lays out a
timeline of three weeks to redeploy the entire force with its
equipment into Ethiopia. It provides one week for the
advance elements to enter Ethiopia and two weeks for the main
force to follow on. According to the timeline, D Day-7 is
the decision to relocate with D-6 to D-1 allotted for the
movement of the advance parties. D-Day to D 15 is allotted
for the movement of the main force. According to UNMEE
officers, Ennifar does not yet have permission from the
Ethiopian MOD to commence the movement of the main body and
D-Day has not yet been set although advance party movement is
to begin February 8.


6. (C/NF) UNMEE's OPORD outlines a three-phased

ADDIS ABAB 00000304 002 OF 002


redeployment: "Phase I. Move of Advance Parties from
complete compliment of UNMEE, including all civilians and
military personnel along with the associated assets/equipment
considered essential for setting up the same facility at an
alternate location in Ethiopia or to the designated staging
area. The complete move of Advance Parties will be carried
out by air from Asmara to Addis Ababa and by road from
Eritrea to the locations in the Adjacent Area on the
Ethiopian side..."


7. (C/NF) "Phase II. Move of main body of the UNMEE by air
from Asmara to Addis Ababa and by road through the designated
crossing points. The Main Body will comprise of all
personnel of UNMEE and the associated assets/equipment,
except those personnel and assets/equipment which will
continue to stay behind as Rear Party for completion of
winding up at the respective locations."


8. (C/NF) "Phase III. Rear Party of UNMEE along with the
assets/equipment left behind will move to the new location by
air/road after completing the task of winding up and
obtaining the requisite clearances from the local
authorities. After the move of the Rear Party, there will be
no personnel, equipment/assets or liabilities of UNMEE Force
HQ on the Eritrean side of the Mission."

--------------
UNCERTAIN IF UNMEE CAN LEAVE WITH EQUIPMENT
--------------


9. (C/NF) Ennifar told the Ambassador on February 6 that he
is not certain President Isaias will allow UNMEE to enter
Ethiopia with any equipment or vehicles. Ennifar believes
UNMEE officers may have to walk into Ethiopia, but he will
not know for sure until the redeployment begins and the first
troops reach the border. Until then UNMEE is proceeding
under the assumption that they will be allowed to transfer
all their equipment and assets to Ethiopia.

--------------
COMMENT
--------------


10. (C/NF) Meles appears to see little utility in UNMEE
once it departs Eritrea although he is willing to accept a
small observer mission focused on monitoring Eritrean
military activity. It is clear that the Ethiopian military
does not want to see additional military observation sites
established in Ethiopia as they probably do not want
additional observation of their own military activity. END
COMMENT.
YAMAMOTO