Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08ABUJA1986
2008-10-08 17:36:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Abuja
Cable title:  

NIGERIA: RUMORS AND MURMURS OF CHANGE, BUT STILL

Tags:  PGOV PREL PINR NI 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO1499
OO RUEHPA
DE RUEHUJA #1986/01 2821736
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 081736Z OCT 08
FM AMEMBASSY ABUJA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4115
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUEHYD/AMEMBASSY YAOUNDE 0410
RUEHOS/AMCONSUL LAGOS 0046
RUEAHQA/AFRICA CENTER FOR STRATEGIC STUDIES WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USAFRICOM STUTTGART GE
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUZEJAA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ABUJA 001986 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR AF/W, INR/AA
DOE FOR GEORGE PERSON

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/08/2018
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: RUMORS AND MURMURS OF CHANGE, BUT STILL
NO CABINET RESHUFFLE

REF: ABUJA 1966 AND PREVIOUS

Classified By: Acting DCM Walter Pflaumer for reasons 1.4. (b & d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ABUJA 001986

SIPDIS

STATE FOR AF/W, INR/AA
DOE FOR GEORGE PERSON

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/08/2018
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: RUMORS AND MURMURS OF CHANGE, BUT STILL
NO CABINET RESHUFFLE

REF: ABUJA 1966 AND PREVIOUS

Classified By: Acting DCM Walter Pflaumer for reasons 1.4. (b & d).


1. (C) Summary. Although the long-awaited and much-discussed
Cabinet reshuffle still has not materialized, we are starting
to see some changes around the edges of the administration.
President Yar'Adua appointed three prominent ANPP members
(FYI: the ANPP is one of two opposition parties which have
agreed to join a Government of National Unity with the ruling
PDP) to Special Advisor positions within the Presidential
Villa on October 7. As well, he released a list of eleven
Ambassadorial appointments to the Senate for confirmation.
Although the Villa has been very tight-lipped concerning the
long-awaited Cabinet reshuffle, an October 7 This Day article
maintains one of the new ministers may be a sitting Northwest
senator. Post provides details below on these appointments
and some background information on the individuals involved.
Although none of these appointments or nominations are as
high-profiled or highly-contested as the ministerial
nominations will be, there are some possibly troublesome
appointments: one of which would remove the highly competent
Secretary to the still-nascent Niger Delta Technical Advisory
Committee and another of which would give former Delta
Governor James Ibori yet another job in the administration
for a member of his network. End Summary.


2. (C) On October 7, President Yar'Adua appointed three All
Nigerian Peoples' Party (ANPP) members to his senior staff.
Senator and National Secretary of the ANPP Saidu Kumo was
appointed Special Advisor on Inter-Party Affairs, ANPP Deputy
National Chairman (for the South) Prince Ebutta Ayuk was
appointed Special Advisor on Non-Governmental Affairs, and
Chineme Ume-Ezeoke (son of ANPP National Chairman Edwin
Ume-Ezeoke) was appointed Special Advisor on Civil
Organizations.

-- Saidu Kumo is the National Secretary of the ANPP since
2006 and served as an ANPP Senator representing Gombe State
from 1999 to 2003. Kumo was a strong advocate of the
Government of National Unity from within the ANPP and was
accused by ANPP Presidential Candidate Mohammadu Buhari of

working with the PDP to destroy the ANPP.

-- Prince Ebutta Ayuk is the Deputy National Chairman of the
ANPP for the South. He has been active in the Government of
National Unity, particularly in working to attract smaller
parties into the coalition.

-- Chineme Ume-Ezeoke is the eldest son of Chief Edwin
Ume-Ezeoke, current National Chairman of the ANPP and
Buhari's running mate in the 2007 elections. He is a
newcomer in politics and his appiontment is believed to be a
reward to his father for his support of Yar'Adua and the
Government of National Unity. (NOTE: Edwin Ume-Ezeoke
distanced himself from Buhari following the announcement of
Yar'Adua's victory and has withdrawn his participation in
Buhari's election petition.)


3. (C) An October 7 This Day article cited a source as saying
that one of the new ministerial nominees is a serving senator
from the northwest geopolitical zone. The article went on to
claim that the senator is a vice chairman of a standing
committee, was instrumental in the appointment of the current
minister from his state, was once a state governor, and is
close to Yar'Adua. Post has identified four senators who
meet these criteria: Saminu Taraki of Jigawa State, Ahmed
Sani of Zamfara State, Tanko Ayuba of Kaduna State and Adamu
Aliero of Kebbi State. We consider Taraki and Sani the most
likely candidates of the four.

-- Saminu Taraki is a close associate of former Delta
Governor James Ibori and, by extension, Yar'Adua. In the
Senate, he has been raising the idea of amending the
constitution to elongate the term of the President to seven
years from the current four. On July 13, 2007 Taraki was
arraigned before an Abuja court by the Ribadu-led Economic
and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) for allegedly

ABUJA 00001986 002 OF 002


embezzling 36 billion Naira (approximately $30.5 million)
while serving as Governor.

-- Ahmed Sani is the immediate past Governor of Zamfara
State. He is an ANPP Senator and close to Yar'Adua as well
as the Senate leadership. Sani was instrumental in
orchestrating the ANPP's cooperation with the Government of
National Unity, and there are rumors he may decamp to the
ruling Peoples' Democratic Party (PDP). He was verbally
accused of corruption by the Ribadu-led EFCC shortly before
he left office in 2007; however, he has never been arraigned
in court.


4. (C) On October 7, the Yar'Adua administration sent a list
of eleven ambassadorial nominations to the Senate for
confirmation. In keeping with standard practice, the list
contains only the names, and not the postings to which the
nominees will be assigned. Included on the list are Nkoyo
Toyo (Secretary to the newly-formed Niger Delta Technical
Advisory Committee and PDP member from Cross River State),
Ambassador Aminu Wali (former Ambassador to the United
Nations from 2003 to 2007 and a leading member of the PDP
from Kano State),and Ambassador Ghali Umar (a career
ambassador in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs from Kano State
and current State Chief of Protocol at the Presidential
Villa). Other nominees included: H. Abdullahi (Niger State),

L. Bature (Katsina State),L.O. Akindele (Oyo State),Samuel
Folorunsho Aiyedona (Lagos State),R.O. Eze (Enugu State),
Lawrence Nwuruku (Ebonyi State, and a former National
Commissioner of the Independent National Electoral
Commission),Isaac Onuh (Kogi State),and Adamu Daura
(Katsina State).


5. (C) Comment. Although none of this gets us any closer to
the long-awaited Cabinet reshuffle, it does at least portend
some movement within the Presidential Villa. Whether it is
enough to satisfy the calls to announce the Cabinet reshuffle
(and at least give the impression of movement within the
glacial Yar'Adua administration),at least for a few days, is
hard to say. There are, in any case, some potentially
troublesome appointments even on this smaller and less
highly-contested list. The possible reassignment of Nkoyo
Toyo, whom post has found to be very competent and
responsive, within weeks of establishing the Niger Delta
Technical Advisory Committee is poor planning at best and
potentially damaging to the work of the Committee at worst.
As well, if the senator rumored to be on the list of
ministers is, as we suspect, Turaki, then former Delta
Governor James Ibori will have scored yet another placement
in the upper ranks of Yar'Adua's administration. End comment.

This cable coordinated with Consulate Lagos.
Piascik