Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08ABUJA1829
2008-09-09 16:07:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Abuja
Cable title:  

NIGERIA: KINGIBE OUT, DEFMIN AHMED IN AS SECRETARY

Tags:  PGOV NI 
pdf how-to read a cable
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FM AMEMBASSY ABUJA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 3929
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUEHYD/AMEMBASSY YAOUNDE 0360
RUEHOS/AMCONSUL LAGOS 9920
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RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUZEJAA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
C O N F I D E N T I A L ABUJA 001829 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR AF/W, INR/AA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/04/2018
TAGS: PGOV NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: KINGIBE OUT, DEFMIN AHMED IN AS SECRETARY
TO THE GOVERNMENT OF THE FEDERATION

REF: A. ABUJA 1671

B. ABUJA 1670

C. ABUJA 1063

Classified By: Charge d'affairs Walter Pflaumer for reasons 1.4. (b & d
).

C O N F I D E N T I A L ABUJA 001829

SIPDIS

STATE FOR AF/W, INR/AA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/04/2018
TAGS: PGOV NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: KINGIBE OUT, DEFMIN AHMED IN AS SECRETARY
TO THE GOVERNMENT OF THE FEDERATION

REF: A. ABUJA 1671

B. ABUJA 1670

C. ABUJA 1063

Classified By: Charge d'affairs Walter Pflaumer for reasons 1.4. (b & d
).


1. (C) SUMMARY: On September 8, a press release from the
Presidential Villa announced that Secretary to the Government
of the Federation (SGF) Babagana Kingibe had been fired, and
was to be immediately replaced by Minister of Defense Mahmud
Yayale Ahmed. Ahmed's successor at the Ministry of Defense
(MOD) has not yet been announced. Observers have expected
Kingibe's exit for some time, given his reputation for
scheming and disloyalty; Ahmed has long-term ties to
President Yar'Adua and is known as a solid, steady
bureaucrat. These changes, coming on the heels of major
changes at Defense Headquarters and in the Presidential staff
(reftels A & B),could be the beginning of the long-expected
shake-up in Yar'Adua's administration. END SUMMARY.


2. (C) On September 8, Presidential spokesman Olusegun
Adeniyi announced SGF Kingibe's immediate sacking and his
replacement by DefMin Ahmed. Kingibe is known as a schemer
who first came to public prominence in the mid 1980s, when he
built the People's Democratic Movement with the President's
elder brother, Shehu Yar'Adua. Kingibe was also Vice
Presidential running mate to Moshood Abiola, whose 1993
Social Democratic Party's victory was nullified by Ibrahim
Babangida's government; since then many observers believe
Kingibe has never relinquished his aspiration for Nigeria's
highest office. He has also held the positions of Foreign
Minister, Minister of Internal Affairs, and Minister of Power
and Steel under subsequent governments. Apparently chosen to
compensate for Yar'Adua's lack of experience in governing at
the Federal level, his downfall may have been precipitated by
being "always engaged in nocturnal meetings with politicians
... and leaving his work undone," as one press report said,
and, specifically, for allegedly plotting with former Chief
of Staff Abdullahi Mohammed to remove Yar'Adua from power due
to poor health. Per reftel C, Mohammed himself retired in
June, but is widely believed to have been forced out in a bid
to purge disloyal staff members.


3. (C) Ahmed hails from Bauchi State and attended Ahmadu
Bello University in the 1970s, where he and Yar'Adua were
students together, and, like the President, he holds a
traditional ruler's title. Despite having served as Head of
Civil Service under former President Obasanjo, he maintained
a reputation for being honest, unambitious, and independent,
and is not regarded as belonging to any of Nigeria's
political networks. Believed to be well-liked by the
Northern political elite, he had an indifferent tenure in
office at the MOD, but likely had a role in the August
reshuffle of the Chief of Defense Staff and Service Chiefs.
Many observers believe he will provide Yar'Adua with
disinterested, if not effective service.


4. (C) COMMENT: It is not yet clear whether the long-awaited
sweeping cabinet shake-up has begun, if this a continuation
of the significant but incremental change in personnel of the
last few months, or if this removal of the most powerful
personality in the Government is merely a show of strength
after the weeks of uncertainty following Yar'Adua's
hajj-cum-major medical crisis in Saudi Arabia. The question
may be answered soon, as September 10's Presidential staff
meeting would be a likely venue to announce further changes.
In any event, Yar'Adua's consolidation of power to date
remains slow and reactive. And if Ahmed was viewed as having
any strengths at all during his tenure at MOD, they were his
diplomacy and quiet managerial skills -- abilities that will
likely serve him well under Yar'Adua -- rather than his
desire to make defense policy or directly challenge the top
brass. End comment.
PFLAUMER