Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07USUNNEWYORK854
2007-10-11 21:33:00
SECRET//NOFORN
USUN New York
Cable title:
SOMALI D/PERMREP'S ASSESSMENT OF TFG POLITICS
how-toVZCZCXRO7415 OO RUEHDU RUEHMR RUEHPA RUEHRN RUEHROV RUEHTRO DE RUCNDT #0854 2842133 ZNY SSSSS ZZH O 112133Z OCT 07 FM USMISSION USUN NEW YORK TO RUEHAE/AMEMBASSY ASMARA IMMEDIATE 1244 RUEHNR/AMEMBASSY NAIROBI IMMEDIATE 0647 RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2767 INFO RUEHZO/AFRICAN UNION COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE RUEHGG/UN SECURITY COUNCIL COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC IMMEDIATE
S E C R E T USUN NEW YORK 000854
SIPDIS
NOFORN
SIPDIS
IO AND AF FOR FRONT OFFICE; PLEASE PASS TO SE JOHN YATES
E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/10/2107
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PREL SO
SUBJECT: SOMALI D/PERMREP'S ASSESSMENT OF TFG POLITICS
Classified By: Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad for Reasons 1.4 B/D.
S E C R E T USUN NEW YORK 000854
SIPDIS
NOFORN
SIPDIS
IO AND AF FOR FRONT OFFICE; PLEASE PASS TO SE JOHN YATES
E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/10/2107
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PREL SO
SUBJECT: SOMALI D/PERMREP'S ASSESSMENT OF TFG POLITICS
Classified By: Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad for Reasons 1.4 B/D.
1. (S/NF) SUMMARY: Somali D/PermRep Idd Beddel Mohamed
predicted that the expected parliamentary confidence vote
would produce a new government led by Transitional Federal
Government (TFG) Minister of Commerce, Abdullahi Ahmed Afrah,
or Minister of Interior, Mohamed Mohamud Guled Gamadhere.
END SUMMARY.
2. (S/NF) Poloff met with Somali D/PermRep Idd Beddel Mohamed
on October 10 to discuss the latest political developments in
Somalia. Idd Mohamed reported that he had been monitoring
the political developments closely by phone over the last few
days and had decided to depart New York that evening for
Nairobi, Baidoa and Mogadishu so that he would be present for
the coming "showdown" between TFG President Abdullahi Yusuf
and Prime Minister Ali Gedi.
3. (S/NF) Idd Mohamed said there was "zero percent chance"
that PM Gedi would emerge victorious from the confidence vote
and predicted that the process would occur peacefully and
according to "constitutional" processes. Idd Mohamed
commented, "The President is a very clever man and he has
prepared everything properly."
4. (S/NF) Idd Mohamed said that he was in close contact with
President Yusuf's "immediate family" and that the President
favors either the TFG Minister of Commerce, Abdullahi Ahmed
Afrah, or Minister of Interior, Mohamed Mohamud Guled
Gamadhere, as the new Prime Minister. Idd Mohamed said that
President Yusuf had initially favored National Reconciliation
Congress Chairman Ali Mahdi Mohamed, but President Yusuf had
grown suspicious of Mahdi's growing influence within certain
circles of the TFG.
KHALILZAD
SIPDIS
NOFORN
SIPDIS
IO AND AF FOR FRONT OFFICE; PLEASE PASS TO SE JOHN YATES
E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/10/2107
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PREL SO
SUBJECT: SOMALI D/PERMREP'S ASSESSMENT OF TFG POLITICS
Classified By: Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad for Reasons 1.4 B/D.
1. (S/NF) SUMMARY: Somali D/PermRep Idd Beddel Mohamed
predicted that the expected parliamentary confidence vote
would produce a new government led by Transitional Federal
Government (TFG) Minister of Commerce, Abdullahi Ahmed Afrah,
or Minister of Interior, Mohamed Mohamud Guled Gamadhere.
END SUMMARY.
2. (S/NF) Poloff met with Somali D/PermRep Idd Beddel Mohamed
on October 10 to discuss the latest political developments in
Somalia. Idd Mohamed reported that he had been monitoring
the political developments closely by phone over the last few
days and had decided to depart New York that evening for
Nairobi, Baidoa and Mogadishu so that he would be present for
the coming "showdown" between TFG President Abdullahi Yusuf
and Prime Minister Ali Gedi.
3. (S/NF) Idd Mohamed said there was "zero percent chance"
that PM Gedi would emerge victorious from the confidence vote
and predicted that the process would occur peacefully and
according to "constitutional" processes. Idd Mohamed
commented, "The President is a very clever man and he has
prepared everything properly."
4. (S/NF) Idd Mohamed said that he was in close contact with
President Yusuf's "immediate family" and that the President
favors either the TFG Minister of Commerce, Abdullahi Ahmed
Afrah, or Minister of Interior, Mohamed Mohamud Guled
Gamadhere, as the new Prime Minister. Idd Mohamed said that
President Yusuf had initially favored National Reconciliation
Congress Chairman Ali Mahdi Mohamed, but President Yusuf had
grown suspicious of Mahdi's growing influence within certain
circles of the TFG.
KHALILZAD