Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07USEUBRUSSELS1100
2007-03-30 15:47:00
UNCLASSIFIED
USEU Brussels
Cable title:  

EU UNEMPLOYMENT DOWN TO 7.4 PERCENT; EURO ZONE RATE DOWN

Tags:  ELAB EUN 
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VZCZCXYZ0010
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBS #1100/01 0891547
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 301547Z MAR 07
FM USEU BRUSSELS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC
RUEHC/DOL WASHDC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS USEU BRUSSELS 001100 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DOL FOR BLS AND ILAB
TREASURY FOR IMI
STATE FOR DRL/IL

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ELAB EUN
SUBJECT: EU UNEMPLOYMENT DOWN TO 7.4 PERCENT; EURO ZONE RATE DOWN
TO 7.3 PERCENT


UNCLAS USEU BRUSSELS 001100

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DOL FOR BLS AND ILAB
TREASURY FOR IMI
STATE FOR DRL/IL

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ELAB EUN
SUBJECT: EU UNEMPLOYMENT DOWN TO 7.4 PERCENT; EURO ZONE RATE DOWN
TO 7.3 PERCENT



1. SUMMARY. The aggregate unemployment rate for the EU-27 reached
7.4 percent in February 2007, according to data published by the EU
Commission's Statistical Office (EUROSTAT) on March 30. The
unemployment rate for the euro zone (the thirteen EU countries
participating in the euro) was down to 7.3 percent. END SUMMARY.


2. With seasonal adjustment and compensation for differences in
national statistical methods, the EU-27 unemployment rate stood at
7.4 percent in February 2007, down from 7.5 percent in January 2007
and from 8.2 percent in February 2006. The unemployment rate for
the euro zone stood at 7.3 percent in February 2007, down from 7.4
percent in January 2007 and from 8.2 percent in February 2006. The
month-to-month decreases were chiefly due to the persisting
improvement of the German labor market situation, partially offset
by changes in the French figures (see para 7 below).


3. The lowest rates compiled from the EU-27 for February 2007 were
recorded in Denmark (3.4 percent) and the Netherlands (3.5 percent).
The highest rates were recorded in Poland (11.8 percent) and
Slovakia (11.0 percent),though the rate in both countries was a
full percentage point down in comparison with the December 2006
rates.


4. EUROSTAT noted that twenty-one countries among the EU-27
recorded a decrease in their unemployment rate over a year, four an
increase and two recorded no change. The most significant decreases
(February-to-February comparison) occurred in Slovenia (from 6.5
percent to 4.7 percent),Slovakia (from 14.4 percent to 11.0
percent) and Poland (from 15.1 percent to 11.8 percent). The
highest relative increase was recorded in Hungary (from 7.4 percent
to 7.9 percent).


5. Based on EUROSTAT estimates, male unemployment reached 6.5
percent in February 2007 for the EU-27 and 6.2 percent for the euro
zone, down by 0.9 percentage point and 0.8 percentage point
respectively when compared to February 2007. The female rate over
the same period decreased to 8.4 percent for the EU-27 and to 8.9
percent for the euro zone (minus 0.9 percentage point in both
areas).


6. Unemployment rates among young people under 25 (February 2007
estimates, unless otherwise noted) ranged from 6.7 percent in
Denmark and the Netherlands to 25.5 percent in Poland, 25.5 percent
in Greece (fourth quarter of 2006),and 23.6 percent in Romania.
The rate for this age group in February 2007 was estimated at 16.9
percent for the EU-27 and 16.4 percent for the euro zone, compared
to 18.1 percent (minus 1.2 percentage point) and 17.4 percent (minus
1.0 percentage point) respectively in February 2006.


7. EUROSTAT estimated that 17.2 million were unemployed in the
EU-27 in February 2007 (11.0 million in the euro zone). Following
is the breakdown of unemployment rates in ascending order for the
individual EU member stat`ed)
(February 2007 un

Denmark 3.4
Ned 4.4
Cyprus 4.5hia 4.7
Estonia 4.9 5.4 (December 2006)7
Latvia 4
Italy 6.5 (fourt 6.7
Sweden 6.7 (p 7.0
Germany 7.1 @a 7.3
Portugal 7.5ry 7.9
Bulgaria 8ourtt@Slovakia 11.0
Poland 11.8

Euro zone 7.3

EU-27 7.4

Note: Estimates for France, up 0.4 percentage point from the
previous month, are based on results of the Labor Force Survey that
are provisional and may be subject to revision later this year,
Commission sources said. A Commission spokesperson stressed that
the adjustment was due to "technical" reasons (read: EUROSTAT stays
clear from the French controversies about the calculation of jobless
figures in the context of the current election campaign). End note.



8. The monthly rates and numbers of unemployed are estimated and
based on data from the EU labor force survey. The estimated rates
may differ from national unemployment rates due to differences in
methods and definitions of unemployment. Unemployed people
according to ILO criteria are those aged 15 and over who:

-- Are without work;

-- Are available to start work within the next two weeks; and

-- Have actively sought employment at some time during the previous
four weeks.

GRAY