Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07TOKYO4768
2007-10-11 04:30:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Tokyo
Cable title:
JAPANESE POLITICIANS, ACADEMICS VOICE CONCERNS
how-toVZCZCXRO6375 PP RUEHCHI RUEHDT RUEHFK RUEHHM RUEHKSO RUEHPB DE RUEHKO #4768/01 2840430 ZNY CCCCC ZZH P 110430Z OCT 07 FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8465 INFO RUCNARF/ASEAN REGIONAL FORUM COLLECTIVE PRIORITY RUEHZU/ASIAN PACIFIC ECONOMIC COOPERATION PRIORITY RUEHGO/AMEMBASSY RANGOON PRIORITY 2269 RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY RHMFISS/USFJ PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 TOKYO 004768
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 2017/10/09
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM BM SN JA
SUBJECT: JAPANESE POLITICIANS, ACADEMICS VOICE CONCERNS
ABOUT BURMA
Classified By: CDA Joseph R. Donovan for reasons 1.4 (b,d).
Summary and Comment
-------------------
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 TOKYO 004768
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 2017/10/09
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM BM SN JA
SUBJECT: JAPANESE POLITICIANS, ACADEMICS VOICE CONCERNS
ABOUT BURMA
Classified By: CDA Joseph R. Donovan for reasons 1.4 (b,d).
Summary and Comment
--------------
1. (C) Burma experts in the Diet and academia are pressing
the Japanese government to take a firmer stance against
Burma's government over human rights violations. They are
hopeful that intense media scrutiny after the death of a
Japanese press photographer will convince Japan to ramp up
its pressure on the Burmese authorities to move toward
democratization. However, there continue to be those who
view pressure on Burma as counterproductive. The Japanese
government also is feeling the loss of the access to the
Burmese government it had through former Prime Minister Khin
Nyunt.
2. (C) Japanese politicians and scholars often claim a
special relationship between Japan and Burma, and compared to
other Southeast Asian countries the relationship between the
two may be viewed as relatively good. Burmese may regard the
Japanese in a slightly less positive light, however. The
Burmese initially may have thought Japan had come to liberate
them from the British, but when Japan failed to recognize an
independent Burma, the Japanese-trained Burmese army ended up
fighting the Japanese. Over the years, much history has been
forgotten or rewritten resulting today in a special but
ambiguous relationship. End summary and comment.
Diet, NGO's Speaking Out on Burma...
--------------
3. (C) Senior Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) politician and
head of the Burma Democratization Parliamentary League
Tadamori Oshima told Embassy Tokyo that Japan has always
hesitated to pressure Burma on human rights, and he expressed
his hope that Japanese photojournalist Kenji Nagai's death
would encourage the Japanese Government to change its stance.
Oshima criticized MOFA's policy of not pressuring Burma too
much to avoid pushing it closer to China, and he had been in
touch with "senior MOFA officials" to press this point and
argue for a firmer stance. The reality is that China has
already invested heavily in Burma and has plenty of influence
there. Oshima offered his assurance that "Japan would stand
with the United States and European countries on this issue."
4. (C) In a separate conversation, Chuo University Law School
Professor Yozo Yokota, former UN Rapporteur on Burma, told
Embassy Tokyo that the intense media coverage of Nagai's
death, combined with pressure from local non-government
organizations, foreign governments and the Diet's
Parliamentary League to Promote the Democratization of Burma,
are forcing the government to "finally take a firm stance."
As a result, the Japanese government has no choice but to
review its Burma policies, including scaling back ODA "in
some form." MOFA's engagement with Burma over ten years has
produced &no constructive outcome,8 Yokota argued. In
general, opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) members
are more active and vocal on the Burma issue than the ruling
LDP's members, said Yokota, adding that the DPJ's power and
presence increased after the July 2007 Upper House election,
and so has its influence over the ministries.
5. (C) Yokota noted that cooperation with China is essential
in getting the Burmese military junta to change. China is
facing a dilemma, however, because of its new position in the
international community, as well as its strategic interests.
While it would like to be in step with the rest of the world
on Burma, it cannot afford to isolate it. In the main,
Yokota's perception is that China would prefer a transfer to
civil government rather than "revolutionary change" led by
someone like Aung Sang Suu Kyi.
6. (C) Yokota said that core members of the Burma
Democratization Parliamentary League include Oshima, Yukio
Hatoyama (Democratic Party of Japan - DPJ),Tsuneo Suzuki
(LDP),Takashi Kosugi (LDP),Toshiko Hamayotsu (Komeito),
Mizuho Fukushima (Social Democratic Party),Yoshinori
Suematsu (DPJ) Satsuki Eda (DPJ) and Tomiko Okazaki (DPJ).
The league's purpose is to take a firm stance on Burma's
human rights violations and to demand the release of Aung
Sang Suu Kyi.
...But Not Everyone Is Convinced
--------------
7. (C) Toru Terai, Deputy Director of the NGO Japan-Myanmar
Association, argued to Embassy Tokyo that outside pressure on
TOKYO 00004768 002 OF 002
Burma was the "last thing" the Burmese people wanted or
needed. Instead of isolating Burma, the international
community should focus on fostering economic growth and
stabilizing Burma's currency. "Only by doing so will the
Burmese find their own way to democracy," Terada asserted.
Japan Feels Loss of Khin Nyunt
--------------
8. (C) LDP Diet member Kato Koichi told Embassy Tokyo that he
was extremely close to ousted Burmese Prime Minister Khin
Nyunt and hosted a dinner for him during Khin's visit to
Japan in 2000 to attend former Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi's
funeral. At the time, Kato advised Khin to transform Burma's
poppy fields into buckwheat fields. Kato later visited Burma
to view the fields and was joined by Khin and seven other
Burmese ministers. Kato opined that Khin had gone too far in
transforming Burma, provoking Senior General Than Shwe's
wrath. Kato hoped that one day Khin would return to power,
but he added that nothing but pressure from China would sway
Than, something Kato worried China might be unwilling to do.
MOFA has no channel to Burma now that Khin is gone, he said.
9. (C) Prof. Yokota confirmed that the arrest of Khin in 2004
ended Japan's best connection to Burma's rulers but said
Japan has other channels. Yokota claimed that there are
former Japanese soldiers who are able to meet with Than, but
that they never broach political topics with Burmese military
leaders, making them an ineffective tool for the Japanese
government.
Special Relationship Between Japan and Burma
--------------
10. (C) Yokota and Kato emphasized the special relationship
between Japan and Burma that began in the last phase of the
Pacific War. The Japanese army used Burma in its attack on
British forces in India, according to Yokota, although the
Burmese thought Japan had come to liberate them from the
British. When the Japanese lost the Battle of Imphal in
India in 1944, many Japanese escaped to Burma and were looked
after by Burmese farmers, Yokota explained. Ultimately, the
Japanese-trained Burmese army ended up fighting the Japanese
at the end of the war, but, nevertheless, the Japanese feel
they owe a debt of gratitude to the Burmese and have
willingly provided the country with aid.
DONOVAN
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 2017/10/09
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM BM SN JA
SUBJECT: JAPANESE POLITICIANS, ACADEMICS VOICE CONCERNS
ABOUT BURMA
Classified By: CDA Joseph R. Donovan for reasons 1.4 (b,d).
Summary and Comment
--------------
1. (C) Burma experts in the Diet and academia are pressing
the Japanese government to take a firmer stance against
Burma's government over human rights violations. They are
hopeful that intense media scrutiny after the death of a
Japanese press photographer will convince Japan to ramp up
its pressure on the Burmese authorities to move toward
democratization. However, there continue to be those who
view pressure on Burma as counterproductive. The Japanese
government also is feeling the loss of the access to the
Burmese government it had through former Prime Minister Khin
Nyunt.
2. (C) Japanese politicians and scholars often claim a
special relationship between Japan and Burma, and compared to
other Southeast Asian countries the relationship between the
two may be viewed as relatively good. Burmese may regard the
Japanese in a slightly less positive light, however. The
Burmese initially may have thought Japan had come to liberate
them from the British, but when Japan failed to recognize an
independent Burma, the Japanese-trained Burmese army ended up
fighting the Japanese. Over the years, much history has been
forgotten or rewritten resulting today in a special but
ambiguous relationship. End summary and comment.
Diet, NGO's Speaking Out on Burma...
--------------
3. (C) Senior Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) politician and
head of the Burma Democratization Parliamentary League
Tadamori Oshima told Embassy Tokyo that Japan has always
hesitated to pressure Burma on human rights, and he expressed
his hope that Japanese photojournalist Kenji Nagai's death
would encourage the Japanese Government to change its stance.
Oshima criticized MOFA's policy of not pressuring Burma too
much to avoid pushing it closer to China, and he had been in
touch with "senior MOFA officials" to press this point and
argue for a firmer stance. The reality is that China has
already invested heavily in Burma and has plenty of influence
there. Oshima offered his assurance that "Japan would stand
with the United States and European countries on this issue."
4. (C) In a separate conversation, Chuo University Law School
Professor Yozo Yokota, former UN Rapporteur on Burma, told
Embassy Tokyo that the intense media coverage of Nagai's
death, combined with pressure from local non-government
organizations, foreign governments and the Diet's
Parliamentary League to Promote the Democratization of Burma,
are forcing the government to "finally take a firm stance."
As a result, the Japanese government has no choice but to
review its Burma policies, including scaling back ODA "in
some form." MOFA's engagement with Burma over ten years has
produced &no constructive outcome,8 Yokota argued. In
general, opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) members
are more active and vocal on the Burma issue than the ruling
LDP's members, said Yokota, adding that the DPJ's power and
presence increased after the July 2007 Upper House election,
and so has its influence over the ministries.
5. (C) Yokota noted that cooperation with China is essential
in getting the Burmese military junta to change. China is
facing a dilemma, however, because of its new position in the
international community, as well as its strategic interests.
While it would like to be in step with the rest of the world
on Burma, it cannot afford to isolate it. In the main,
Yokota's perception is that China would prefer a transfer to
civil government rather than "revolutionary change" led by
someone like Aung Sang Suu Kyi.
6. (C) Yokota said that core members of the Burma
Democratization Parliamentary League include Oshima, Yukio
Hatoyama (Democratic Party of Japan - DPJ),Tsuneo Suzuki
(LDP),Takashi Kosugi (LDP),Toshiko Hamayotsu (Komeito),
Mizuho Fukushima (Social Democratic Party),Yoshinori
Suematsu (DPJ) Satsuki Eda (DPJ) and Tomiko Okazaki (DPJ).
The league's purpose is to take a firm stance on Burma's
human rights violations and to demand the release of Aung
Sang Suu Kyi.
...But Not Everyone Is Convinced
--------------
7. (C) Toru Terai, Deputy Director of the NGO Japan-Myanmar
Association, argued to Embassy Tokyo that outside pressure on
TOKYO 00004768 002 OF 002
Burma was the "last thing" the Burmese people wanted or
needed. Instead of isolating Burma, the international
community should focus on fostering economic growth and
stabilizing Burma's currency. "Only by doing so will the
Burmese find their own way to democracy," Terada asserted.
Japan Feels Loss of Khin Nyunt
--------------
8. (C) LDP Diet member Kato Koichi told Embassy Tokyo that he
was extremely close to ousted Burmese Prime Minister Khin
Nyunt and hosted a dinner for him during Khin's visit to
Japan in 2000 to attend former Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi's
funeral. At the time, Kato advised Khin to transform Burma's
poppy fields into buckwheat fields. Kato later visited Burma
to view the fields and was joined by Khin and seven other
Burmese ministers. Kato opined that Khin had gone too far in
transforming Burma, provoking Senior General Than Shwe's
wrath. Kato hoped that one day Khin would return to power,
but he added that nothing but pressure from China would sway
Than, something Kato worried China might be unwilling to do.
MOFA has no channel to Burma now that Khin is gone, he said.
9. (C) Prof. Yokota confirmed that the arrest of Khin in 2004
ended Japan's best connection to Burma's rulers but said
Japan has other channels. Yokota claimed that there are
former Japanese soldiers who are able to meet with Than, but
that they never broach political topics with Burmese military
leaders, making them an ineffective tool for the Japanese
government.
Special Relationship Between Japan and Burma
--------------
10. (C) Yokota and Kato emphasized the special relationship
between Japan and Burma that began in the last phase of the
Pacific War. The Japanese army used Burma in its attack on
British forces in India, according to Yokota, although the
Burmese thought Japan had come to liberate them from the
British. When the Japanese lost the Battle of Imphal in
India in 1944, many Japanese escaped to Burma and were looked
after by Burmese farmers, Yokota explained. Ultimately, the
Japanese-trained Burmese army ended up fighting the Japanese
at the end of the war, but, nevertheless, the Japanese feel
they owe a debt of gratitude to the Burmese and have
willingly provided the country with aid.
DONOVAN