Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07TBILISI1702
2007-07-17 12:51:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Tbilisi
Cable title:  

SOUTH OSSETIA: INCHING TOWARD DIALOGUE?

Tags:  PGOV PREL GG 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO4852
OO RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
DE RUEHSI #1702/01 1981251
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 171251Z JUL 07
FM AMEMBASSY TBILISI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 7036
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 TBILISI 001702 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR EUR DAS BRYZA & EUR/CARC

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/17/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL GG
SUBJECT: SOUTH OSSETIA: INCHING TOWARD DIALOGUE?

REF: A. TBILISI 1619


B. TBILISI 1605

Classified By: Ambassador John F. Tefft for reasons 1.4(b)&(d).

Summary
-------
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 TBILISI 001702

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR EUR DAS BRYZA & EUR/CARC

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/17/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL GG
SUBJECT: SOUTH OSSETIA: INCHING TOWARD DIALOGUE?

REF: A. TBILISI 1619


B. TBILISI 1605

Classified By: Ambassador John F. Tefft for reasons 1.4(b)&(d).

Summary
--------------

1. (C) Georgian and South Ossetian representatives are
currently negotiating the details of a meeting of the Joint
Control Commission (JCC) and a joint inspection of the
contested drinking water pipe that runs through South
Ossetia. While the sides have not reached final agreement on
either issue, both sides have made small moves in the
direction of compromise. In the meantime, the Georgian
government has established a special commission to define the
status of the new administrative unit in South Ossetia,
inviting all political forces in the region to take part.
The latest rotation of the Georgian peacekeeping battalion in
South Ossetia is larger in number than other recent ones,
coming closer to the maximum of 500 as we have urged in the
past. Georgian Defense Minister Kezerashvili told the
Ambassador that he does not expect a major eruption of
violence in the region. He said de facto leader Kokoity is
nervous that some of his staff will switch sides. End
Summary.

Close to a Tbilisi JCC?
--------------

2. (SBU) The sides have been exchanging counterproposals for
a JCC meeting for several weeks, with the Georgians dropping
their earlier condition that JCC working groups should first
agree on an agenda for the full JCC meeting. While this
eliminated a potential source of delay, the Georgians
continued to insist that the meeting be held in Tbilisi --
where the South Ossetians have refused to go in recent years
-- or, failing that, somewhere in Europe. On July 13, three
of the JCC co-chairs (Russia, North Ossetia, and South
Ossetia -- all but Georgia) met in Tskhinvali and expressed a
willingness to convene the JCC in Tbilisi. South Ossetian
co-chair Boris Chochiev, citing alleged security concerns,
insisted that such a meeting be held in the Russian Embassy.
The Georgians counter-proposed the OSCE Mission as the site.
OSCE officials tell us that, in addition to the continuing
dispute over location, there is also some difference of
opinion on the agenda, with the Georgians now favoring an

"open agenda" while the South Ossetians are calling for a
"preliminary agenda" to be agreed in advance.

Another Try at Water Pipe Inspection
--------------

3. (C) OSCE has been trying to broker a way out of the
ongoing controversy over water (ref A). Several attempts
over the last week to organize expert meetings or field
visits to inspect the pipe have been postponed, with the
South Ossetians explaining July 12 that their engineers first
needed time to repair a section of the pipe in an
Ossetian-controlled area north of Java. Georgian Deputy
State Minister for Conflict Resolution Ruslan Abashidze told
us July 12 that he saw this as an encouraging indication that
de facto authorities had come to recognize that the problems
inhibiting the flow of water to Tskhinvali were in their
area. OSCE has told us they would again try to set up a
meeting July 17 with two engineers from each side, with the
hope that after the meeting the four engineers would divide
into two mixed teams that would conduct separate inspections
in Kheiti and in the area around Andisi and Kekhvi.

Autonomy Commission Established
--------------

4. (U) It was reported July 13 that President Saakashvili had
signed a decree to establish a special commission, headed by
Prime Minister Zurab Noghaideli, to define the status of
South Ossetia, granting it broader autonomy within Georgia's
borders. All political forces in the region, including the
Georgian-backed temporary administrative unit of Dmitry
Sanakoyev and the de facto authorities in Tskhinvali, were
publicly invited to join in the commission's work.

Kezerahsvili on South Ossetia
--------------

5. (C) In a meeting with the Ambassador July 12, Defense
Minister Kezerashvili said that the number of Georgian
peacekeepers in the South Ossetia conflict zone had increased
from 350 to 450 during the recent rotation. He said the new
rotation was equipped with BMP armored vehicles. The new
number is closer to the agreed maximum of 500 peacekeepers
for a single side, and we have long encouraged the Georgians
to get closer to their authorized strength, though in the
past they have argued that stretched resources limited the
size and length of the deployments.


TBILISI 00001702 002 OF 002



6. (C) Echoing the assessment of Minister of Internal Affairs
Merabishvili (ref B),Kezerashvili indicated that he did not
expect a major explosion of tensions in South Ossetia this
summer. Kezerashvili said that clearly Kokoity was nervous,
and in particular he was worried that some of his staff would
jump to Sanakoyev. Kezerashvili said the Russians continue
to distribute money in the region in an effort to keep people
loyal to the de facto regime. Kezerashvili said he had
information that Russia had recently conducted a training of
the 58th division in Russia just north of the Georgian
border, in an exercise designed to prepare them to "help"
Russian peacekeepers in South Ossetia if needed.
Kezerashvili said two Russian SU 25 aircraft had recently
crossed into Georgian territory, coming in over Kazbegi, and
that such unauthorized overflights had become a regular
occurrence.


TEFFT