Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07SOFIA56
2007-01-12 15:42:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Sofia
Cable title:  

BULGARIAN PM SUPPORTS IRAQ STRATEGY, PLANS TO

Tags:  PREL IZ BU 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO7106
OO RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHROV RUEHSR
DE RUEHSF #0056 0121542
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 121542Z JAN 07
FM AMEMBASSY SOFIA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 3060
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHGB/AMEMBASSY BAGHDAD PRIORITY 0118
RHMFISS/HQ COALITION PROVISIONAL AUTH BAGHDAD PRIORITY
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SOFIA 000056 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/11/2017
TAGS: PREL IZ BU
SUBJECT: BULGARIAN PM SUPPORTS IRAQ STRATEGY, PLANS TO
EXTEND TROOP DEPLOYMENT

REF: STATE 3592

Classified By: Ambassador John Beyrle for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SOFIA 000056

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/11/2017
TAGS: PREL IZ BU
SUBJECT: BULGARIAN PM SUPPORTS IRAQ STRATEGY, PLANS TO
EXTEND TROOP DEPLOYMENT

REF: STATE 3592

Classified By: Ambassador John Beyrle for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)


1. (C) SUMMARY. Prime Minister Stanishev told Ambassador
Beyrle January 12 that Iraq is at a crucial crossroads and
"no one wants to see the U.S. fail." He said his government
would begin formal discussions next week aimed at extending
for another year the mandate of the Bulgarian forces deployed
in Iraq. Echoing FM Kalfin's statements in Washington last
month, he said Bulgarian firms were ready -- and deserved --
to help re-equip the Iraqi army. Citing his meetings with
Iraqi leaders in Baghdad in December, Stanishev expressed
skepticism about the capacity of the current Iraqi government
to cope with its increased responsibilities under the new
U.S. strategy, but agreed that we must work with the
government we have. END SUMMARY.


2. (C) Drawing on reftel guidance and the Secretary's January
11 testimony to the SFRC, Ambassador briefed PM Stanishev
January 12 on the new direction of U.S. strategy in Iraq.
Stanishev called his December 13 visit to Iraq, in which he
visited Bulgarian troops at Camp Ashraf and met with, among
others, PM Malaki and President Talibani "a clear signal of
our commitment." He expressed support for the President's
decision to focus on the security situation in Baghdad,
saying that security was a prerequisite for the success of
the political and economic aspects of the strategy
articulated by the President on January 11.


3. (C) Stanishev seconded the U.S. decision to give more
responsibility to the Iraqi security forces, but said the
Coalition must strike a careful balance between giving the
Iraqis more responsibility and handing over too much too
fast. The Iraqi security forces "are not ready to take over
altogether" for security in Baghdad, according to Stanishev.
In fact, Stanishev's biggest concern seemed to be the
weakness of Iraqi institutions. He worried that the Iraqi
government was claiming to be able to take on more
responsibility than it was capable of handling and that PM
Maliki did not have complete control of his government.


4. (C) To address these weaknesses, the Iraqis must form
coalitions of moderate political forces across ethnic lines,
Stanishev said. He argued that moderate Sunnis, Shiites and
Kurds must "buy in" to a greater degree if the Iraqi
government is to be effective. "When this happens, it will
be much easier to suppress the insurgents," Stanishev said.
At the moment, Sunnis feel isolated. Along with building
inter-ethnic coalitions at all levels, passage of the new oil
law should reassure Sunnis in particular, and for that reason
is extremely important.


5. (C) In closing, Stanishev noted that Bulgaria's role in
guarding the remnants of the anti-Iranian MeK terrorist
organization at Camp Ashraf made it particularly sensitive to
Iran's role in the region. "It is important to see how
things develop regionally," he said, noting that any attempt
by Iran to stir up trouble with the MeK would have a direct
impact on Bulgarian troops. In a January 11 discussion with
the DCM, Deputy Foreign Minister Chaushev went further,
arguing against attempts to "isolate" Iran or Syria. We
pushed back, noting that these countries were isolating
themselves by refusing to play by international rules.


6. (C) COMMENT. Stanishev characteristically did not pull
any punches, saying that "many mistakes were made" in Iraq
including, most recently, the handling of Saddam Hussein's
execution. Yet he expressed overall agreement with the
direction of U.S. policy, albeit with some doubts about
Iraq's ability to uphold its side of the bargain. Perhaps
most importantly, Stanishev did not waver in his commitment
to push for the extension of the Bulgarian troop deployment
at Camp Ashraf. We understand Washington is preparing an
exchange of diplomatic notes similar to that of last year,
which will codify military command and support arrangements.
We hope to be able to provide a draft to the Bulgarians the
week of January 15.
BEYRLE