Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07SKOPJE30
2007-01-16 11:23:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Skopje
Cable title:  

MACEDONIA: PEACEFUL LOCAL BY-ELECTIONS IN SARAJ

Tags:  PGOV MK 
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RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHSQ #0030/01 0161123
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 161123Z JAN 07
FM AMEMBASSY SKOPJE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5602
INFO RUEHTH/AMEMBASSY ATHENS 1714
RUEHSF/AMEMBASSY SOFIA 5063
RUEHBW/AMEMBASSY BELGRADE 2011
RUEHTI/AMEMBASSY TIRANA 3498
RHMFIUU/CDR TF FALCON
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEHSQ/USDAO SKOPJE MK
RUESEN/SKOPJE BETA
RUEHVEN/USMISSION USOSCE 2091
RUEHNO/USMISSION USNATO 3650
RUEHPS/USOFFICE PRISTINA 4217
RHEHNSC/WHITE HOUSE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL
UNCLAS SKOPJE 000030 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/SCE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV MK
SUBJECT: MACEDONIA: PEACEFUL LOCAL BY-ELECTIONS IN SARAJ


SUMMARY

UNCLAS SKOPJE 000030

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/SCE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV MK
SUBJECT: MACEDONIA: PEACEFUL LOCAL BY-ELECTIONS IN SARAJ


SUMMARY


1. (SBU) Local by-elections in the predominantly eAlbanian
municipality of Saraj on January 14 were generally peaceful,
confounding predictions by some local analysts of a violent
contest between rival eAlbanian parties DPA and DUI. Along
with a number of international community (IC) pre-election
meetings with DPA and DUI leaders, a heavy IC and local
monitoring presence backed by a robust police deployment
helped keep the voting peaceful. Monitors noted voting
irregularities observed in previous elections, including
frequent proxy and family voting. Despite those
irregularities, local election officials generally carried
out their duties with greater professionalism than was the
case in previous elections in Macedonia. Nevertheless, the
need for a heavy monitoring presence to achieve a peaceful
voting outcome, and the continued practice of proxy and
family voting, calls into question the strength of democratic
institutions in that predominantly eAlbanian municipality, a
point we will underscore to both DPA and DUI leaders. End
Summary.

PEACEFUL BY-ELECTIONS WITH HEAVY MONITORING PRESENCE


2. (U) By-elections on January 14 for mayor and city council
in the predominantly ethnic Albanian municipality of Saraj
were conducted in a peaceful, calm atmosphere, confounding
some local commentators' predictions of a violent contest
between contending eAlbanian candidates. (NOTE: The
by-elections were triggered by the selection of the former
Saraj mayor, a member of the eAlbanian governing coalition
junior partner DPA, to serve as a Deputy Prime Minister in
the government after the July 2006 parliamentary elections.
END NOTE.) In pre-election meetings, the IC had emphasized
the importance of fair, peaceful elections to both major
eAlbanian parties -- DPA and DUI, the main eAlbanian
opposition party.


3. (U) A heavy international and local NGO monitoring
presence, including US Embassy observer teams, helped ensure
a relatively calm atmosphere on election day, despite earlier
tensions between DPA and DUI. A heavy police presence, which
we had urged the Ministry of Interior to provide, also helped
keep incidents both inside and outside polling stations to a
minimum. The Embassy co-sponsored with the German mission
the local NGO MOST's observer teams, which remained at each
of the municipality's 34 polling sites throughout the day.
DUI and DPA each reported attempts by the other to intimidate
candidates or supporters, but those reports could not be
confirmed.

PROXY VOTING, FAMILY VOTING, DEJA VU


4. (U) Although the voting itself was calm, international and
local monitors observed many of the same irregularities noted
in parliamentary elections in 2006 and also in local
elections in 2005. Those irregularities included proxy
voting, multiple voting, group/family voting, and failure to
use UV lamps to prevent voter fraud. Some irregularities
also were observed during the vote counting.


5. (U) Despite the irregularities observed, local election
boards (LEBs) performed their duties more professionally than
their predecessors in previous election cycles. The
improvement might have been due to the 2006 amendments in the
electoral code, which required the boards to be comprised of
civil servants, rather than party activists. Female
participation on the LEBs increased notably. Higher numbers
of women were observed voting than in previous elections,
although many were involved in "family voting," in which a
husband or other male relative decides for whom the woman
will vote.

DPA WINS BY A SOLID MARGIN


6. (U) Initial State Election Commission reports on January
15 indicated DPA won the mayorship and the majority of seats
on the municipal council by a solid majority. Both parties
said they would contest the results from some polling
stations, but there is little likelihood of a recount that
would affect the mayorship contest. DUI leaders appeared to
accept the fact that they had not been able to surmount DPA's
popular standing in Saraj, the only predominantly eAlbanian
municipality in Macedonia not controlled by DUI.

COMMENT


7. (SBU) Considering the strong rivalry between DPA and DUI,
the calm and peaceful conduct of the by-elections is a small
victory for Macedonia and for ethnic Albanians. That it took
an overwhelming IC, NGO and police presence at the polling
stations to deter potentially violent action by party
activists detracts from that victory. In addition, the
continuing cavalier approach to family and proxy voting among
eAlbanians signals a lack of political maturity that
undermines democratic institutions in that municipality. We
will be urging eAlbanian leaders, from both DPA and DUI, to
publicly call for an end to the most egregious forms of voter
irregularities in future elections, including family and
proxy voting.
MILOVANOVIC