Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07SANTODOMINGO329
2007-02-14 14:57:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Santo Domingo
Cable title:  

DOMINICAN POLITICS III #16: VARGAS MALDONADO

Tags:  DR 
pdf how-to read a cable
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FM AMEMBASSY SANTO DOMINGO
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INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHWN/AMEMBASSY BRIDGETOWN PRIORITY 2019
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS PRIORITY 0723
RUEHGE/AMEMBASSY GEORGETOWN PRIORITY 0939
RUEHKG/AMEMBASSY KINGSTON PRIORITY 2700
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RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEHC/DEPT OF LABOR WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY 1619
RUCOWCV/CUSTOMS CARIBBEAN ATTACHE MIAMI FL PRIORITY
RUEFHLC/HQS DHS WASHDC PRIORITY
RUMISTA/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SANTO DOMINGO 000329 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR WHA, WHA/CAR, WHA/EPSC, INR/IAA, EB, EB/IFD/OMA,

; USSOUTHCOM ALSO FOR POLAD; TREASURY FOR OASIA-J LEVINE;
DEPT PASS USTR; USDOC FOR 4322/ITA/MAC/WH/CARIBBEAN BASIN
DIVISION;
USDOC FOR 3134/ITA/USFCS/RD/WH; DHS FOR CIS-CARLOS ITURREGUI

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/09/2017
TAGS: DR
SUBJECT: DOMINICAN POLITICS III #16: VARGAS MALDONADO
CAMPAIGN - POLITICAL DIRECTOR DISCUSSES PRIMARY AND
UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

C O N F I D E N T I A L SANTO DOMINGO 000329

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR WHA, WHA/CAR, WHA/EPSC, INR/IAA, EB, EB/IFD/OMA,

; USSOUTHCOM ALSO FOR POLAD; TREASURY FOR OASIA-J LEVINE;
DEPT PASS USTR; USDOC FOR 4322/ITA/MAC/WH/CARIBBEAN BASIN
DIVISION;
USDOC FOR 3134/ITA/USFCS/RD/WH; DHS FOR CIS-CARLOS ITURREGUI

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/09/2017
TAGS: DR
SUBJECT: DOMINICAN POLITICS III #16: VARGAS MALDONADO
CAMPAIGN - POLITICAL DIRECTOR DISCUSSES PRIMARY AND
UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION


1. (U) This is the 16th cable in our series on Dominican
politics in the third year of the administration of President
Leonel Fernandez.

VARGAS MALDONADO CAMPAIGN - POLITICAL DIRECTOR DISCUSSES
PRIMARY AND UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

(SBU) Alfredo Pacheco, the Political Director for Dominican
Revolutionary Party (PRD) presidential candidate Miguel
Vargas Maldonado, is upbeat following a smooth primary
campaign that led to Vargas' nomination. Receiving POLOFF at
his private office on February 6, Pacheco, a former Speaker
of the House, contrasted last month's primaries with the
severe intra-party disputes in 2004 and 2006 -- disputes that
Pacheco blamed for the PRD's devastating losses in the last
two elections. When POLOFF noted the use of term "New PRD"
in a recent advertisement, Pacheco said that -- as the party
approaches the 2008 presidential contest -- it was precisely
the rancor and failures of 2002 and 2004 that the party
wished to put behind it with the use of the new slogan.

(SBU) Pacheco said that the PRD will now re-organize Vargas'
campaign staff so that supporters of his challenger in the
primaries, former Vice President MilAGROS Ortiz Bosch, can be
included. Pacheco viewed Ortiz's concession on the night
that the primary results were announced as very positive.
"it is rare in Dominican politics for a rival to concede so
quickly."

(C) Assessing his party's main rival, President Fernandez's
Dominican Liberation Party (PLD),Pacheco argued that the PRD
held an advantage by having already chosen its candidate. In
contrast, the PLD faces a potentially divisive primary
process, given the strong candidacy of Fernandez's former
Chief of Staff Danilo Medina. Pacheco believes that
Fernandez will secure the nomination, but that the campaign
will cause "many wounds" to the President and the PLD.
Turning to campaign themes, Pacheco listed seven issues
(albeit with limited detail at this early stage):

-- The economy: While economic growth is strong, the common
man continues to struggle to make ends meet.

-- Re-election: Because of Dominican history (i.e., the
decades-long authoritarian rule of Trujillo and of Balaguer),
the PRD opposes the practice of re-election, whether that of
President Fernandez or of another president in the future.
(Note: This position is a sharp change of course for the
PRD, given that then-President Mejia ran for re-election in
2004.)

-- The budget: The Fernandez administration has raised taxes
on three occasions, yet continues to underspend on health and
education while overspending on the Santo Domingo Metro
project.

-- Constitutional reform: While not opposed to the
President's effort to amend the constitution, the PRD will
insist that changes be made by a specially elected
Constituent Assembly, not the current Congress dominated by
the PLD.

-- Free trade: The Fernandez Administration has failed to
complete DR-CAFTA regional free trade agreement with the
United States. A Vargas government would finish the task, as
well as consider an additional accord with the European Union.

-- Haitian immigration: Haitians are a drain on the country

-- "We have to produce for our own people and for them."

-- The energy sector: The Fernandez administration has not
delivered the energy sector reform it promised.

(C) Comment: Pacheco is a key player in the PRD, and it was
clear that he believes considerable change is needed for his
party to reclaim its former electoral prowess. Central to
that effort, in the Embassy's opinion, will be distancing the
party from former President Mejia, who led the PRD to defeats
in 2004 and 2006. When asked about Mejia, Pacheco allowed a
a broad, somewhat nervous smile to emerge. "Mejia says he's
retired -- we'll see if that's the truth." Regarding
campaign themes, the Embassy will be interested to see if the
PRD confounds history by moving from soundbites to concrete
policy proposals as the campaign season continues. We are
concerned, if not surprised, to hear that the Haitian
bogeyman will again be trotted out for the election, and we
will follow that issue with particular attention.


2. (U) Drafted by Peter Hemsch.


3. (U) This piece and others in our series can be consulted
at our SIPRNET web site
(http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/wha/santodomingo) along with
extensive other material.
HERTELL