Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07OTTAWA351
2007-02-26 18:40:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Ottawa
Cable title:  

LIBERAL ENVIRONMENT CRITIC SHARES VIEWS ON CLIMATE

Tags:  SENV PINR CA 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO8033
RR RUEHGA RUEHHA RUEHQU RUEHVC
DE RUEHOT #0351/01 0571840
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 261840Z FEB 07
FM AMEMBASSY OTTAWA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5068
INFO RUCNCAN/ALL CANADIAN POSTS COLLECTIVE
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC
RUEAEPA/EPA WASHDC
RHEHAAA/WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 OTTAWA 000351 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

DEPT FOR WHA, G, OES, EB
WHITE HOUSE FOR CEQ
DOE FOR P&I
EPA FOR OFFICE OF THE ADMINISTRATOR AND INTERNATIONAL
AFFAIRS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: SENV PINR CA
SUBJECT: LIBERAL ENVIRONMENT CRITIC SHARES VIEWS ON CLIMATE
CHANGE DEBATE

REF: OTTAWA 0050

Sensitive But Unclassified. Not for release outside USG
channels.

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 OTTAWA 000351

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

DEPT FOR WHA, G, OES, EB
WHITE HOUSE FOR CEQ
DOE FOR P&I
EPA FOR OFFICE OF THE ADMINISTRATOR AND INTERNATIONAL
AFFAIRS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: SENV PINR CA
SUBJECT: LIBERAL ENVIRONMENT CRITIC SHARES VIEWS ON CLIMATE
CHANGE DEBATE

REF: OTTAWA 0050

Sensitive But Unclassified. Not for release outside USG
channels.


1. (SBU) Summary: Liberal MP and environment critic David
McGuinty (younger brother of Ontario premier Dalton McGuinty)
has substantial experience on economic and environmental
issues at the national and international levels and appears a
formidable opponent to counter Tory environment Minister John
Baird in the battle for Canadian hearts and minds on the
environment and climate change. The former IVP participant
appears well-disposed to the United States and recognizes
American leadership at all levels, public and private, in
addressing the climate change challenge. He thinks the Tory
government's efforts to sell itself as "green" and a
responsible steward of the environment will soon founder and
implied the Liberals are ready to see the government fall
over the budget. End summary.


2. (SBU) ECON Minister-Counselor and Econ Specialist met with
Ottawa-South Member of Parliament David McGuinty on February

21. McGuinty, a fluently bilingual environmental and natural
resources lawyer, is articulate and extremely knowledgeable
about the environment. First elected to Parliament in June
2004 and then again in January 2006, the 47-year old McGuinty
looks like a perfect choice as Opposition Environment critic,
a position to which he was named in late January 2007.


3. (U) A former IVP participant - he was just starting his
program in Washington on 9/11 - McGuinty praised the program
and his experience in it; in particular he told us he was
astounded to see first-hand how the interplay between
industry, think tanks and governments in the United States
enriches the policy process. He praised the efforts of a
range of public and private actors, including the federal
government, in addressing climate change; and he is well
aware the United States spends significantly more on climate
change S&T and multilateral environmental efforts than any
other country. McGuinty clearly is well-informed on,
understands, and respects the environmental leadership shown
by the United States over the past 30 years.


4. (U) Before his election to Parliament McGuinty was

president (from 1995 to 2003) of the National Roundtable on
the Environment and the Economy, a body created by the GoC in
1988 to examine the environmental and economic implications
of high-priority issues such as climate change and to offer
advice on how best to reconcile the sometimes competing
interests of economic prosperity and environmental
conservation. During his tenure, he led the development of
Canada's Environment and Sustainable Development Indicators.


5. (SBU) McGuinty agreed with EMIN's observation that Canada
had little reason to crow about its climate change
"successes" under the Liberals, particularly as enumerated by
then Prime Minister Martin as he disparaged the U.S. as
lacking moral fiber at the UNFCCC COP 11 in Montreal in
November 2005. (Canada,s current GHG emissions are
approximately 760 megatonnes per year, or about 35 percent,
over its Kyoto target of 563 Mt). He said that Martin's
remarks were a sign of a "drowning man" knowing he was in
electoral trouble. Nevertheless, McGuinty claimed that then
Environment Minister Stephane Dion's "Green Plan" of June
2005 did constitute a substantive policy framework that would
have yielded solid results had the Liberals retained power.
Qhave yielded solid results had the Liberals retained power.
He noted specifically that in late 2005 the GoC had
negotiated a 45 megatonne reduction in GHG emissions from
"Large Final Emitters" (i.e., major point source emitters
such as power plants and cement plants) which would have
yielded its reductions in the 2008 to 2012 timeframe. These
plans were discarded when the Tories took power in February

2006. McGuinty added that it was clear to all observers the
incoming Tory government did not take climate change, or the
environment more broadly, seriously when they came into
office and only began to react when polls showed the
electorate making the environment (with Kyoto as a proxy) a
top of mind issue (see reftel).


6. (SBU) McGuinty thinks that the electorate will see soon
the Harper government has "no substance" to offer on the
environment. In particular he thinks the electorate will see

OTTAWA 00000351 002 OF 002


the Tory promise of C$1.5 billion for the provinces (C$350
million for Quebec alone) for climate change and
environmental initiatives as a tellingly tiny investment for
a government that can expect a C$15-plus billion surplus this
fiscal year. (The Liberal Green Plan of 2005 promised C$3
billion for similar efforts, he told us). In addition,
formally announcing this funding in the March 19 federal
budget, just a week before the Quebec provincial elections on
March 26, is a blatantly political roll of the dice, and
McGuinty estimates the Bloc Quebecois may in fact oppose the
budget despite this multi-million dollar enticement. He
intimated the Liberals and NDP are thinking along similar
lines. Finally, he told us that that when Bill C-30, the
Climate Change Act, emerges from its Parliamentary committee
re-draft at the end of March (assuming the government does
not fall on the budget vote) it will be "unrecognizable" when
compared with the Conservatives' original proposal. And, he
concluded, it would be in perfect symmetry with Bill C-288,
the Liberal "Kyoto" compliance bill that has passed the House
of Commons and is now in the Senate.


7. (SBU) Comment: McGuinty is forceful, knowledgeable and
authoritative, and seems to provide the Liberals with a good
foil to new Environment Minister Baird. Nonetheless, his
comments on Tory efforts to combat climate change broke no
new ground and contained little that would not be expected in
what has become a highly politicized debate. What was
noteworthy was McGuinty's suggestion the Liberals are still
looking seriously at using the budget to force the government
to fall this spring. In light of these comments, it is
perhaps significant that he made no mention of Stephane
Dion's leadership abilities and obvious connection to the
environment and climate change files. End Comment.

Visit Canada's Classified Web Site at
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/wha/ottawa

WILKINS