Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07NEWDELHI4667
2007-10-19 11:34:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy New Delhi
Cable title:  

NEW DELHI WEEKLY ECON OFFICE HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 15-19,

Tags:  EFIN EINV EPET ETRD EAGR ELTN EAID SENV IN 
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VZCZCXRO4154
RR RUEHAST RUEHBI RUEHCI RUEHDBU RUEHLH RUEHPW
DE RUEHNE #4667/01 2921134
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 191134Z OCT 07
FM AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 8900
INFO RUEHCG/AMCONSUL CHENNAI 1722
RUEHCI/AMCONSUL KOLKATA 1047
RUEHLH/AMCONSUL LAHORE 4171
RUEHBI/AMCONSUL MUMBAI 0807
RUEHPW/AMCONSUL PESHAWAR 4672
RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD 4051
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
RULSDMK/DEPT OF TRANSPORTATION WASHDC
RHMFIUU/FAA NATIONAL HQ WASHINGTON DC
RUEHRC/DEPT OF AGRICULTURE WASHDC
RUCNCLS/ALL SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 NEW DELHI 004667 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

USDOC FOR ITA/MAC/OSA/LDROKER/ASTERN/KRUDD
DEPT OF ENERGY FOR A/S KHARBERT, TCUTLER, CZAMUDA, RLUHAR
DEPT PASS TO USTR DHARTWICK/CLILIENFELD/AADLER
DEPT PASS TO TREASURY FOR OFFICE OF SOUTH ASIA ABAUKOL
TREASURY PASS TO FRB SAN FRANCISCO/TERESA CURRAN
STATE FOR SCA/INS AND EB/TRA JEFFREY HORWITZ AND TOM ENGLE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: EFIN EINV EPET ETRD EAGR ELTN EAID SENV IN
SUBJECT: NEW DELHI WEEKLY ECON OFFICE HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 15-19,
2007

NEW DELHI 00004667 001.2 OF 003


UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 NEW DELHI 004667

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

USDOC FOR ITA/MAC/OSA/LDROKER/ASTERN/KRUDD
DEPT OF ENERGY FOR A/S KHARBERT, TCUTLER, CZAMUDA, RLUHAR
DEPT PASS TO USTR DHARTWICK/CLILIENFELD/AADLER
DEPT PASS TO TREASURY FOR OFFICE OF SOUTH ASIA ABAUKOL
TREASURY PASS TO FRB SAN FRANCISCO/TERESA CURRAN
STATE FOR SCA/INS AND EB/TRA JEFFREY HORWITZ AND TOM ENGLE

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: EFIN EINV EPET ETRD EAGR ELTN EAID SENV IN
SUBJECT: NEW DELHI WEEKLY ECON OFFICE HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 15-19,
2007

NEW DELHI 00004667 001.2 OF 003



1. (U) Below is a compilation of Economic highlights from Embassy
New Delhi for the week of October 15-19, 2007.

INDIA INCREASINGLY AN FDI PLAYER
--------------


2. (U) The UN Commission on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)
released its annual World Investment Report this past week,
highlighting India's growing role as both a recipient and source of
foreign direct investment (FDI). The report noted that India had
received $17 billion in FDI in 2006, an amount equal to the past
three years combined. Multinational companies surveyed about their
FDI plans through 2009 identified India and China as their top two
global FDI destinations, ahead of the US and Europe. In particular,
the next few years are expected to see a significant rise in FDI in
India's manufacturing sector. The steel and auto sectors stand out:
as much as $12 billion in FDI in steel and $3 billion in the
automobile industry have been announced. Private equity has been a
significant source of FDI in recent years, accounting for nearly
one-fifth of all mergers and acquisitions last year alone. The
report cautions that such private equity prominence is a new
phenomenon. Since private equity seeks out investments from which
it can exit in 2-3 years, private equity-driven FDI may not have the
same qualitative impact that more traditional FDI has, nor stay in
the country as long.


3. (U) India also continues to make its name as a source of outward
FDI as well, nearly quadrupling its outward flows to $9.7 billion
from 2005 to 2006. Private companies that were "resource-seeking"

were the main drivers - whether those resources were created assets
such as brands and technologies or energy resources. Indeed, the
oil and gas sector played a prominent role, accounting for roughly
one-fifth of the outflow in 2006.

RELIANCE MOVES TO NEW RETAIL FORMATS
AND NEW JVS, WHILE OTHERS GO ON-LINE
--------------


4. (U) According to the press, Reliance Retail is turning its
attention to non-grocery formats, hastening the roll-out of its
planned health-and-wellness, footwear, jewelry, music, and other
specialty outlets. Reliance will reportedly include West Bengal,
where plans for grocery outlets are on hold due to violent protests
and lack of political support, in this expansion. The company,
however, does not intend to open stores of any sort in Uttar Pradesh
for the time being. The Economic Times also reported that Reliance
is working on a joint venture with Volvo for the manufacture of
vehicles tailored to Reliance's needs as part of what company head
Mukesh Ambani called "an over-arching pan-India transportation
warehousing logistics infrastructure." The deal, per the daily,
would be the first of its kind anywhere in the world. Reliance has
further announced plans for a joint venture with Citigroup to set up
a non-banking finance company that will deal mainly in consumer
loans and credit cards.


5. (U) Subhiksha, Spencer's, and Pantaloon's Big Bazaar are all
reportedly moving toward offering an on-line service, where
consumers could place orders for delivery, with Subhiksha in the
lead and hoping to launch this platform in December.

INDIAN SEAFOOD EXPORTERS HOPE WTO RULING
WILL EXPAND SALES TO U.S. CONSUMERS
--------------


6. (U) India's seafood exporters are hailing a preliminary World
Trade Organization (WTO) ruling against the United States. Local
media report that a preliminary determination by the WTO's
settlement body found that the practice of requiring certain India's
shrimp exporters to execute a U.S. customs bond in order to export
to the United States violates trade rules. An appeal of the ruling
is possible, but India's exporters are optimistic. The president of
the Seafood Exporters Association of India told Consulate General

NEW DELHI 00004667 002.2 OF 003


Chennai that the bond requirement had made business "unviable" and
predicted that the WTO ruling would lead to a doubling of the number
of seafood exporters willing to export to the US. He added that
U.S. consumers should expect to see more Indian shrimp in grocery
stores "before Thanksgiving."

OIL AND GAS PIPELINE CONFERENCE:
STANDARDS AND REGULATIONS
--------------


7. (SBU) The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) held a
four-day conference and technical workshop on Oil and Gas Pipelines
with participation from the Government of India's Petroleum and
Natural Gas Regulatory Board (PNGRB),Bureau of Indian Standards,
and Engineers India Limited. The conference focused on India's
evolving regulatory system and Indian adoption of U.S. and
international technical and engineering standards (ASME and ISO) for
pipeline construction, operation, and maintenance in the context of
India's creation of safe, efficient and modern nation-wide natural
gas, petroleum, and petroleum product pipeline networks. Embassy
Econ First Secretary in an opening address emphasized U.S. industry
and USG interest and encouragement of PNGRB promoting time-proven
principles of Regulatory Independence, Transparency, and
Non-Discrimination for pipelines and of the PNGRB institutionalizing
regular consultations with industry on the regulatory framework.


8. (SBU) To promote GOI-USG cooperation in oil and natural gas
industry regulations and standards, the Ministry of Petroleum and
Natural Gas (MPNG) and U.S. Trade and Development Agency (USTDA) are
finalizing the request for proposals for a $690,000 feasibility
study grant for a national natural gas grid and they are discussing
a follow-on scope of work for technical assistance in the oil and
gas regulatory area. In the context of the U.S.-India Energy
Dialogue, the US Embassy wants to promote bilateral exchanges of
information, experience, and best practices on oil and gas pipeline
regulatory frameworks between the PNGRB and USG agencies, such as
the Department of Transportation and Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission.

MCDONALD'S PLANS EXPANSION
IN SOUTH INDIA
--------------


9. (U) Local media reports that McDonald's plans to open 20 new
restaurants in South India by the end of next year, expanding its
presence in Bangalore and Hyderabad and entering the currently
McDonald's-less Chennai market. Currently, the chain's presence in
the South is limited to a total of 10 restaurants in Bangalore and
Hyderabad. McDonald's is also reportedly exploring the possibility
of establishing a distribution center in the South to support this
expansion. A small, satellite operation based in Bangalore
currently serves the chain's South Indian locations. An expanded
distribution center in the South should be a boon for local farmers.
Northern farmers, mainly in Punjab and Maharashtra, currently
supply much of McDonald's southern restaurants' needs.

TWO REGIONAL AIRLINES TO BEGIN
OPERATIONS IN JANUARY
--------------


10. (U) South India's air travelers should have some new options by
January, when both Air Dravida and TransIndia plan to begin
operations. The two regional airlines intend to operate
single-aisle jets between the South's metro cities (Chennai,
Bangalore, and Hyderabad) and turbo-prop aircraft on routes between
the region's smaller cities. The executive director of Air Dravida
told Consulate General Chennai that his company had procured three
second-hand, 50-seat Bombardier aircraft already. He said that
there is a "huge" unmet demand for air travel from the South's
smaller cities to the region's metros and that he expects Air
Dravida to break even within four quarters.


NEW DELHI 00004667 003.2 OF 003



11. (U) Visit New Delhi's Classified Website:
http://www.state.sgov/p/sa/newdelhi.

MULFORD