Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07NEWDELHI1866
2007-04-19 08:59:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy New Delhi
Cable title:  

DELHI DIARY, APRIL 12-19

Tags:  PREL PGOV PHUM MNUC KUNR ETRD EPET KWMN BR 
pdf how-to read a cable
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 NEW DELHI 001866 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/19/2017
TAGS: PREL PGOV PHUM MNUC KUNR ETRD EPET KWMN BR
UZ, IN
SUBJECT: DELHI DIARY, APRIL 12-19

Classified By: PolCouns Ted Osius for Reasons 1.4 (B,D)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 NEW DELHI 001866

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/19/2017
TAGS: PREL PGOV PHUM MNUC KUNR ETRD EPET KWMN BR
UZ, IN
SUBJECT: DELHI DIARY, APRIL 12-19

Classified By: PolCouns Ted Osius for Reasons 1.4 (B,D)


1. (U) Below is a compilation of political highlights from
Embassy New Delhi for April 12-19, 2007 that did not feature
in our other reporting, including:

-- Third Phase of the Uttar Pradesh Election Completed
-- The Saffron Crowd Finding a Home in the BJP Again
-- Chief of Naval Operations Visit Gets Positive Reviews
-- Half of India's Children Are Abused
-- Brazil Positive on Nuke Deal
-- India Still Backing G-4 UNSC Strategy
-- "India Is Special" Says Uzbekistan
-- Civil Servants Required to Report Menstrual Cycles?

Third Phase of the Uttar Pradesh Election Completed
--------------


2. (U) Uttar Pradesh completed the third phase of its
election on April 18 for 57 of the 403 seats in contention.
The polling took place in the heavily Muslim Rohilkhand
region (around the cities of Bareilly, Rampur and Pilibhit).
Exit polls and election analysis by the pundits confirm that
the ruling Samajwadi Party (SP) of Chief Minister Mulayam
Singh Yadav is taking a beating. In the 2002 election, the
SP won 26 seats in Rohilkhand. This time it is expected to
win 10-14. Analysts point out that for the SP to hold on,
it needed a heavy turnout, but only 50 percent of the voters
showed up. In addition, the SP had to hold on to its united
Muslim vote block. This also did not happen, as the Muslim
vote was dispersed between a variety of parties. The BSP of
former Chief Minister Mayawati continues to do well, with
exit polls predicting that it will go from nine seats to
15-19. Likewise, the BJP is projected to increase from 13 to
20-24. Even the much-maligned Congress could increase from
its current four seats to 4-8. With the SP doing so poorly,
there is increasing speculation that it could slip to third
place after the BJP. Analysts agree that no party will have

a clear majority (a "hung assembly"). As the election draws
to a close, there will be frenetic behind the scenes
maneuvering to arrange a viable post-poll coalition.

The Saffron Crowd Finding a Home in the BJP Again
--------------


3. (C) Press reports are rife with speculation that Hindutva
firebrand Uma Bharati is about to wrap-up her less than
successful political party (the Bhartiya Janshakti Party -
Indian Peoples' Power Party) and return to the BJP. The
reports have been spurred by her early April withdrawal of
all candidates from the ongoing Uttar Pradesh Legislative
Assembly elections. She was running several hundred MLA
candidates and claimed that she withdrew from the race at the
behest of the rabidly Hindutva Vishwa Hindu Parishad (VHP),
which asked her not to split the "Hindu" vote. Although BJP
spokesman Ravi Shankar Prasad claims that "there was no move
in this direction," political insiders are all but certain
that Uma will rejoin the BJP fold. Her imminent reinduction
and the increasing influence of the VHP portend a BJP return
to its Hindutva roots. Uma's reinduction follows on the
heels of the BJP's release of a controversial anti-Muslim DVD
(reported septel) and a string of communal incidents in
recent weeks, seen to be the work of the Sangh Parivar
(family of Hindu organizations that make up the Hindutva wing
of the BJP). Uma quickly moved to emphasize her Hindu
communalist platform by again pledging to build the Ram
temple in Ayodhya should the BJP return to power in UP. We
will report on the growing power and influence of Hindutva
extremists within the BJP septel.

Chief of Naval Operations Visit Gets Positive Reviews
--------------


4. (SBU) DAO will report separately, but the initial public
reaction to Chief of Naval Operations (CON) Admiral Mullen's
visit has been positive. Noting U.S.-Japan-India cooperation
in Malabar '07, which concluded earlier in the week, "The

NEW DELHI 00001866 002 OF 003


Telegraph" said the CNO's explanation of the "Thousand-Ship
Navy" was received by an approving Indian Navy whose response
"was very positive." Media highlighted recent mil-to-mil
developments, such as last week's Defense Joint Working
Group, pointing out that since Indian naval ships escorted an
American fleet in 2001 during Operation Enduring Freedom,
India-U.S. naval ties have been on the leading edge of
bilateral relations. Adm. Mullen departed New Delhi April 19
for Mumbai.

Half of India's Children Are Abused
--------------


5. (SBU) The first National Study on Child Abuse, conducted
jointly by UNICEF, Save the Children and Prayas was released
last week by the Ministry of Women and Child Development.
The sobering results report that 53% of children in India are
victims of abuse, the majority of which is never reported.
The survey ) reportedly the largest such survey ever
conducted in the world - covered 13 states and a sample size
of 12,446 children, 2,324 young adults and 2,449 stakeholders
in both rural and urban areas. Andhra Pradesh had the
highest percentage of almost all forms of abuse, followed by
Assam, Bihar and Delhi. The &unexpected8 finding was that
boys were as much at risk as girls. WMCD Minister Renuka
Chowdhury said that the dismal level of awareness about
sexual abuse among children necessitates mandatory sex
education in school. Her statement came at a time when
Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh banned sex
education in school on the grounds that it is ¬
compatible with Indian culture.8 Chowdhury also said that
she is working on an Offence Against Children (Prevention)
Bill, expected to be brought before Parliament during the
monsoon session.


6. (C) Comment: This is another step in the right
direction. The survey results were widely carried by the
media, demonstrating India,s increasing comfort in engaging
in a national discussion about its dirty laundry. As
expected, the knee-jerk reaction was to pass legislation.
And, as expected, effective implementation remains to be
seen. Embassy will watch and report on parliamentary
discussions on this issue as it unfolds. End comment.

Brazil Positive on Nuke Deal
--------------


7. (U) "We don't feel threatened in any way," regarding the
Indo-U.S. civil nuclear agreement, Brazilian Foreign Minister
Celso Amorim reportedly said after the third meeting of the
India-Brazil Joint Commission April 13. Amorim, who was
accompanied by a large, high-level delegation, visited New
Delhi April 10-13 to co-chair the Joint Commission with
Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) Foreign Minister Pranab
Mukherjee, and to participate in talks with India, the U.S.
and the European Union on Doha round negotiations. Amorim,
who met the same day with Prime Minister Singh, said Brazil
is envisaging sending a team from its national nuclear energy
commission to New Delhi, noting that "having an agreement
with India on science and technology provided an umbrella to
start concrete action," according to press reports. Amorim
was quoted by the press as saying that "New Delhi was
committed to non-proliferation," and that Brazil was keeping
the option of cooperation in peaceful uses of nuclear energy
open, though it would have to take place in the framework of
Brazil's agreement with the International Atomic Energy
Agency.

India Still Backing G-4 UNSC Strategy
--------------


8. (U) The MEA further stated that the Brazil and India had
"reaffirmed their commitment to the ongoing G-4 initiatives
to closely coordinate efforts towards realizing the necessary
expansion of the UN Security Council in both the permanent
and non-permanent categories, including developing countries
as new permanent members." Regarding efforts to enter the UN

NEW DELHI 00001866 003 OF 003


as permanent members of the Security Council, Amorim stated
to the press that he was, "very confident it will happen."

"India Is Special" Says Uzbekistan
--------------


9. (U) "Let me be frank with you. We do not allow everybody
to work with us in our key sectors. But India is special for
us and you are welcome," said Uzbek Deputy Prime Minister
Rustoma Azimov to visiting Indian Minister of State for
Commerce Jairam Ramesh in Tashkent, according to local news
reports. Ramesh and his counterpart co-chaired a session of
the India-Uzbekistan Joint Commission. Ramesh stated that
India was not interested in "exploiting Uzbekistan's natural
wealth," but would be happy to train Uzbek engineers,
geologists and(energy experts in Indian institutions to help
develop the Uzbek oil and gas industry, according to "The
Hindu." The newspaper cited diplomatic sources as saying
that India was ready to assist in the development of
Uzbekistan's gems and jewelry sector, and was looking for
opportunities for gas exploration in the Bukhara-Khiva
region, the Ferghana valley and southwest Uzbekistan. Indian
investment in textiles, pharmaceuticals and leather goods
would reportedly be welcomed by Uzbekistan.

Civil Servants Required to Report Menstrual Cycles?
--------------


10. (SBU) Annual appraisals and health checks are mandatory
in India,s civil service. When the 2007 appraisal forms
were recently issued by the federal Ministry for Personnel,
Public Grievances and Pensions, several women civil servants
expressed shock and dismay to discover that the new rules
required them to reveal details of their menstrual cycles.
In addition, under a new national requirement, female
officers were expected to report when they last sought
maternity leave. One female civil servant told BBC she was
&gobsmacked8 and others quickly agreed that the questions
were uncalled for.


11. (C) Comment: Thankfully, several women civil servants
publicly stated that the government has no need for this kind
of personal information, protesting that the questions
violated the right to privacy. The Ministry of Personnel
decided to delete the controversial part of the form
following an intervention by the Prime Minister, according to
the BBC, which reported that the decision to scrap the
question was made after Communist Party of India (Marxist)
Member of Parliament and women's activist Brinda Karat led a
delegation to PM Singh to complain about the matter.
MULFORD