Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07NASSAU516
2007-04-23 20:23:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Nassau
Cable title:  

TIGHT, EMOTIONAL RACE LEADS TO PRE-ELECTION

Tags:  PGOV PREL KDEM KCRM BF 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0006
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBH #0516/01 1132023
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 232023Z APR 07
FM AMEMBASSY NASSAU
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 4150
INFO RUEHBE/AMEMBASSY BELMOPAN 0062
RUEHWN/AMEMBASSY BRIDGETOWN 5576
RUEHGE/AMEMBASSY GEORGETOWN 3640
RUEHKG/AMEMBASSY KINGSTON 8508
RUEHPU/AMEMBASSY PORT AU PRINCE 3517
RUEHSP/AMEMBASSY PORT OF SPAIN 4678
RUEHDG/AMEMBASSY SANTO DOMINGO 2797
RUEHUB/USINT HAVANA 0420
C O N F I D E N T I A L NASSAU 000516 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR WHA/CAR RCBUDDEN

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/18/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL KDEM KCRM BF
SUBJECT: TIGHT, EMOTIONAL RACE LEADS TO PRE-ELECTION
VIOLENCE

REF: NASSAU 435

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires D. Brent Hardt for reasons 1.4(b) and
(d)

SUMMARY
-------

C O N F I D E N T I A L NASSAU 000516

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR WHA/CAR RCBUDDEN

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/18/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL KDEM KCRM BF
SUBJECT: TIGHT, EMOTIONAL RACE LEADS TO PRE-ELECTION
VIOLENCE

REF: NASSAU 435

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires D. Brent Hardt for reasons 1.4(b) and
(d)

SUMMARY
--------------


1. (C) The Bahamas is generally known for peaceful and fair
elections, but with political parties contending desperately
for voters in a tight election scheduled for May 2, an
increasing lack of civility between the parties has carried
over into the public. A brawl between supporters, including
gunfire, arson at a campaign headquarters, gunfire into
another campaign office, a stabbing, and several cases of
vandalism this week followed harsh words between candidates
at rival political rallies. Adding to emotions are the
opposition Free National Movement's (FNM) claims that the
governing Progressive Liberal Party (PLP) is unfairly using
government resources and the state-owned media to influence
voters. Following these outbursts of emotion, party leaders
and the media have joined together to condemn election
related violence. Despite these disturbing incidents, Post
continues to expect relative calm to prevail during the
elections. END SUMMARY.

RIVAL RALLIES TURN UP THE RHETORIC
--------------


2. (C) With elections scheduled for May 2, and little to
differentiate the main parties substantively (reftel),the
PLP and FNM have focused on personality and appealed to the
emotions of constituents as they try to win power. The
parties went toe-to-toe with competing mass-rallies in Nassau
April 11. The PLP staged another rally April 17, with the
follow-up FNM rally on April 19. During each of the rallies,
style prevailed over substance, with loud music, dancing and
emotional delivery of speeches more typical of a religious
revival than an American-style campaign event. The heavy
flow of alcohol, however, was not typical of a religious
meeting, nor were bombastic speakers heaving insults at
competing candidates.


3. (C) PLP speakers targeted their aggressive rhetoric at
FNM leader Hubert Ingraham. Speakers led chants of "Kick the
H.I.P." -- a derisive and violent reference to the FNM as the

"Hubert Ingraham Party" due to Ingraham's authoritarian
style. PLP leaders also continued reference to the FNM's
"white roots" -- the FNM grew out of the pre-independence and
white-dominated United Bahamian Party (UBP). When not
bashing the opposition, the PLP cited their record at
promoting economic prosperity, job creation and social
programs.


4. (C) The FNM rally similarly focused its fire against PLP
leader Perry Christie and what they claim is his government's
record of scandals to underscore their main election theme --
"It is About Trust." The FNM also accused the PLP of
cheating to win election, citing the PLP's late boundary
changes and exclusive use of government-owned media and other
public resources for its campaign. (NOTE: Prime Minister
Christie called the late boundary changes the key to victory
for the PLP (reftel). The gerrymandering clearly happened
after legally mandated deadlines to the clear disadvantage of
the opposition. END NOTE.) FNM leader Ingraham had
mentioned to the Ambassador in his recent farewell call that
government control of the main television station presented a
major obstacle to his party, as the government kept his party
off the airwaves while using the television to promote the
government's agenda and its candidates.


5. (U) The FNM also accused the PLP of buying votes. During
a press conference April 20, FNM candidates claimed crowds
gathered outside of two PLP campaign offices in Grand Bahama
to receive cash payments from $500 to $2000 in return for
vote promises. The FNM has alleged collusion by local
police. Local sources made similar allegations, and Grand
Bahama media ran photos of the crowds outside the alleged
cash distribution points. Some reports on this allegation
allege that voters who take a cell-phone photograph of their
marked ballot can claim money from PLP candidates.

VIOLENT OUTBURSTS MAR CAMPAIGN
--------------


6. (U) With neither party appearing to have a clear
advantage, and with emotions running high after big,
high-octane rallies, several violent events marred campaigns
last week. During the PLP rally April 17, a drive-by shooter
fired at PLP headquarters. At an April 17 PLP rally, there
was a stabbing (though this seemed more a personal vendetta
than a political act). On April 18, arsonists (police have
confirmed use of accelerant) set fire to the campaign
headquarters of former FNM leader Tommy Turnquest. These
more violent events follow multiple complaints over the past
week of vandalism to campaign signs in multiple
constituencies.


7. (U) On April 19, a brawl between FNM and PLP supporters
broke out in Fox Hill, the hotly-contested constituency of
Foreign Minister Fred Mitchell. Opposing parades of
supporters met up on a street in Fox Hill, resulting in
bottle and rock throwing, gunfire and scuffles. The brawl
closed down the streets and sent residents fleeing for cover
until police arrived to break up the crowds. There were no
known injuries.


8. (U) Party leaders responded quickly to the violence,
joining with police and media to urge calm and civility while
condemning the persons responsible. Police have promised to
increase patrols. However, more than one commentator has
noted the candidates' lack of civility and the culpability of
the candidates in inspiring this new trend by setting a bad
example. After these warnings, subsequent PLP and FNM
rallies (attended in part by the Pol Chief) were calm.

FAIR AND VIOLENCE-FREE ELECTIONS STILL ANTICIPATED
-------------- --------------


9. (C) COMMENT: The predominant consensus among Bahamian
political pundits at this point is that the race remains
either party's to win. We have been told by FNM insiders
have said that Hubert Ingraham feels very confident that his
party will win 26 seats and take over the government, noting
that he has a solid track record in predicting Bahamian
elections. Many PLP's express similar confidence about their
party's chances, though most acknowledge their party will
lose seats even if they win overall. During this tight horse
race, heightened rhetoric and underhanded politicking are to
be expected. However, election violence -- even in the
moderate doses seen this past week -- is a surprise, as The
Bahamas has a history of peaceful elections. It appears that
party leaders and police have been able to calm tensions and
halt the violence for the time being. Despite high emotions,
Post continues to expect that elections will be free, fair
and generally peaceful. END COMMENT.
HARDT