Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07NAHA90
2007-06-28 08:42:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Consulate Naha
Cable title:  

OKINAWAN GOVERNOR SUFFERS STROKE, 2 WEEKS CONVELESCENCE

Tags:  MARR PGOV PREL PINS JA 
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VZCZCXRO8044
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNH
DE RUEHNH #0090/01 1790842
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 280842Z JUN 07
FM AMCONSUL NAHA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0796
INFO RHMFISS/18WG CP KADENA AB JA
RHMFISS/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RUSFNSG/CDR10THASG TORII STATION JA
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RUHBABA/CG III MEF CAMP COURTNEY JA
RUHBBEA/CG THIRD FSSG CAMP KINSER JA
RUHBABA/CG THIRD MARDIV
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RHMFISS/COMFLEACT OKINAWA JA
RHMFISS/COMMARCORBASESJAPAN CAMP BUTLER JA
RHMFISS/COMMARFORPAC
RHHMHAA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHOVVKG/COMSEVENTHFLT
RUHBVMA/CTF 76
RUYLBAH/DODSPECREP OKINAWA JA
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RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA PRIORITY 0262
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RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA PRIORITY 0853
RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC
RHMFISS/NAVCRIMINVSERVRA OKINAWA JA
RUHBANB/OKINAWA AREA FLD OFC US FORCES JAPAN CAMP BUTLER JA
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE PRIORITY 0337
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RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
RUEHIN/AIT TAIPEI PRIORITY 0040
RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO PRIORITY 0794
RHMFISS/USARPAC COMMAND CENTER FT SHAFTER HI
RUALBCC/YOKOTA AB HQ USFJ
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 NAHA 000090 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 6/28/2032
TAGS: MARR PGOV PREL PINS JA
SUBJECT: OKINAWAN GOVERNOR SUFFERS STROKE, 2 WEEKS CONVELESCENCE
PREDICTED

REF: NAHA 00000089

CLASSIFIED BY: Kevin K. Maher, Consul General, U.S. Consulate
General, Naha, Japan, Department of State.
REASON: 1.4 (b),(d)
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 NAHA 000090

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 6/28/2032
TAGS: MARR PGOV PREL PINS JA
SUBJECT: OKINAWAN GOVERNOR SUFFERS STROKE, 2 WEEKS CONVELESCENCE
PREDICTED

REF: NAHA 00000089

CLASSIFIED BY: Kevin K. Maher, Consul General, U.S. Consulate
General, Naha, Japan, Department of State.
REASON: 1.4 (b),(d)

1. (U) On June 25 Okinawa Prefectural Government (OPG)
officials and the local media reported that Governor Hirokazu
NAKAIMA suffered a mild stroke, and would convalesce for two
weeks before returning to public responsibilities. According to
the press, the stroke might have occurred as early as June 22,
and contrary to medical advice, Nakaima decided to lead the June
23 prefectural ceremony commemorating the Battle of Okinawa.
During the hour-long ceremony, attended by Prime Minister Shinzo
ABE, other national and local leaders, and thousands of
residents of Okinawa, Nakaima read prepared remarks, and stood
and bowed repeatedly as participants bowed to him on their way
to an altar to lay flowers. No illness or discomfort was
visible to casual observers. Early on June 25, Vice Governor
Zenki NAKAZATO officially announced that Nakaima had been
hospitalized for a mild stroke. He predicted the governor would
spend a week at the hospital, then a week at home. Nakazato
said Nakaima's speech and thoughts were clear, and specified
that Nakazato would attend events as the governor's
representative, not as acting governor.


2. (SBU) This distinction is meaningful, because if the
governor were incapacitated it could trigger a gubernatorial
election. An OPG official told ConGen Naha that upon the death
or resignation of the governor, the Okinawa Prefectural Assembly
(OPA) had five days to notify the OPG election office. In case
of an incapacitating illness or injury, the official noted, it
was expected that a close associate would advise the governor to
resign. The OPA would accept such a resignation as a matter of
course. Once the OPG election office received notice from the
OPA, it must prepare for and conduct a gubernatorial election
within 50 days.


3. (SBU) On June 27 the OPG announced that it would post
information about the governor's condition daily, due to the

overwhelming volume of inquiries from the press and associates
from all walks of life. Speculation has been rife that
Nakaima's health is in worse shape than the OPG has admitted.
Nakaima smokes heavily and is reputedly a heavy drinker, and
even a mild stroke can be a serious matter. The most active
proponent of the theory to ConGen Naha has been independent
national Diet member Mikio SHIMOJI, who repeatedly and widely
"confided" that he wanted to run in the November 2006
gubernatorial race. However, we have no reason to believe at
this point that Nakaima's condition is any worse than what the
OPG is telling us.


4. (C) Neither the ruling coalition nor the opposition parties
are in any shape to field a candidate for governor in the near
future. The "reformist" (anti-military) parties are still
licking self-inflicted wounds from infighting over their
candidate and platform for the November 2006 gubernatorial race.
Nakaima's aggressiveness in seeking Liberal Democratic Party
(LDP)/Komeito backing for his candidacy ruffled feathers amongst
conservatives who might have wanted a chance, but the other
possible candidates were frankly not very strong. Okinawa LDP
executive director Hiroshi NAKAMATSU told us Nakaima was the
most capable candidate for prefectural governor since former
governor Junji Nishime (the late father of two current national
Diet members). We know, however, that Okinawa LDP's first
choice for candidate was younger brother Kozaburo Nishime, who
made it clear that he preferred the Tokyo-based life of a
national Diet member to the Naha-bound life of the prefectural

NAHA 00000090 002 OF 002


governor.


5. (C) Since taking office, Nakaima has proved far more
supportive of US Forces and facilities in Okinawa than his
putatively conservative predecessor. During a January 2007
courtesy call by the senior US military official in Okinawa,
Nakaima waived off a laundry list of complaints prepared by his
staff and engaged LtGen Joseph Weber on gaining access to
on-base markets and schools for Okinawans. Nakaima asked the
senior USG military and civilian representatives in Okinawa to
participate in the June 23 commemoration ceremony, a remarkable
first, especially considering that Japanese military officials
are still not in the first rank of guests.


6. (C) Nakaima's support is not undiluted. He continues to
seek difficult (if not impossible) changes to the
bilaterally-agreed replacement facility for Marine Corps Air
Station Futenma. Recently he issued a statement calling on the
United States to refrain from sending Navy mine countermeasures
ships to a civilian port on the south-western island of
Yonaguni, reftel. His objections are not as shrill as those of
his predecessors, though, and often appear to be pro forma nods
to perceived sensitivity, intended to mitigate hounding by the
media. Consul General Maher had a letter delivered to Nakaima's
hospital room expressing hope for the Governor's speedy
recovery. We were told by his private secretary that he had
read the letter and expressed his appreciation for our concern.
MAHER