Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07MASERU510
2007-09-04 08:34:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Maseru
Cable title:  

LESOTHO AUGUST 2007 ECONOMIC ROUNDUP: FOOD INFLATION AND

Tags:  ECIN ECON EINV ETRD EAID ELAB AMGT LT 
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VZCZCXRO7177
RR RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHJO RUEHRN
DE RUEHMR #0510/01 2470834
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 040834Z SEP 07
FM AMEMBASSY MASERU
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3307
INFO RUCNSAD/SADC COLLECTIVE
RUEHC/DEPT OF LABOR WASHINGTON DC
RUEHMR/AMEMBASSY MASERU 3702
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MASERU 000510 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT ALSO FOR AF/S, AF/EPS, AF/EX

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECIN ECON EINV ETRD EAID ELAB AMGT LT
SUBJECT: LESOTHO AUGUST 2007 ECONOMIC ROUNDUP: FOOD INFLATION AND
TROUBLE FOR TEXTILES?

REF: A) Maseru 491; B) Maseru 403

MASERU 00000510 001.2 OF 002


UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MASERU 000510

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT ALSO FOR AF/S, AF/EPS, AF/EX

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECIN ECON EINV ETRD EAID ELAB AMGT LT
SUBJECT: LESOTHO AUGUST 2007 ECONOMIC ROUNDUP: FOOD INFLATION AND
TROUBLE FOR TEXTILES?

REF: A) Maseru 491; B) Maseru 403

MASERU 00000510 001.2 OF 002



1. SUMMARY:

-- Rising Food Prices Lead Rising Inflation

-- Responses to Food Insecurity Crisis

-- GOL Signs $10 Million Loan with Arab Development Bank

-- AGOA Review: Trouble for Textiles?

-- Charge Presents Equipment to Aid Labor Standards

END SUMMARY.

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Rising Food Prices Lead Rising Inflation

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2. With Lesotho's Consumer Price Index (CPI) basket heavily
weighted towards food prices, a sharp decline this year in
domestic cereal production, coupled with rising fuel prices, has
put strong upward pressure on the nation's overall inflation
rate. The food component of Lesotho's CPI jumped into the
double digits in the past twelve months, averaging 11.1% and
peaking at 15.2% in April. Food inflation pulled up the overall
inflation rate, which averaged 6.6% over the past twelve months
and peaked at 8.1% in April, although these rates eased slightly
in May. These inflation developments are likely to contribute
to the country's ongoing food insecurity crisis.

--------------

Responses to Food Insecurity Crisis

--------------


3. As Lesotho's food insecurity continues (ref B),the
Government of Lesotho, donors, and NGO organizations continue to
mass resources to prevent a humanitarian crisis. On August 2,
the UN launched a flash appeal calling for $18 million to assist
those hardest hit by drought to recover and regain self
sufficiency (ref A). The UN Food and Agricultural Organization
will provide farmers with vouchers to purchase seeds and
fertilizers. The UN system, through its Central Emergency
Response Fund (CERF),has pledged $3.8 million to assist
vulnerable groups.


4. In response to the food crisis, the U.S. Government
(USAID/FFP) has thus far pledged approximately $16.5 million in

commodities through pipelines such the World Food Program (WFP)
and the C-SAFE consortium (World Vision, CARE, and Catholic
Relief Services). Irish Aid and DFID have committed to
financing water sanitation and nutritional data initiatives
through UNICEF Lesotho. While the priority food and
agricultural needs cited in the UN flash appeal appear to be
mostly financed (largely by the United States),other needs such
as certain water sanitation initiatives are not yet fully
funded. The Government of Lesotho has allocated M 45 million
(approximately $6.4 million) to an emergency fund which will
provide a 30% subsidy on agricultural inputs needed for the
upcoming planning season such as seeds, fertilizer, and
irrigation equipment.

-------------- --------------

GOL Signs $10 Million Loan with Arab Development Bank

-------------- --------------


5. In July 2007, the Government of Lesotho (GOL) signed a loan
agreement for M 70 million (approximately $10 million) from the
Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa (BADEA). This loan
will co-finance the construction of the Metolong Dam, which will
supply water to lowlands towns such as Maseru and Berea where
industrial and residential water demands are fast increasing.
Other donors for the dam and water delivery project are the
United States (through the Millennium Challenge Corporation),
Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and OPEC. The GOL signed a loan agreement
with Kuwaiti Government for four million Dinar (approximately
$14.3 million) in March 2007. The GOL has not yet signed loan
agreements with Saudi Arabia and OPEC, and during the BADEA loan
signing ceremony, Minister of Finance Thahane urged these
remaining donors to expedite their borrowings procedures. The
Millennium Challenge Corporation will fund $164 million of water
sector initiatives in Lesotho over the coming five years.


MASERU 00000510 002.2 OF 002


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AGOA Review: Trouble for Textiles?

--------------


6. Textiles, a critical sector of Lesotho's economy, remain
under threat from growing international competition. Lesotho's
textile industry supplies much of the nation's foreign currency
reserves as well as provides jobs for over 40,000 workers.
Textile exports under the African Growth and Opportunity Act
(AGOA) account for approximately 90% of Lesotho's total exports
to the United States. Though there was a 21% increase in
Lesotho's textile exports to the United States between 2006 and
2007, certain months experienced precipitous declines in orders.
The greatest slumps were the months of February and June,
during which the value of exports under AGOA declined by 52% and
20% respectively in comparison to the same months during the
previous year.


7. Local industry representatives cite global competition from
Cambodia and Bangladesh, as well as unfavorable exchange rate
fluctuations, as the primary reasons for these declines. An
unresolved post-election political impasse, which led to work
stoppages and numerous security incidents in mid-2007, was
harmful to production and product delivery. The global
competitiveness of Lesotho's textiles is expected to take
further blows as increasing numbers of less developed countries
acquire AGOA-like trade preferences with the United States.

--------------

Charge Presents Computer Equipment

to Aid Labor Standards Inspections

--------------


8. On August 23, the Charge d'Affaires and the International
Labor Organization (ILO) handed over equipment including
computer servers and printers to the Improving Labor Systems in
Southern Africa (ILLASA) project under the Ministry of Labor and
Employment. This equipment was donated to bolster the capacity
of the Labor Ministry to investigate labor code violations.
ILLASA is funded by the U.S. Department of Labor. In his
remarks, Charge Murphy congratulated the Ministry for its
progress in strengthening its capacity to enforce national labor
laws and the principals of the ILO's "Declaration on Fundamental
Principles and Rights at Work." He stressed that labor
protection is vital in open economies which seek a favorable
investment climate.
MURPHY