Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07LAPAZ189
2007-01-25 17:34:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy La Paz
Cable title:  

HYDROCARBONS INVESTORS STILL CAUTIOUS

Tags:  ECON EINV ENRG EPET BL 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0008
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHLP #0189/01 0251734
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 251734Z JAN 07
FM AMEMBASSY LA PAZ
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2227
INFO RUEHAC/AMEMBASSY ASUNCION 6491
RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 3813
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 7693
RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES 4939
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 2182
RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA 2271
RUEHMD/AMEMBASSY MADRID 3285
RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO 4370
RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO 4822
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 9413
RHMFIUU/HQ USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL
RUMIAAA/USCINCSO MIAMI FL
RUEHUB/USINT HAVANA 0110
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHINGTON DC
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS LA PAZ 000189 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR WHA/AND
TREASURY FOR SGOOCH
ENERGY FOR CDAY AND SLADISLAW

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON EINV ENRG EPET BL
SUBJECT: HYDROCARBONS INVESTORS STILL CAUTIOUS

REF: A. 2006 LA PAZ 2880

B. 2006 LA PAZ 1248

C. 2006 LA PAZ 2943

-------
Summary
-------

UNCLAS LA PAZ 000189

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR WHA/AND
TREASURY FOR SGOOCH
ENERGY FOR CDAY AND SLADISLAW

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON EINV ENRG EPET BL
SUBJECT: HYDROCARBONS INVESTORS STILL CAUTIOUS

REF: A. 2006 LA PAZ 2880

B. 2006 LA PAZ 1248

C. 2006 LA PAZ 2943

--------------
Summary
--------------


1. (SBU) According to Bolivian state oil company YPFB's
Presidential Adviser Evert Villena, four natural gas
production companies, including two with U.S. investment,
were awarded Argentine market share in a mid-January bidding
process held to drum up company commitments to fulfill the
gas supply contract signed with Argentina in October 2006
(ref A). YPFB will hold a second bid in six months, in hopes
of obtaining the additional commitments needed to meet its
obligations to Argentina. The four companies that made
supply offers agreed to minimal additional investments. YPFB
is being restructured, and the company hopes to launch its
new, improved image in March. A government committee will
choose an international investment bank by the end of January
to evaluate the worth of the shares of the five companies
destined by the May 1, 2006 nationalization decree for GOB
majority ownership (ref B). YPFB expects to make the
companies purchase offers in May 2007, to coincide with the
one-year anniversary of the nationalization decree. End
summary.

--------------
Bidding to Supply Argentina
--------------


2. (SBU) Yacimientos Petroliferos Fiscales Bolivianos' (YPFB,
Bolivia's state-owned oil company) Presidential Adviser Evert
Villena told Econoffs on January 23 that four natural gas
production companies -- U.S.-owned Vintage, partially
U.S.-owned Chaco, Pluspetrol, and Dong Won -- had been
assigned Argentine market share through a mid-January bidding
procedure. YPFB orchestrated the process in order to receive
company commitments to fulfill the gas supply contract signed
with Argentina in October 2006 to supply an additional 20
million cubic meters of gas per day by 2010 (ref A). The
four companies agreed to supply 10.4 million cubic meters in
2010, increasing to a maximum of 11.1 million in 2011, and
then declining gradually until the end of the Argentine
contract in 2026. YPFB will hold a second bid in six months,
in hopes of obtaining the additional commitments needed to

meet its obligations to Argentina. The fulfillment of the
contract depends on the construction of a new pipeline
between the two countries -- a large uncertainty in the
equation -- which Villena said he would discuss in a January
25 meeting in Santa Cruz.


3. (SBU) According to Villena, the four companies that made
supply offers agreed to minimal additional investments. He
indicated that the companies which had received market share
were companies that did not need to make substantial
investments to increase their production and were looking for
markets. The four largest players in Bolivia -- Petrobras,
Repsol, British Gas, and Total -- would need to invest
significant sums to increase production to supply Argentina
and were apparently not ready to make such commitments given
uncertainties about the sector's future and the construction
of the pipeline.

--------------
YPFB's Restructuring
--------------


4. (SBU) Villena said that YPFB is in "intensive care" and is
being restructured into an efficient corporation. The
company hopes to launch the new, improved YPFB in March.
Villena explained that YPFB is now receiving tax revenue
directly from the companies based on the May decree and the
new operating contracts (ref C),but that YPFB's lack of
accountants and lack of legal provisions regarding how to
distribute the money (other tax funds pass through the
national treasury and distribution is regulated) are
hindering YPFB's ability to use the funds. A new YPFB
website is under construction, which will contain detailed
information about company operations and a platform for the
public to ask YPFB staff questions.

--------------
Five Company Take-Over
--------------


5. (SBU) Villena said that a government committee will choose
an international investment bank within ten days to evaluate
the worth of the shares of the five companies destined by the
May 1, 2006 decree for GOB majority ownership -- Transredes
(partially U.S.-owned pipeline operator),Chaco (partially
U.S.-owned production company),Andina (Spanish/Argentine
production company),Petrobras Bolivia Refining (Brazilian
refineries),and the Bolivian Hydrocarbons Logistics Company
(German/Peruvian storage company) (ref B). YPFB anticipates
making the companies purchase offers in May 2007, to coincide
with the one-year anniversary of the government's
nationalization decree. Villena noted that YPFB's position
regarding operating control of the companies is flexible, but
that YPFB wants to brand the companies as its own.

--------------
Comment
--------------


6. (SBU) The future of the Bolivian hydrocarbons sector
remains unclear. With the signing of new operating contracts
last October and the first round of bidding for rights to
sell gas to Argentina, companies have thus far made few
investment commitments. The next round of bidding in six
months should be more telling of the large players' --
Petrobras', British Gas', and Repsol's -- investment
intentions. The long-term future of the sector, and
Bolivia's ability to meet its export commitments, will depend
on these companies' decisions. End comment.
URS