Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07KUWAIT989
2007-06-26 13:30:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Kuwait
Cable title:  

OIL MINISTER TORCHED IN GRILLING; FACES NO

Tags:  PGOV EPET KDEM KU NATIONAL ASSEMBLY 
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VZCZCXRO6099
PP RUEHBC RUEHDE RUEHKUK RUEHROV
DE RUEHKU #0989/01 1771330
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 261330Z JUN 07
FM AMEMBASSY KUWAIT
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9452
INFO RUEHEE/ARAB LEAGUE COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KUWAIT 000989 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR NEA/ARP, EB/ESC/IEC, ENERGY FOR MWILLIAMSON

E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/26/2017
TAGS: PGOV EPET KDEM KU NATIONAL ASSEMBLY
SUBJECT: OIL MINISTER TORCHED IN GRILLING; FACES NO
CONFIDENCE VOTE JULY 9

REF: A. KUWAIT 919

B. KUWAIT 882

C. KUWAIT 836

D. KUWAIT 707

Classified By: Ambassador Richard LeBaron for reason 1.4 (d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KUWAIT 000989

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR NEA/ARP, EB/ESC/IEC, ENERGY FOR MWILLIAMSON

E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/26/2017
TAGS: PGOV EPET KDEM KU NATIONAL ASSEMBLY
SUBJECT: OIL MINISTER TORCHED IN GRILLING; FACES NO
CONFIDENCE VOTE JULY 9

REF: A. KUWAIT 919

B. KUWAIT 882

C. KUWAIT 836

D. KUWAIT 707

Classified By: Ambassador Richard LeBaron for reason 1.4 (d)


1. (C) Summary and comment: On June 25, ten MPs submitted a
no confidence motion on the Oil Minister following a
nine-hour "grilling" by three opposition MPs on
corruption-related charges. The motion was supported by MPs
from all four parliamentary blocs, suggesting it will get the
25 votes needed to pass when it is voted on July 9. Most
expect the Minister to resign in the coming days rather than
risk being forced out by Parliament. If he does, this would
represent a significant victory for opposition
parliamentarians and a defeat for the Government. There is
also the possibility that the entire Cabinet could resign or
the Amir could dissolve Parliament and call new elections.
Regardless of the outcome, we see no serious consequences for
U.S. interests emerging in the short term, particularly
regarding key foreign, security, and energy policy issues.
End summary and comment.


2. (SBU) On June 25, ten MPs submitted a no confidence
motion on Oil Minister Shaykh Ali Al-Jarrah Al-Sabah, a
distant cousin of the Amir, after he was "grilled" (i.e.
questioned) by three opposition MPs for nine hours on
corruption-related charges. Liberal MP Abdullah Al-Roumi,
Islamist MP Adel Al-Sarawi, and Populist MP Musallam
Al-Barrak accused the Minister of using his position to
protect his cousin, Shaykh Ali Al-Khalifa Al-Sabah, from
prosecution in a major oil-related embezzlement case (ref B).
They also claimed the Minister had not only failed to combat
corruption in the Oil Ministry, but was himself involved.
The evidence they provided for their accusations about the
oil ministry was more sensational than persuasive. At one
point the MPs displayed pictures of senior Kuwaiti oil
officials (though not the minister himself) with Japanese
women the MPs labeled prostitutes at a party in Tokyo
allegedly paid for with government funds.


3. (SBU) The Minister denied the allegations and noted that

many of the violations cited by the MPs had occurred before
he was appointed. On his relationship with Shaykh Ali
Al-Khalifa, he explained that he consulted the former
minister as part of a routine series of meetings with more
than 50 senior oil sector officials. Shaykh Ali Al-Jarrah
also suggested that several prominent individuals with vested
interests in key oil projects that he had opposed were behind
the grilling. Parliamentarians were apparently unconvinced:
the no confidence motion was supported by MPs from all four
parliamentary blocs. The motion, which only needs 25 votes
to pass, is expected to be voted on July 9.


4. (C) Reactions to the grilling were mixed. Most local
newspapers argued that the MPs outperformed Shaykh Ali
Al-Jarrah and their accusations against the Minister were
generally convincing. The new daily Al-Jarida, owned by
prominent liberal MP Mohammed Al-Sager, whose bloc supported
the grilling, reported that "the key winner in yesterday's
grilling was Kuwait and its democratic march." The head
staffer for liberal MP Mishari Al-Anjari told PolOff June 26
that the evidence presented was good, but "not enough" to
oust the Minister. He believed the grillers had stronger,
more damning evidence against the Minister, but had chosen to
withhold it due to the potential political repercussions that
could result if they revealed it in Parliament. He suggested
they had shared this information with MPs, which was why so
many had expressed support for the no confidence motion.

Few Good Options for the Government
--------------


5. (C) The no confidence motion comes as a blow to the
Government and threatens to fuel political tensions. This is
the second grilling against a minister from the ruling family
that opposition MPs have mounted since winning a
parliamentary majority in last summer's elections; another
grilling in December was avoided at the last minute by the
minister's resignation. It is unclear how the Government
will handle this latest challenge. It is unlikely the
Government will risk a close vote on the no confidence
motion, particularly since no minister has ever been ousted
this way in Kuwait's 45 years of parliamentary democracy. If
either the Minister or Cabinet resigns, it would represent a
major victory for opposition MPs and a serious blow to the
Government's prestige, and could merely encourage additional
grillings. In the latter case, many believe Shaykh Nasser

KUWAIT 00000989 002 OF 002


Mohammed would not be re-appointed as Prime Minister. A
final option is dissolving Parliament and calling new
elections. Most contacts argue that this would be very
difficult in the current political environment, and would be
interpreted as an attempt by the Amir to protect senior
ruling family members from investigation and prosecution on
corruption-related charges. Nonetheless the "summer
elections" option was recently predicted by an influential
member of the Al-Sabah family.

No Short-term Impact; Long-term Projects Could Suffer
-------------- --------------


6. (C) Since the Oil Minister plays no direct role in the
day-to-day operations of Kuwait's oil sector, there should be
no short-term effect on Kuwait's production or exports of
crude oil and refined products, which are managed by
state-owned Kuwait Petroleum Corporation. However, a change
in leadership at the Oil Ministry could further delay
important projects designed to enhance Kuwait's production of
heavy crude oil, gas, and "clean fuel." Increased scrutiny
of the oil sector and public perceptions of corruption could
also make decision-makers more risk averse. Plans to invite
international oil companies to participate in Kuwait's oil
sector through enhanced service agreements or the proposed
8.5 billion USD Kuwait Project could suffer further delays as
a result.

********************************************* *
For more reporting from Embassy Kuwait, visit:
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/nea/kuwait/?cable s

Visit Kuwait's Classified Website:
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/nea/kuwait/
********************************************* *

LeBaron