Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07KUWAIT1064
2007-07-04 09:20:00
CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN
Embassy Kuwait
Cable title:  

NOPEC DEMARCHE: OPEC GOVERNOR AND KPC COUNSEL SAY

Tags:  EPET ENRG ECON PREL KU 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO3076
PP RUEHDE
DE RUEHKU #1064 1850920
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 040920Z JUL 07
FM AMEMBASSY KUWAIT
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9547
INFO RUEHHH/OPEC COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEBAAA/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHDC PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L KUWAIT 001064 

SIPDIS

NOFORN
SIPDIS

STATE FOR NEA/ARP

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/02/2017
TAGS: EPET ENRG ECON PREL KU
SUBJECT: NOPEC DEMARCHE: OPEC GOVERNOR AND KPC COUNSEL SAY
NOPEC COULD HAVE CHILLING EFFECTS

REF: A. KUWAIT 1005

B. STATE 88197

Classified By: Ambassador Richard LeBaron for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L KUWAIT 001064

SIPDIS

NOFORN
SIPDIS

STATE FOR NEA/ARP

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/02/2017
TAGS: EPET ENRG ECON PREL KU
SUBJECT: NOPEC DEMARCHE: OPEC GOVERNOR AND KPC COUNSEL SAY
NOPEC COULD HAVE CHILLING EFFECTS

REF: A. KUWAIT 1005

B. STATE 88197

Classified By: Ambassador Richard LeBaron for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).


1. (C/NF) Following Ambassador's June 26 conversation with
the Foreign Minister (ref A),Econoff delivered ref B
demarche separately to Kuwait OPEC Governor Dr. Seham
Razzouqi and Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) Deputy
Managing Director and General Counsel Shaykh Nawaf Saud Nasir
Al-Sabah on July 3. Razzouqi said the GOK was "not happy"
with the news of NOPEC passage through the House and Senate
and considered the rejection of sovereign immunity to be
contrary to international law. She suggested the legislation
could have "very serious ramifications" affecting the
willingness of producing countries to make the significant
investments required to expand production capacity. She
noted that Kuwaiti investment in the United States would also
be affected. Razzouqi rejected the proposition that OPEC
countries bear significant responsibility for current high
prices, which she attributed more to robust demand growth and
under-investment in refining capacity in consuming countries.
She also said the influence of geopolitics on price was
overstated and distracting, arguing that economic
fundamentals played a much larger role. Razzouqi added that
OPEC production capacity is constrained, and producing
countries need to receive clearer and more consistent signals
from consuming countries that demand growth will remain
strong before they take on the significant risk of major
investments in new production capacity. She specifically
criticized overly restrictive environmental regulations in
OECD countries and high-level policy statements about
reducing dependence on oil. She said there was already
discussion between OPEC members about scaling back on
investments in response to NOPEC. Razzouqi suggested that
consuming countries need to "get their own houses in order"
and educate their publics about the real factors affecting
oil and gasoline prices rather than publicly casting the
blame on OPEC.


2. (C/NF) Al-Sabah said the passage of NOPEC could have a
"chilling effect" on economic relations between OPEC
countries and the United States. He added that even if the
bill is now vetoed, its strong support in the Congress still
sends a "threatening message." Son of a former Kuwaiti
Ambassador to the U.S. and a graduate of Princeton University
and Harvard Law School, Al-Sabah said he understood the role
of U.S. domestic politics in the strong support for NOPEC in
Congress, but nevertheless, he was alarmed that some senators
who are leading presidential candidates had supported the
bill. Al-Sabah said KPC was already reconsidering planned
petrochemical and refinery investments in the U.S. that could
amount to billions of dollars. He said he also expected
Kuwait Investment Authority to re-evaluate its multi-billion
dollar portfolio of U.S. investments. Al-Sabah said that in
a memorandum to KPC Acting CEO Saad Al-Shuwaib, he
characterized NOPEC as an act of "economic war." He added
that if NOPEC becomes law, he will advise KPC to sell off all
of its U.S. assets. Al-Sabah did concede that an increase in
OPEC production levels and a corresponding drop in prices
could serve to erode U.S. Congressional support for NOPEC.


3. (C/NF) The Ambassador also discussed the Administration's
position on NOPEC legislation with Petroleum Advisor to the
Amir Khaled Al-Fulaij during a June 30 meeting.


4. (C/NF) Comment: Kuwait has consistently resisted efforts
by other OPEC members to limit supply and drive up prices.
They see NOPEC as a perverse and ill-targeted political
gesture that will damage U.S. friends, not countries such as
Venezuela and Iran. Kuwait has been a strong investor in
U.S. Treasury bills, real estate, and equities. The
prospects of a Kuwaiti investment in U.S. refining capacity
are probably close to zero given the specter of NOPEC. The
legislation is a disaster for current U.S. efforts to promote
investment in the U.S., and has done considerable damage even
before becoming law.

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For more reporting from Embassy Kuwait, visit:
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/nea/kuwait/?cable s

Visit Kuwait's Classified Website:
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/nea/kuwait/
********************************************* *

LeBaron