Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07KINSHASA1283
2007-11-15 09:13:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Kinshasa
Cable title:  

INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY NOT PREPARED FOR WORST

Tags:  PGOV PREF MOPS PINS PREL KPKO RW CG 
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VZCZCXRO7223
PP RUEHDU RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHKI #1283/01 3190913
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 150913Z NOV 07
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 7132
INFO RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AF DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KINSHASA 001283 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

NSC FOR BLEO

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/14/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREF MOPS PINS PREL KPKO RW CG
SUBJECT: INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY NOT PREPARED FOR WORST
CASE IN NORTH KIVU

KINSHASA 00001283 001.2 OF 002


Classified By: Charge S.Brock (1.4 b/d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KINSHASA 001283

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

NSC FOR BLEO

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/14/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREF MOPS PINS PREL KPKO RW CG
SUBJECT: INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY NOT PREPARED FOR WORST
CASE IN NORTH KIVU

KINSHASA 00001283 001.2 OF 002


Classified By: Charge S.Brock (1.4 b/d).


1. (SBU) SUMMARY: Senior Advisor to Assistant Secretary
Frazer for Conflict Resolution, Timothy Shortley met with the
DRC Minister of Humanitarian Affairs, the United Nations
Country Team (UNCT) and separately with other NGO and UN
officials on October 29 prior to traveling to North Kivu.
Common themes discussed in these meetings included the
international community's responsibility for civilian
protection, the lack of adequate resources and preparedness
to provide this protection, and contingency planning for the
escalation of the existing worst case scenario as identified
by the UN. The UN and NGOs stated that: (1) previous worst
case scenarios have already been exceeded; (2) additional
assistance and support were critical to increase present
levels of aid and capacity to manage the major humanitarian
crisis; and (3) no broad protection plan between the UN and
NGOs exists or a common civilian-military approach between
the international community and MONUC to provide civilian
protection. END SUMMARY


2. (SBU) UN and NGOs consistently reported that previously
predicted worst case scenarios had been exceeded and the
humanitarian community lacked the capacity, resources and
mandate to meet existing assistance and protection
requirements. If the situation worsened as predicted and
expected by all agencies, limited UN and NGO capacity and
resourcing constraints will mean that critical needs will be
unmet. The situation would be further exacerbated if access
was cut off because of security and the limited availability
to use MONUC escorts as protection for humanitarian
operations.


3. (SBU) The UNHCR Country Representative in charge of
civilian protection among UN agencies, acknowledged that they
are not in a position to provide civilian protection and

require additional capacities and resources. The UNHCR
Representative also stated that the controversial policy of
establishing IDP camps is their main modality for civilian
protection. UNHCR also stated that they have only prepared
for limiting fighting and displacement and that any large
scale conflict would overwhelm the UN and implementing
partners. UNHCR has requested USG help with materials,
protection of staff, and camp management operations. The OCHA
Representative also referred to a lack of civilian protection
capacity and asked for USG support in creating safe corridors
for movements of OCHA staff and civilians.


4. (SBU) Oxfam, Care International, and Save the Children
representatives believe that UN preparedness in the Kivus has
improved, but still not adequate, since the UN started
talking to NGO's. NGOs also believe that longer term
transitional and development programs are needed to avoid a
perpetuating cycle of conflict. The WFP Representative
acknowledged that it has prepared for a movement of between
5,000 and 15,000 people, but do not have the necessary food
resources to provide for civilians in large numbers. The WFP
believes that a massive flow of people will follow in two
directions, one south towards Sake and one east toward the
border with Rwanda. With regard to protection, WFP said that
there is not a UN plan to protect civilians in large numbers.
In discussions with the UN Country Team, MONUC admitted that
it has not prepared for a worst case scenario of large scale
conflict and massive population movements and agreed that
additional scenario planning was needed to ensure that
resources and capacity were available to meet needs under an
scenario where the worst case scenario was exceeded.


5. (C) The DRC Minister of Humanitarian Affairs, known for
making several xenophobic statements against Tutsis, as well
as anti-MONUC, -UN and -NGO statements, said that the GDRC is
not prepared to protect the civilian population in North Kivu
and that he would like MONUC to establish a safe area for
civilians in Sake. The Minister said that people in Goma do
not believe MONUC will protect them because MONUC officials
only protect themselves. During a recent visit to Goma, The
Minister of Humanitarian Affairs also stated that NGOs should
"stop helping Tutsi's" and stop providing assistance to
populations within Nkunda's stronghold.


6. (SBU) COMMENT: The crisis in North Kivu has exceeded
previous worst case scenario predictions of the international
community and yet it continues to worsen. Senior Advisor

KINSHASA 00001283 002.2 OF 002


Shortley challenged the UN, NGOs and the Government to ask
for the assistance they require to protect civilians. As it
stands now, all agencies agree that if large scale conflict
erupts in North Kivu, large portions of the population will
not be protected. END COMMENT


7. (U) Mr. Shortley has/has cleared this message.
BROCK