Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07ISLAMABAD4739
2007-11-06 08:37:00
CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN
Embassy Islamabad
Cable title:  

MGPK01: SITREP 07, AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD: MIXED

Tags:  PGOV PREL PK AEMR AMGT ASEC CASC KFLO PINR 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO8792
OO RUEHLH RUEHPW
DE RUEHIL #4739/01 3100837
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 060837Z NOV 07
FM AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 3025
INFO RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL PRIORITY 7698
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON PRIORITY 6627
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI PRIORITY 2116
RUEHKP/AMCONSUL KARACHI PRIORITY 7895
RUEHLH/AMCONSUL LAHORE PRIORITY 3926
RUEHPW/AMCONSUL PESHAWAR PRIORITY 2453
RUEHNO/USMISSION USNATO PRIORITY 3183
RUMICEA/USCENTCOM INTEL CEN MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RHMFISS/CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ISLAMABAD 004739 

SIPDIS

NOFORN
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/06/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL PK AEMR AMGT ASEC CASC KFLO PINR
SUBJECT: MGPK01: SITREP 07, AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD: MIXED
MESSAGES ON ELECTIONS; MEDIA RESTRICTIONS CONTINUE

REF: ISLAMABAD 4727

Classified By: Anne W. Patterson, Reasons 1.4 (b),(d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ISLAMABAD 004739

SIPDIS

NOFORN
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/06/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL PK AEMR AMGT ASEC CASC KFLO PINR
SUBJECT: MGPK01: SITREP 07, AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD: MIXED
MESSAGES ON ELECTIONS; MEDIA RESTRICTIONS CONTINUE

REF: ISLAMABAD 4727

Classified By: Anne W. Patterson, Reasons 1.4 (b),(d)


1. (C) Summary: As of 1200 local time, mainly peaceful
lawyers' protests occurring in Islamabad, Karachi, Peshawar,
and Quetta. Following a conversation with Ambassador last
night, Bhutto said that Musharraf would not commit to a
timetable to have elections, doff his uniform, lift the state
of emergency, or reconstitute the Election Commission.
Restrictions on some broadcast media remain, and Public
Affairs Counselor demarched Minister Durrani last night to
reiterate our position that cable operators must immediately
be allowed to resume transmitting news channels.
Approximately 50 Human Rights Commission of Pakistan
activists remain under house arrest in Lahore. Pakistan
papers highlight President Bush's comments and news that the
Defense Consultative Group was postponed. The Dutch
announced that they would suspend aid to the GOP, but are
evaluating how that might be implemented. All mission offices
are operating normally. End summary.


2. (C) Benazir Bhutto called Ambassador last night after the
PPP leader talked with Musharraf. Bhutto noted a pleasant and
improved atmosphere with Musharraf. Bhutto told Ambassador
that Musharraf would not commit to a timetable to have
elections, doff his uniform, lift the state of emergency, or
reconstitute the Election Commission. Bhutto's contacts told
her that Musharraf had made a decision to postpone the
elections for six months. This view is becoming more common
and a range of mission contacts have told us that elections
will be pushed back six months. Ambassador relayed to Bhutto
that holding elections on time was our highest priority and
that we were concerned about Prime Minister Aziz's public

remarks on Sunday that elections might not be held for up to
a year. Bhutto did not mention any planned PPP
demonstrations.


3. (SBU) Pakistan officials have publicly conveyed a mixed
message about when elections will occur. Prime Minister Aziz
said publicly on Sunday that elections might not occur for a
year; yesterday he publicly said that elections would be held
on schedule and that Parliament would be convened tomorrow
(which clears the way for January elections). Attorney
General Malik Abdul Qayyum publicly said that assemblies
would be dissolved by 15 November and elections would be held
within 60 days. Punjab Chief Minister Pervaiz Elahi said
yesterday that there was no plan to extend the term of the
elected assemblies, implying that elections would occur in
January.


4. (C) Public Affairs Counselor met with Minister of
Information Durrani Tuesday evening to deliver a demarche
reiterating our earlier statement that cable operators must
immediately be allowed to resume transmitting news channels.
Durrani implied that the GOP is looking for a face-saving way
out of the broadcast restrictions -- early enough that public
dissatisfaction about the news blackout does not boil over,
but with the restrictions in place long enough to make the
point to broadcasters and the international community that
the GOP will not be bullied. Durrani said that if
broadcasters agree to abide by the provisions of the amended
broadcasting ordinance, they will be allowed back on the air.
Public Affairs Counselor asked if there was room for
negotiation in the provisions of the amended ordinance, but
Durrani was noncommittal.


5. (C) CG Lahore reported this morning (local time) that the
GOP has not lifted house arrest restrictions for the
approximately 50 Human Rights Commission of Pakistan
activists detained since Sunday.


6. (U) Former Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry remains under
house arrest. Through an intermediary, he publicly
criticized the provisional constitutional order (PCO) as
"unfounded, unconstitutional, and illegal."


7. (U) All Pakistani papers reported President Bush's
exhortation that Musharraf hold elections and take off his
uniform. Pakistani papers also reported that the US

ISLAMABAD 00004739 002 OF 002


suspended defense talks with Pakistan. Pakistan's English
paper of record reported that DOD Undersecretary for Policy
Edelman canceled his trip to Pakistan and that "Washington
may also review its defense assistance to Islamabad."


8. (C) The Dutch DCM told us that the Ministry of Development
Cooperation suspended aid to the GOP for the time being, but
was evaluating how that might be implemented. The Dutch DCM
said he is seeking clarification from the Hague on how long
the suspension will last and what it means; the DCM said they
were directed to cut-off aid to the government of Pakistan,
but 80% of their assistance goes to NGOs and 9% goes to
multilaterals, so the restrictions may well be meaningless.
The DCM said he hopes to continue supporting some projects.
The Pakistan media reported the Canadian Foreign Affairs
Ministry in Ottawa advised its citizens not to travel to
Pakistan because of the imposition of a state of emergency.


9. (U) Police and GOP officials attempted to block
distribution of an evening paper in Karachi yesterday (as
reported reftel),but the management was ultimately able to
distribute the paper. The GOP continues to block the
transmission of some private TV news stations. Pakistan's
paper of record reported this morning that people were lining
up to buy satellite dishes to circumvent government
restrictions on broadcast media. Newspapers were distributed
today with no problems. Phone service continues to function
normally.

PATTERSON