Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07ISLAMABAD3706
2007-08-24 11:38:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Islamabad
Cable title:  

PAKISTAN: A DAY AFTER THE NAWAZ VERDICT

Tags:  PGOV PREL PK 
pdf how-to read a cable
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C O N F I D E N T I A L ISLAMABAD 003706 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/24/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL PK
SUBJECT: PAKISTAN: A DAY AFTER THE NAWAZ VERDICT

REF: ISLAMABAD 3692

Classified By: Charge Peter Bodde, for reasons 1.4 (b),(d)


C O N F I D E N T I A L ISLAMABAD 003706

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/24/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL PK
SUBJECT: PAKISTAN: A DAY AFTER THE NAWAZ VERDICT

REF: ISLAMABAD 3692

Classified By: Charge Peter Bodde, for reasons 1.4 (b),(d)



1. (SBU) The Supreme Court's August 23 ruling in favor of
former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has been lauded by Nawaz
supporters and opposition parties as another sign of an
independent judiciary standing up for democratic rights.
People celebrated in the streets in Islamabad and in other
Punjabi cities after the announcement of the verdict. There
have been no large-scale demonstrations or street movements
following initial public celebrations; Islamabad and all
other major cities remain quiet.


2. (SBU) The court released a very short order citing the
right of freedom of movement under Article 15 of the
Pakistani constitution. Its language cites a Pakistani
citizen's "inalienable right to enter and remain in (the)
country" and notes that their return "shall not be
restrained, hampered, or obstructed by the Federal or
Provincial Government Agencies". The court is expected to
release a longer decision explaining its legal stance in a
few weeks. The short verdict makes no mention of any other
legal cases pending against Nawaz Sharif nor does it cite any
of his previous convictions in Pakistani courts. Attorney
General Malik Qayyum has accepted the court's decision and
reaffirmed that no law restricts Nawaz Sharif's return to
Pakistan. However, he has publicly said the court decision
nullifies the exile deal that the government made with Sharif
in 2000 and thus does not restrict the government from
imposing past convictions or sentences. (Note: Nawaz Sharif
was convicted in 2000 on various charges, including
corruption and terrorism, for which he received a life
sentenced. End Note.)


3. (C) Both President Musharraf and Nawaz Sharif have
publicly called for political reconciliation. Musharraf in a
televised interview, said that there is a need to forgive and
forget the past and reconcile politically with Nawaz Sharif
for greater national interests. Nawaz Sharif has also said he
is open to reconciliation but only if President Musharraf
makes clear that he is not a candidate for any political
position in upcoming elections. All the major opposition
political party leaders -- including Benazir Bhutto, heads of
religious parties, and the nationalists -- have publicly
welcomed the Supreme Court's decision. The key question
remains when will Nawaz Sharif return. Sharif has expressly
not stated a date. His party leaders are calling for his
early return in order to challenge President Musharraf's bid
for re-election under the current assemblies (which could
take place as early as September 15). Sharif has only said
that he will be back in Pakistan before the general elections.


4. (C) Comment: Opposition parties are welcoming the Supreme
Court decision with open arms, declaring it a another victory
for an independent judiciary, despite the fact that rumors of
deals and accommodations with the government continue to
abound. Sharif's tentative statements about the date of his
return suggest he may be open to some sort of reconciliation
with President Musharraf. If Sharif comes back to Pakistan
after the presidential elections, he will be able to lead his
party in general elections while avoiding a direct challenge
to Musharraf's presidential re-election. Sharif's calculated
decision on when to return will determine how his party
approaches both the presidential and national elections. End
Comment.

BODDE