Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07HAVANA265
2007-03-19 11:03:00
CONFIDENTIAL
US Interests Section Havana
Cable title:  

PAYA: CUBAN REGIME NERVOUS ABOUT POLITICAL

Tags:  PHUM KDEM SOCI CU 
pdf how-to read a cable
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 HAVANA 000265 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE DEPT FOR WHA/CCA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/19/2017
TAGS: PHUM KDEM SOCI CU
SUBJECT: PAYA: CUBAN REGIME NERVOUS ABOUT POLITICAL
SITUATION

REF: HAVANA 248

HAVANA 00000265 001.3 OF 002


Classified By: COM Michael E. Parmly for Reason 1.4(d).

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 HAVANA 000265

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE DEPT FOR WHA/CCA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/19/2017
TAGS: PHUM KDEM SOCI CU
SUBJECT: PAYA: CUBAN REGIME NERVOUS ABOUT POLITICAL
SITUATION

REF: HAVANA 248

HAVANA 00000265 001.3 OF 002


Classified By: COM Michael E. Parmly for Reason 1.4(d).


1. (C) Summary: Cuban human rights leader Oswaldo Paya says
that although the Cuban Government is projecting an air of
confidence, thanks to Venezuelan largesse and expanding
business with China, the regime is desperate about the
domestic political situation and showing great insecurity.
During a three-hour meeting with COM Parmly on March 15, Paya
said the GOC's nervousness can be seen in its a
zero-tolerance policy toward Paya's Christian Liberation
Movement (MCL),as well as in "unmistakable messages" sent
during a March 9 interrogation of MCL executive Ernesto
"Freddy" Martini. Paya cast doubt on whether any member of
the Human Rights Council will introduce a resolution on
Cuba's political prisoners. He also addressed the GOC's
crusade against satellite TV access, said the posture of some
European countries is hurting the Cuban people, and explained
how State Security expertly vilifies dissidents for eating a
bit of cheese. End Summary.


2. (C) Cuban State Security detained Martini, the second most
powerful MCL official outside of prison, after he dropped off
his daughter at school on March 9. Martini was taken to a
safe house and interrogated for eight hours. According to
Paya, the officials threatened Martini and referred
repeatedly to the MCL's circulation of a proposed HRC
resolution titled, "The Need for the Cuban Government to
Liberate the Peaceful Political Prisoners." (Note: The MCL
drafted the resolution and sent it to members of the HRC.
End Note.) Paya said the regime's message was that "if the
MCL keeps pressing HRC members to introduce the resolution,
the regime will pull the rug out from under us." Paya said
that although the GOC benefits from massive Venezuelan
subsidies, a "sleeping population" and booming business with
China, the regime is "desperate" about the political
situation and keenly aware that discontent among Cubans is
growing. Meanwhile, he said, Cuban elites are dead-set on
maintaining absolute control and safeguarding their economic
interests. "There is money in Cuba, and they want to keep it

all." He also called nepotism rife within the ruling class.

RESOLUTION BACKING SEEN AS UNLIKELY
--------------


3. (C) Paya was pessimistic over the likelihood that an HRC
member nation would introduce a resolution on Cuban political
prisoners. But he noted "huge moral pressure" to do so, and
said there's an outside chance that some country will muster
the courage. If not, he said, the MCL will complain that the
HRC has not taken steps to defend human rights defenders in
Cuba. He said the MCL's proposal was supported by a majority
of the "Ladies in White," with a few conspicuous exceptions
(including leading Ladies Laura Pollan and Miriam Leyva). He
added that he wrote directly to German Chancellor Merkel
regarding the resolution proposal, but he did not disclose
whether she responded.

STATE SECURITY DISTORTIONS
--------------


4. (C) Paya, founder of the Varela referendum project, said
State Security has a talent for distorting any fleeting
comforts that a dissident manages to enjoy. His youngest son
recently celebrated his birthday, Paya explained, and his
wish was to visit a swimming pool. Paya took him to a hotel
pool and paid the $6 per person entry fee. The visit was
noted by State Security, which mentioned it during Martini's
interrogation, saying Paya was living high on the hog. Paya
said the characterization was similar to that of dissidents
who attend a diplomatic reception and consume a bit of
cheese, olives and beer. "The fact that Cubans are
ordinarily denied these things is blamed on the dissidents,
rather than the regime."

SATELLITE TV CRACKDOWN
--------------


5. (C) Paya said the GOC's aggressive effort to identify and
confiscate satellite TV antennas shows that the regime is
"terrified that people will see some alternative" to the

HAVANA 00000265 002.3 OF 002


current system. (Another dissident, in the Freemason
movement, told P/E Counselor on March 15 that Cubans today
are quick to replace and rebuild the TV antennas, which "grow
back like weeds.") Paya said the number of true believers in
communism/Castroism is no higher than five percent of the
workforce, adding that young Cubans are particularly
disenfranchised and apolitical, and largely hopeless.

EUROPEANS "POSITIONING THEMSELVES"
--------------


6. (C) Paya emphasized that some European nations, and at
least one Asian nation, are more interested in positioning
themselves for life in a future, free Cuba, than undertaking
the crucial and arduous work of pushing for freedom. "They
are doing so at the expense of the Cuban people," Paya said.
Regarding the policies of a future, post-Fidel government, he
said the MCL will not accept any "concessions," such as
economic openings that are not accompanied by political
reforms. "We want our rights. We want to be able to move
freely and express ourselves freely."

COMMENT
--------------


7. (C) We share Paya's assessment that the regime is growing
increasingly nervous, despite bravado to the contrary. It is
unsurprising, therefore, that eight dissidents were detained
on March 15, two of them shortly after visiting a USINT
internet center. The Cuban Commission for Human Rights and
National Reconciliation informed us on March 16 that the
number of "street (human rights) violations" it documented in
February was up 36 percent from January.
PARMLY