Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07GUANGZHOU344
2007-03-16 06:14:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Consulate Guangzhou
Cable title:  

U.S. Companies in South China are Profitable; Labor and

Tags:  ECON ETRD ELAB EINV WTRO CH 
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RR RUEHCN RUEHGH RUEHVC
DE RUEHGZ #0344/01 0750614
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 160614Z MAR 07
FM AMCONSUL GUANGZHOU
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5890
INFO RUEHOO/CHINA POSTS COLLECTIVE
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC
RUEHC/USDOL WASHDC
RULSDMK/DEPT OF TRANSPORTATION WASHDC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RUEKJCS/DIA WASHDC
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 GUANGZHOU 000344 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON ETRD ELAB EINV WTRO CH
SUBJECT: U.S. Companies in South China are Profitable; Labor and
Regulatory Challenges Remain

REFERENCE: A) Guangzhou 301; B) 06 Guangzhou 32385; C) 06 Guangzhou

31579; D) 06 Guangzhou 10089

(U) This document is sensitive but unclassified. Please protect
accordingly.

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 GUANGZHOU 000344

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON ETRD ELAB EINV WTRO CH
SUBJECT: U.S. Companies in South China are Profitable; Labor and
Regulatory Challenges Remain

REFERENCE: A) Guangzhou 301; B) 06 Guangzhou 32385; C) 06 Guangzhou

31579; D) 06 Guangzhou 10089

(U) This document is sensitive but unclassified. Please protect
accordingly.


1. (SBU) SUMMARY AND COMMENT: According to an AmCham-South China
survey released on March 15, most U.S. investors in South China are
profitable and planning further investments in 2007. Companies
prefer Guangdong's Pearl River Delta (PRD) because of its large and
relatively prosperous domestic market and its developed logistics
network. The survey highlighted the gradual shift in the focus of
U.S. companies in the past few years from manufacturing for export
to manufacturing for the domestic market. Additionally, the number
of companies providing services has increased to just over 50
percent. However, despite the rosy outlook, investors remain
frustrated with regulators' lack of transparency, a dearth of
skilled workers, and rising labor costs. A surprising 75 percent of
survey participants have not made any preparations for an avian flu
outbreak. Though business contacts often complain to Post of the
difficulties of operating in South China's opaque and sometimes
arbitrary business environment, this survey indicates that, on the
whole, U.S. companies are doing well here, the domestic market is
growing, and the market for services is increasing. END SUMMARY AND
COMMENT.

About the Survey
--------------


2. (U) The 2007 State of Business in South China Survey, conducted
by AmCham-South China and Hewitt Associates, surveyed 364 companies
from January 14, 2007 to February 6, 2007. Half of the respondents
are subsidiaries of U.S. companies and a majority has more than 10
years of experience in China. Three quarters are headquartered in
either Guangzhou or Shenzhen. The respondents are split 50-50
between those that manufacture goods and those that provide
services.

Profitability and Rising Investment
--------------


3. (U) According to the survey, most U.S. companies in South China
are profitable and are meeting or exceeding budget expectations.

Only those that established operations in China within the last two
years are not profitable - though they almost all expect to see
improvement within the next two years. The vast majority of
companies expect to increase their China business activities and
expand existing facilities during the next few years.


4. (U) Surveyed companies are also planning to increase their
investment levels throughout the country. In most cases the
increase will be in the range of a few million dollars - a
significant amount considering that most of the companies invested
less than USD 10 million in China in 2006. A 2006 AmCham-South
China survey found similar results in profitability and investment
trends (ref C).

A Positive Business Climate
--------------


5. (U) The vast majority of companies are satisfied with the
business climate in South China, and most believe it has improved
over the last 12 months. Almost all of the companies believe the
government's economic reforms in 2006 were positive overall. As for
why these companies chose Guangzhou or other South China cities as a
base of operations, most cite the large and relatively prosperous
customer base, proximity to Hong Kong, logistical and transportation
advantages, and greater transparency.

Shifting to the Domestic Market and Services
--------------


6. (U) Interestingly, the survey highlighted the gradual shift in
the focus of U.S. companies during the past few years from a heavy
emphasis on manufacturing for export to now manufacturing for the
domestic market. This demonstrates the growing maturity and
openness of the domestic market. Additionally, the number of
companies providing services has increased to just over 50 percent,
also reflecting greater market openness largely due to China's WTO
accession.

Top Complaints: Regulatory Issues and Human Resources
-------------- --------------


GUANGZHOU 00000344 002 OF 002



7. (U) Despite the generally positive impressions of China's reforms
in 2006, companies still see regulatory issues as their biggest
challenge in China. Though the survey does not cite specifics,
business contacts have complained of a lack of transparency in local
regulators' implementation of new laws. Human resource issues
continue to be a serious concern for companies here as well,
particularly the lack of qualified managerial and specialist talent,
rising labor costs, and, to a lesser extent, a lack of unskilled
labor (see reftel A). Companies see these challenges as unlikely to
change over the next few years.

Avian Flu: Ignoring the Issue
--------------


8. (SBU) Companies are no doubt aware of the risks of an avian flu
outbreak in South China, both because of the intense media interest
in 2006 and active outreach programs by AmCham and Post. However,
three-quarters of companies still have not set up contingency plans,
education campaigns, or vaccination programs for employees.
Apparently, though companies are hearing the message, they are not
taking it to heart.

ROCK