Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07CHISINAU1382
2007-11-23 14:22:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Chisinau
Cable title:  

THE CHALLENGES OF INVESTING IN MOLDOVA

Tags:  ECON PGOV PHUM MD 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO4029
RR RUEHLMC
DE RUEHCH #1382/01 3271422
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 231422Z NOV 07
FM AMEMBASSY CHISINAU
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5935
INFO RUEHBM/AMEMBASSY BUCHAREST 4238
RUEHKV/AMEMBASSY KYIV 0542
RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW 3252
RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORP 0029
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 CHISINAU 001382 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/UMB AND EEB/IFD/OIA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/23/2017
TAGS: ECON PGOV PHUM MD
SUBJECT: THE CHALLENGES OF INVESTING IN MOLDOVA


Classified By: Ambassador Michael D. Kirby for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 CHISINAU 001382

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR EUR/UMB AND EEB/IFD/OIA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/23/2017
TAGS: ECON PGOV PHUM MD
SUBJECT: THE CHALLENGES OF INVESTING IN MOLDOVA


Classified By: Ambassador Michael D. Kirby for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)


1. (C) SUMMARY: Although the Government of Moldova (GOM) has
adopted measures to attract foreign investment, the business
climate remains uneven. In 2006, Moldova achieved record
foreign direct investment (FDI) of USD 240 million and 2007
continues to show a positive trend. However, FDI inflows
remain low in relative terms and reports from foreign
investors document the continued challenges of investing in
Moldova. Targeted actions against strategic investors,
politically connected individuals who "acquire" profitable
businesses, systemic corruption, and legislative obstacles
all conspire to make Moldova a place for only the savviest of
investors. The actions of certain elements of the GOM
challenge our confidence in their willingness to consolidate
reforms, causing us to pause (even more than before) when
counseling potential American investors about investing in
Moldova. END SUMMARY.

"MOLDOVA: A NEW CHALLENGE AT THE EU'S BORDER"
--------------


2. (C) The GOM's awkwardly titled October 11-13 national
investment forum is indicative of the investment climate in
Moldova. As many investors note, one comes to Moldova (as
with many emerging markets) because of the potential for high
returns, understanding the challenges and risks. The GOM
touts Moldova's comparative advantages as democratic
stability, a legal framework which facilitates foreign
investment, low-cost labor, favorable investment and tax
incentives, and a strategic location between the EU and CIS
(with preferential trade access to both markets). The GOM
lauds its recent efforts to "liberalize" the economy: the
adoption of a capital and fiscal amnesty, introduction of a
zero tax rate for reinvested income, progress on
privatizations, the creation of free economic zones, and
plans to develop industrial parks.

INVEST IN MOLDOVA - AT YOUR OWN RISK
--------------


3. (C) Although the GOM has continued reforming Moldova's
economy, the business and investment climate remains weak and

hindered by corruption, excessive bureaucracy and a weak
judicial system. For example, Union Fenosa, the Spanish
owner of three power distribution companies, has been
battling the GOM for over 10 months in response to the
unilateral adoption of politically motivated tariffs for
electricity which threaten the viability of the company's
investment in Moldova. Union Fenosa tried to disconnect
service to MoldCarton, a Russian-owned company close to the
Moldovan leadership, because of non-payment of debts.
Government officials, including the Prime Minister, would not
allow Union Fenosa to stop providing electricity to
MoldCarton and pressured the company to accept a payment
schedule favorable to MoldCarton.


4. (C) Other examples include the use of the Center for
Combating Crime and Economic Corruption by politically
connected local "investors" and elements of the GOM to take
over or undermine profitable businesses. The allegations and
outcomes of these investigations are rarely made public.
Some new and disturbing challenges come from the recently
established National Agency for the Protection of
Competition, which has gone after France Telecom's Orange
(mobile telephony) and Moldovan-American joint venture Sun
Communications (cable television and internet provider)
citing monopolistic practices. Both Orange and Sun are
challenging domestic Moldovan competitors, who seem to be
resorting to political interference to tilt the playing field
in their favor.


5. (C) Government interference in the economy takes many
forms - from unpublished internal decrees to government
decisions which skirt legality. In the past year, we've seen
examples of the GOM opaquely banning U.S poultry imports,
adopting new regulations on non-alcoholic bottled beverages
which hinder trade, and holding flawed tender offers for
government procurements. Although the "Guillotine" process
(reform of regulatory activity affecting businesses) was
implemented successfully, and a second phase is underway,
companies continue to note regulatory-type constraints (and
related corruption) as impediments to their development.

NOT ALL PROBLEMS ARE STRUCTURAL
--------------


6. (C) Reforms and technical assistance will not resolve the

CHISINAU 00001382 002 OF 002


problem of politically connected individuals who acquire
profitable businesses through intimidation. According to
anecdotal evidence, one of the worst offenders is Oleg
Voronin, the son of President Vladimir Voronin. It is widely
believed that Oleg, President of FinComBank, has acquired
numerous businesses through intimidation and use of his
family name. So abundant are the rumors that Oleg Voronin
gave a rare interview in March 2007 (only his second public
interview) to VIP magazine, a local publication, discrediting
these charges and criticizing those who, for political
reasons, go after the President's son. However, stories
abound about the Voronin clan and their holdings. (NOTE:
Recently, a CIS publication listed Oleg Voronin as one of the
richest men in Moldova, claiming he was worth USD one
billion. We doubt all his riches are the product of his
business acumen. END NOTE.)

COMMENT
--------------


7. (C) Moldova has made efforts to improve its business and
investment climate, with considerable support from the U.S.
and other donors. Our MCC Threshold Country Program is an
important effort in addressing one of Moldova's principle
constraints to economic growth - corruption. Some GOM
officials (such as, for example, First Deputy Prime Minister
Greceanii and Minister of Economy Dodon) recognize that
improving the investment climate is Moldova's key to a more
prosperous future and seek to improve that climate. In
addition, Parliamentary Speaker Marian Lupu often sides with
those seeking to improve the business climate.


8. (C) Moldova's post-Soviet transition has been uneven. At
times this country appears to have only a veneer of reform,
although more than 15 years have passed since its
independence. Moldova has enacted many new, progressive
laws, but implementing and enforcing them will be the measure
of true reform. Unless Moldova can improve the investment
climate, it risks losing out to other low-cost competitors in
the region, becoming a haven only for Russian or other
investors who do not care to operate under western norms.
KIRBY