Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07CAIRO1727
2007-06-07 12:40:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Cairo
Cable title:  

EGYPT: REACTION TO PRESIDENT BUSH'S PRAGUE SPEECH

Tags:  PGOV PREL PHUM KDEM EG 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0033
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHEGA #1727 1581240
ZNY CCCCC ZZH ZUI RUEWMCF3485 1581241
O 071240Z JUN 07
FM AMEMBASSY CAIRO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0000
INFO ARAB ISRAELI COLLECTIVE
RUEHPG/AMEMBASSY PRAGUE
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
C O N F I D E N T I A L CAIRO 001727 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

NSC STAFF FOR WATERS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/07/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM KDEM EG
SUBJECT: EGYPT: REACTION TO PRESIDENT BUSH'S PRAGUE SPEECH

CLASSIFIED BY DCM STUART JONES FOR REASONS 1.4 (B) AND (D).

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SUMMARY
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C O N F I D E N T I A L CAIRO 001727

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

NSC STAFF FOR WATERS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/07/2017
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM KDEM EG
SUBJECT: EGYPT: REACTION TO PRESIDENT BUSH'S PRAGUE SPEECH

CLASSIFIED BY DCM STUART JONES FOR REASONS 1.4 (B) AND (D).

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SUMMARY
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1. (C) THE EGYPTIAN GOVERNMENT, AND GOVERNMENT-DOMINATED
MEDIA, HAVE REJECTED PRESIDENT BUSH'S JUNE 5 SPEECH IN
PRAGUE, PARTICULARLY THE CALL FOR THE RELEASE OF AYMAN NOUR.
THE FOREIGN MINISTER AND THE PARLIAMENT'S FOREIGN AFFAIRS
COMMITTEE TOOK EXCEPTION TO THE REFERENCE TO AYMAN NOUR. THE
STATE-CONTROLLED MEDIA HAVE TAKEN A SIMILAR TACK, WHILE
INDEPENDENT COMMENTATORS HAVE QUESTIONED IF USG ACTIONS TO
PROMOTE DEMOCRACY CAN BE COMMENSURATE TO THE PRESIDENTS
WORDS. GAMEELA ISMAIL, WIFE OF AYMAN NOUR, SAID SHE FEARED
THAT THE REMARKS WOULD NEGATIVELY AFFECT NOUR'S CHANCES OF
JUDICIAL RELEASE. END SUMMARY.

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GOE PIQUE
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2. (SBU) IN A JUNE 5 STATEMENT, FOREIGN MINISTER ABOUL
GHEIT TERMED THE CALL FOR AYMAN NOUR'S RELEASE AS
"UNACCEPTABLE INTERFERENCE IN OUR DOMESTIC AFFAIRS," BUT
NOTED THAT THE STRENGTH AND DEPTH OF U.S.-EGYPTIAN RELATIONS
ALLOWED HIM TO EXPRESS HIS ASTONISHMENT AND RESENTMENT OVER
PRESIDENT BUSH'S SPEECH. FOLLOWING ABOUL GHEIT'S LEAD, THE
FOREIGN AFFAIRS COMMITTEE AT THE PEOPLE'S ASSEMBLY ISSUED A
STATEMENT ON JUNE 6 EXPRESSING "DEEP SADNESS" AT PRESIDENT
BUSH'S "FLAGRANT INTERFERENCE" IN EGYPT'S INTERNAL AFFAIRS,
AND URGED THAT PRESIDENT BUSH SHOULD INSTEAD ADDRESS HUMAN
RIGHTS ISSUES IN GUANTANAMO.

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ECHOES IN THE ESTABLISHMENT MEDIA
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3. (SBU) KHAYRI RAMADAN AND AMR ADEEB, THE INFLUENTIAL AND
POPULAR HOSTS OF THE "CAIRO TODAY" PROGRAM ON THE PRIVATE
ORBIT SATELLITE CHANNEL, CRITICIZED THE SPEECH. RAMADAN
ADDED THAT "REGARDING AYMAN NOUR, ALL OF US ADVOCATE
DEMOCRACY IN OUR COUNTRY AND WE ARE DEMANDING IT ALL THE TIME
FROM OUR RULERS IN OUR OWN WAY RATHER THAN BY PRESSURES FROM
BUSH. THE USA, WHICH WAS A SYMBOL FOR FREEDOM AND DEMOCRACY,
HAS BECOME ... A SYMBOL OF OPPRESSION, SUPPRESSION, AND
TYRANNY." REGARDING SPECULATION THAT NOUR MIGHT SOON BE
GRANTED AMNESTY BY PRESIDENT MUBARAK, ADEEB SAID THAT NOW

PEOPLE MIGHT THINK THAT "BUSH ... (HAS) RUINED NOUR.... BUSH
HURLED A STONE AT (NOUR'S) HEAD."


4. (C) ROSE AL-YOUSSEF, THE "INDEPENDENT" DAILY BELIEVED TO
BE FUNDED BY NDP SECRETARY FOR ORGANIZATION, AHMED EZZ (WHO
CONTROLS MUCH OF THE EGYPTIAN STEEL INDUSTRY AND IS CLOSE TO
GAMAL MUBARAK),RAN A FRONT PAGE STORY ON JUNE 7 HEADLINED,
"THE FOOL--A PRESIDENT WHO HAS LOST HIS MIND--BUSH'S
CONSPIRACY ON AYMAN NOUR--THE U.S. PRESIDENT HAS STILL NOT
LEARNED THAT WESTERN STATEMENTS HAVE NO IMPACT ON EGYPTIAN
DECISIONS."

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GAMEELA ISMAIL REACTION
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5. (SBU) IN AN INTERVIEW PUBLISHED ON JUNE 7, NOUR'S WIFE,
GAMEELA ISMAIL, TOLD LEADING INDEPENDENT DAILY AL-MASRY
AL-YOUM THAT SHE HOPED THAT STATEMENTS BY PRESIDENT BUSH AND
OTHER WORLD LEADERS MIGHT HAVE "PRACTICAL" RESULTS. ISMAIL
SAID SHE DID NOT BELIEVE PREVIOUS PRESS REPORTS THAT VP
CHENEY HAD RAISED NOUR'S CASE WITH MUBARAK DURING HIS MAY 13
VISIT TO CAIRO. ISMAIL ADDED THAT "WHAT I FEAR MOST IS THAT
BUSH'S STATEMENT WILL NEGATIVELY AFFECT AYMAN'S ... CHANCES
OF A MEDICAL RELEASE THROUGH A JUDICIAL RULING." (NOTE:
NOUR HAS A JUNE 12 HEARING AT EGYPT'S STATE COUNCIL, WHERE A
RULING IS EXPECTED ON HIS APPEAL FOR MEDICAL PAROLE.
MINISTER OF INTERIOR ADLY TOLD THE AMBASSADOR ON JUNE 5 THAT
NOUR WOULD NOT BE RELEASED BEFORE THE END OF HIS FIVE YEAR
JAIL TERM.)

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DEMOCRACY ACTIVIST ENGY EL-HADDAD
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6. (C) ENGY EL-HADDAD, A CLOSE EMBASSY CONTACT AND MEPI
GRANTEE WHO WAS NAMED ON THE WHITE HOUSE FACT SHEET AS THE
ONE EGYPTIAN DISSIDENT/DEMOCRACY ACTIVIST WHO HAD MET WITH
PRESIDENT BUSH, TOLD POLOFF ON JUNE 6 THAT "I ACTUALLY LIKED
THE SPEECH," BUT ALSO URGED THAT THE USG SHOULD MATCH THE
PRESIDENT'S WORDS WITH MEANINGFUL ACTIONS IN SUPPORT OF THE

STRONG RHETORIC. SHE SAID THAT THE PRESIDENT'S REFERENCE TO
AYMAN NOUR, UNFORTUNATELY, WOULD NOT MAKE A DIFFERENCE AT
THIS POINT.

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HUMAN RIGHTS ACTIVISTS BAHEY EL-DIN HASSAN AND HOSSAM BAHGAT
-------------- --------------


7. (SBU) HASSAN, ONE OF THE DEANS OF EGYPT'S CIVIL SOCIETY
COMMUNITY, TOLD AL-MASRY AL-YOUM IN AN INTERVIEW PUBLISHED ON
JUNE 7, THAT THE PRESIDENT'S STATEMENTS REVEALED THE "TOTAL
CONTRADICTIONS THAT GOVERN U.S. POLICY." HASSAN OPINED THAT
THE U.S. ADMINISTRATION IS FACING INTERNAL CONFLICTS OVER HOW
TO BALANCE DEMOCRACY PROMOTION WITH ITS GEO-STRATEGIC
INTERESTS. WHEN THE ADMINISTRATION APPEARS TO DE-EMPHASIZE
DEMOCRACY DUE TO STRATEGIC CONCERNS, THE ADMINISTRATION
"FACES STRONG AND SARCASTIC CRITICISM FROM THE MEDIA AND
TRIES TO REMEDY THIS BY MAKING TOUGH STATEMENTS AGAINST ITS
DICTATORIAL ALLIES." BY THE SAME TOKEN, HASSAN CONTINUED,
USG POLICY IMPERATIVES IN PALESTINE, IRAQ, AND IRAN COMPEL
THE USG OCCASIONALLY "TO COMPLIMENT THE ARAB REGIMES WHICH
PRESERVE AND PROTECT U.S. INTERESTS." HASSAN CONCLUDED THAT
THE GOE WOULD RESIST USG PRESSURE TO RELEASE NOUR BECAUSE THE
GOE PREFERS TO KEEP NOUR AS AN OBJECT LESSON FOR OTHER
ASPIRING INDEPENDENT CONTENDERS FOR THE EGYPTIAN PRESIDENCY.
IN ADDITION, THE GOE KNOWS THAT THE USG'S WEAKENED REGIONAL
POSITION "GIVES LEVERAGE TO THE EGYPTIAN REGIME IN THE GAME
OF POLITICAL BROKERAGE."


8. (C) BAHGAT, PERHAPS THE PRE-EMINENT EGYPTIAN HUMAN
RIGHTS ACTIVIST OF THE NEW GENERATION (HE IS IN HIS LATE
20S),TOLD POLOFF ON JUNE 7, "I LIKE THE WORDS. BUT WE'VE
HEARD ALL THIS AND MORE TWO YEARS AGO, AND HERE WE ARE.
LEADERSHIP BY EXAMPLE IS STILL THE KEY, AND THE U.S. IS STILL
REALLY LAGGING BEHIND IN THIS AREA."

RICCIARDONE