SADDAM HUSSEIN'S DEATH; LATIN AMERICA; DEATH OF PINOCHET;

UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 000006

SIPDIS

STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC,
WHA/EPSC
CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL MEDIA REACTION
SUBJECT: SADDAM HUSSEIN'S DEATH; LATIN AMERICA; DEATH OF PINOCHET;
UN REFORM; EVO MORALES IMPOSING A VISA ON US CITIZENS; TRI-BORDER
AREA; 01/03/07; BUENOS AIRES



1. SUMMARY STATEMENT

Weekend papers cover the implications of Saddam Hussein's execution;
the governments of Evo Morales and Hugo Chavez and their influence
on violence in Latin America; the aftermath of Pinochet's death; and
Bolivian President Evo Morales imposing a visa on US citizens who
want to enter Bolivia. Left-of-center "Pagina 12"(12/31) carries an
interview with a sociologist who speaks about the alleged role of
the US media in "demonizing" the Tri-Border area. Daily-of-record
"La Nacion" carries an editorial (01/02) urging the Bush
administration to adopt "a more negotiating and conciliatory
attitude" in order to find a solution in Iraq.


2. OPINION PIECES

- "Saddam's trial, a truly 'anti-Nuremberg' one"

Oscar Raul Cardoso, leading "Clarin's" international analyst, writes
(12/30) "... Saddam Hussein was imprisoned in a US military base
near the Baghdad airport. He was hanged because of one of his
'lesser' crimes - conviction similar to those imposed by him on 148
Shiites from Dujail in 1982.

"His major crimes, the massive killing of Kurds, the torture
procedures implemented in prisons during his regime and other crimes
will never see the light in any court. It is a real paradox that if
Saddam had enjoyed minimal safeguards, his guilt would have come out
even more clearly but was instead darkened by the procedure
adopted.

"The US occupation and the Iraqi government under its protection may
believe that (Saddam's) quick death is a victory to be exhibited
within the framework of destruction, dissolution and fratricide war
that they are unleashing. However, Saddam's execution is barely one
more symbol of the political 'swamp' covering Iraq in 2006."

- "Saddam's execution freed him from another trial that could have
troubled the US"

Nicolas Lantos, international columnist from centrist newspaper
"Perfil" (12/31),writes "Saddam Hussein's death interrupted the
Anfal case, in which the former dictator was charged with having
used chemical weapons against the Kurds during the war on Iran.

"The trial, which started in August, was interrupted several times
under unclear circumstances. If the trial had continued, Saddam's
statements could have brought to the fore the role of the US in
forming its unconventional arsenals. Saddam was also accused in
another six cases."

- "A Western movie"

Marcelo Cantelmi, international editor of leading "Clarin," writes
(12/30) "The Washington Post blamed the USG for the pressure wielded
on Baghdad's authorities to execute (former) dictator Saddam
Hussein.

"Neo-conservatives seem to believe that this lynching will twist the
outcome of opinion polls now that Bush finds himself in an 'abyss'
following his adventure in Iraq.

"Some voices in the Persian Gulf reasonably argued that this insane
decision will bear a political cost within a framework of civil war
and an unprecedented anti-US feeling, but that was only a whisper.
What no one noticed is that this death will fuel the fire even
further.

"... News networks were describing the details of the execution -
big headlines, excited anchormen - everything resembled a
bad-quality Western."

- "The distorted face of peace"

Daily-of-record "La Nacion's" contributor Natalio Botana comments
(12/31) "... Violence in Latin America is not so much the
consequence of the influence of the new prophets of secular or
religious fanaticism, but is rather related to the historical stage
of societies which have not yet been able to establish the values of
tolerance and genuine equality, sound public institutions and a
working civilization to enjoy the common benefits of economic
growth.

"... Last year's most disruptive figures were Hugo Chavez in
Venezuela and Evo Morales in Bolivia. The political fracture that
they brought about is usually emphasized. However, what is not so
frequently mentioned is the fact that those leaderships are based on


a strong need for social inclusion, which (as happens in Bolivia)
has ethnic roots and prompts reaction in administrative departments
or provinces.

"... If they have enough money to build a strong majority like that
obtained by Chavez in recent presidential elections (over 60
percent),hegemonic regimes with objectives of being re-elected can
easily be established that will block the opposition all the time."

- "The funeral of a tyrant"

Daily-of-record "La Nacion" carries an op-ed story by writer Mario
Vargas Llosa, stating (12/30) "... Most Chilean and international
public opinion have already punished Pinochet and he will go down in
history not for having been 'the general who saved Chile from
Communism' but as the 'caudillo' of a tyranny who murdered at least
3,500 opponents, tortured and imprisoned many thousands, sent many
others into exile and brutally ruled for 17 years a country that
used to hold a tradition of lawfulness and exceptional democratic
coexistence within Latin America...

"... A country does not need to go through a dictatorship to
modernize itself and reach welfare. The reforms implemented by a
dictatorship always have a price to be paid in atrocities as well as
ethical and civic consequences that are infinitely much more
expensive than the status quo...

"... Truly enough, all Latin American governments, except Cuba, have
a legitimate origin, including that of Chavez, and also most leftist
administrations respect democracy and cling to the rule of law. This
is obviously positive.

"The problem is that democracy without economic development does not
last long... Populism is an insurmountable obstacle to real progress
even in countries blessed with oil, like Venezuela.

"I wish the tragic history of Allende and Pinochet does not repeat
itself either in Chile or in any other country."

- "The UN reform"

Daily-of-record "La Nacion" (01/02) carries an op-ed piece by Carlos
Duguech, international columnist in Radio Universidad Tucuman, who
says (01/02) "... As rules are now, even if 187 out of 192 UN
members (more than 97 percent) vote for a UN reform, if the five
permanent UN members (the US, France, the UK, China and Russia) do
not unanimously agree, no UN reform will be possible... Therefore, a
peaceful revolution is required and should be undertaken by the
other 187 member-countries if they truly want to strengthen the UN.
And those 187 countries should also be willing to grant the UN the
required strength to accomplish its foundational objective, which is
'maintaining international peace and security.' Such would be
innovative and very necessary steps to eradicate the despotism set
by clauses and privileges. Undoubtedly, such despotism is the reason
for the current deteriorated image of the world institution in spite
of the fact that its performance on other fronts should be
praised."

- "Bolivia imposes visas on Americans"

Pablo Stefanoni, leading "Clarin's" columnist, writes (01/02) "By
implementing the typical reciprocity of diplomacy, President Evo
Morales eliminated yesterday US citizens' rights to freely enter
Bolivia. From now on, they will have to ask for a visa, just as the
hundreds of Bolivians who regularly undergo this sometimes
humiliating procedure...

"As Morales made clear yesterday when signing the decree, it is
almost a personal cause for him. Having been repeatedly accused by
Washington for having ties with narco-trafficking for his condition
of being a coca leader, the current president was able to set foot
on the US only after becoming Bolivia's president. And Bolivian
government officials usually have problems with their US visas.
Alvaro Garcia Linera himself had trouble with his own visa."

- "Tri-Border Area, the myth of a lawless land"

Mariana Carbajal, columnist of left-of-center "Pagina 12," carries
an interview with a sociologist (12/31) "The Tri-Border is covered
with suspicion. In fact, a few years ago, Puerto Iguazu, Foz do
Iguazu and Ciudad del Este stopped being three border cities and
make up now a 'dangerous' region.

"Two sociologists and researchers with CONICET (Consejo Nacional de
Investigacisn Cientfica y Tecnolsgica) (National Council on
Scientific and Technological Research) were determined to find out


when and how this change took place. In an interview with Pagina 12,
one of them, Veronica Gimenez Beliveau, revealed the role of
American media in starting demonizing the region''

Gimenez Belivau commented: 'Starting in 2001, local circumstances
such as the existence of an Arab community since the '70s and
distant events as the September 11 attacks pair up. Then, the
Tri-Border Area comes out as an area with its own characteristics, a
lawless land escaping government controls and becoming the epitomeof both gray
areas' and threatening spaces within the new notion of
the world as a global risk area.'

"'The discourse of the US media defeated those who claim there is
an attempt to obtain possession of natural resources.'"


3. EDITORIALS

- 2007, a year of opportunities"

An editorial in daily-of-record "La Nacion" reads (01/02) "2007 has
been rich in foreign political events that will inexorably mark the
development of the 2007 agenda. The future of the war in Iraq, the
evolution of oil prices, the consolidation of China and the US as
the engine of global growth, the impact of Europe on the political
change in France and the UK, the outcome of the Palestinian and
Lebanese crises and their influence on peace in the Middle East,
and, in our region, the future of Cuba without Fidel Castro are the
central issues of the global scenario for 2007.

"Regarding the US military occupation of Iraq, the Bush
administration will have to temper its stance and adopt a more
negotiating and conciliatory attitude to pave the way for a solution
that will not only take into account the future of Iraq but also US
ties with Iran."

- "Saddam's riddle"

Conservative "La Prensa" editorializes (01/03)"... The decision made
by the USG and Baghdad's 'puppet' government to execute the
imprisoned dictator was condemned by most countries. Pope Benedictus
XVI highlighted that peace starts when life is honored...

"Perhaps, it would have been better to deliver the former president
to The Hague's International Criminal Court, where many cases have
been opened against tyrants... Democracy is the best response by men
ever against the curse of tyranny... We expect that this century
will witness this club of despots as an oddity from the past."

To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our
classified website at:
http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires

WAYNE