Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07BUDAPEST70
2007-01-17 15:34:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Budapest
Cable title:  

MFA ON CUBA, AFGHANISTAN, AND RUSSIAN OIL CUT-OFF

Tags:  PGOV PREL MOPS MARR PHUM KDEM ECON 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0000
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHUP #0070/01 0171534
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 171534Z JAN 07
FM AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0639
INFO RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL 0072
RUEHMD/AMEMBASSY MADRID 0108
RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW 0540
RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS
RUEHUB/USINT HAVANA 0006
C O N F I D E N T I A L BUDAPEST 000070 

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DEPARTMENT PLEASE PASS TO NSC FOR ADAM STERLING

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/11/2012
TAGS: PGOV PREL MOPS MARR PHUM KDEM ECON
SUBJECT: MFA ON CUBA, AFGHANISTAN, AND RUSSIAN OIL CUT-OFF

REF: A) BUDAPEST 45 B) 06 BUDAPEST 2452

Classified By: POL/C ERIC V. GAUDIOSI; REASONS 1.4 (B) AND (D)

C O N F I D E N T I A L BUDAPEST 000070

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DEPARTMENT PLEASE PASS TO NSC FOR ADAM STERLING

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/11/2012
TAGS: PGOV PREL MOPS MARR PHUM KDEM ECON
SUBJECT: MFA ON CUBA, AFGHANISTAN, AND RUSSIAN OIL CUT-OFF

REF: A) BUDAPEST 45 B) 06 BUDAPEST 2452

Classified By: POL/C ERIC V. GAUDIOSI; REASONS 1.4 (B) AND (D)


1. (C) Summary: Ambassador Foley met with MFA State
Secretary Varkonyi January 11 to review the state of play on

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key issues following her return from the EUR Chiefs of
Mission Conference. Varkonyi outlined GoH initiatives to
promote a democratic transition in Cuba, including the
addition of embassy staff in Havana, emphasizing the GoH's
commitment to continued activism despite clear signs of
displeasure from the Cuban regime. On Afghanistan, he
described continued interagency friction in coordinating PRT
efforts but expects the GoH to have additional projects up
and running by March at the latest. Turning briefly to the
recent cut-off of oil from Russia, he expressed "shock" over
Moscow's action and noted the GoH's recognition that
"alternate sources are ultimately the only leverage." End
Summary.

CUBA: "ON THE JOB"


2. (C) Following discussion of the President's New Way
Forward in Iraq (ref a),Varkonyi welcomed word of Secretary
Rice's praise for Hungary during discussion of Cuba at the
recent EUR Chiefs of Mission Conference. He indicated that
FM Goncz would likely be "receptive" to making public remarks
at the time of Castro's passing, and emphasized that he is
available "24 hours a day." He also questioned the
Ambassador closely to see if our inquiry was driven by "any
specific intelligence" regarding Castro's condition, but
accepted our response that the international community should
be preparing now to act in the post-Castro environment.


3. (C) Given the uncertainty regarding Castro's condition,
Varkonyi noted that the GoH had decided to postpone
consideration of a follow-up to the recent Coral Gables
conference for "4 - 6 weeks." This period will also allow

the GoH to gauge Cuban reaction to their agrement request for
their new Ambassador, which he expected to move forward next
week. If Havana does not act in "the normal time frame," it
will represent another shot across the bow following their
cancellation of the November meeting of the Hungary-Cuba
Joint Economic Group and their more recent decision to
withdraw their Ambassador from Budapest. Varkonyi added that
this move had been framed as a "normal rotation," but has
little doubt that it is another indicator of Havana's concern
regarding Hungary's activism. So, he continued, is the
increased surveillance of the Hungarian Embassy in Havana.


4. (C) Nevertheless, he continued, the Hungarian Embassy
continues its engagement on the ground, most recently
donating office equipment (including DVD players) to the
Cuban opposition. He advised that the GoH will add another
officer to its embassy staff in Havana in February, and is
prepared to send one more this summer. He expressed
particular appreciation at the Secretary's recognition that
"we are on the job."


5. (C) He expressed less satisfaction with the EU's
position, noting Spain had not demonstrated "the ambition to
go with its influence." He expects Cuba to feature
prominently in the upcoming meeting of the EU's Latin
American forum.

AFGHANISTAN: FORWARD PROGRESS AND FRUSTRATION


6. (C) Turning to Afghanistan, Varkonyi predicted that the
MFA will shortly have its development proposals finalized and
believes that implementation efforts will begin on March 1
"at the latest." He underscored that projects in Afghanistan
will receive two-thirds of Hungary's entire international
development budget, and noted that the GoH plans to designate
a "facilitating partner" from the NGO community to supervise
projects on the ground rather than "trying to supervise
things from Budapest."


7. (C) Despite this progress, Varkonyi conceded that the
GoH's inter-governmental committee on Afghanistan is still
the site of "differing interests and priorities." The MoD
tends to see security as the preeminent concern, and the
Prime Minister's office remains the source of frustration,
particularly in their resistance to "letting the MFA take on
the coordinating role." Varkonyi looked forward to upcoming
PRT training in Hungary to be provided by USAID and agreed on
the importance of assembling the right attendees.
ENERGY SECURITY: MFA AWARE ... BUT NOT RESPONSIBLE


8. (C) Commenting on the brief cut-off of oil supplies from
Russia and responding to Ambassador Foley's observation that
diversification of sources represents "the only real
leverage," Varkonyi agreed that "even a blind man can see
what Russia has in mind." He admitted that the GoH was in a
"state of shock" following the recent cut-off, and remained
"very serious" about pursuing other sources of energy and
capitalizing on the EU's growing awareness of the problem.
He had travelled to Qatar and Libya recently - accompanied by
officials from the Hungarian Oil Company - and noted that FM
Goncz would be in the Middle East next month. He was at
pains to emphasize, however, that energy policy is not in the
MFA's purview.

BILATERAL ISSUES: FROM TRAVEL TO TRAFFICKING


9. (C) Concluding with a brief review of bilateral issues,
Varkonyi reviewed upcoming travel including Parliamentary
Speaker Szili's upcoming trip to the U.S., the NATO
Ministerial Meeting "pencilled in" on FM Goncz's schedule,
and trips to the region by EUR and DHS officials. With
respect to the Visa Waiver Program, he expressed strong
reservations re the prospect of hiring a lobbying firm to
represent the GoH in Washington, underscoring his "faith in
the President's remarks in Tallinn" and confidence in the
existing framework. He noted the upcoming TIP report and
emphasized Hungary's "ambition to reach the highest
category."




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