Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07BRUSSELS2199
2007-07-06 11:27:00
UNCLASSIFIED
USEU Brussels
Cable title:  

UNEMPLOYMENT DOWN TO 7.0 PERCENT IN

Tags:  ELAB EUN 
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VZCZCXRO4937
RR RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDBU RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA
RUEHLN RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHBS #2199/01 1871127
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 061127Z JUL 07 ZDK
FM USEU BRUSSELS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC
RUEHC/DOL WASHDC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BRUSSELS 002199 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DOL FOR BLS AND ILAB
TREASURY FOR IMI
STATE FOR DRL/IL

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ELAB EUN
SUBJECT: UNEMPLOYMENT DOWN TO 7.0 PERCENT IN
BOTH EU-27 AND EURO AREA


UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BRUSSELS 002199

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DOL FOR BLS AND ILAB
TREASURY FOR IMI
STATE FOR DRL/IL

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ELAB EUN
SUBJECT: UNEMPLOYMENT DOWN TO 7.0 PERCENT IN
BOTH EU-27 AND EURO AREA



1. SUMMARY. The aggregate unemployment rate
for both the EU-27 and the euro area (the
thirteen EU countries participating in the
euro) reached 7.0 percent in May 2007,
according to data published by the EU
Commission's Statistical Office (EUROSTAT) on
July 3. The figures confirmed the downward
trend in EU unemployment over the past 12
months. END SUMMARY.


2. With seasonal adjustment and compensation
for differences in national statistical
methods, the unemployment rate in both the EU-
27 and the euro zone stood at 7.0 percent in
May 2007. The figures were down 0.1 percentage
point from the April 2007 rate for both areas.
In May 2006 (corresponding month of the
previous year) the unemployment rate stood at
8.0 percent for the EU-27 and at 7.9 percent
for the euro area. The month-to-month
decreases confirmed the overall improvement in
EU unemployment figures.


3. The country-by-country analysis revealed a
more nuanced picture. The lowest rates
compiled from the EU-27 for May 2007 were
recorded in the Netherlands (3.2 percent),
Denmark (3.3 percent),Ireland (4.1 percent)
and Cyprus (4.2 percent). The highest rates
were recorded in Slovakia (10.8 percent) and
Poland (10.5 percent -- no longer the highest
rate among EU countries since its accession in
2004).


4. EUROSTAT noted that twenty-two countries
among the EU-27 recorded a decrease in their
unemployment rate over a year, four an
increase, while the unemployment rate was
stable in Romania. The most significant
decreases (May-to-May comparison) occurred in
Poland (14.2 percent to 10.5 percent),Denmark
(4.2 percent to 3.3 percent) and Bulgaria (9.2
percent to 7.2 percent). The highest relative
increases were recorded in Hungary (from 7.3
percent to 7.7 percent) and Luxembourg (from
4.6 percent to 4.8 percent).


5. Based on EUROSTAT estimates, male
unemployment reached 6.2 percent in May 2007
for the EU-27 and 5.9 percent for the euro
zone, down by 1.1 percentage point and 0.9
percentage point respectively when compared to
May 2006. The female rate over the same period
decreased to 8.0 percent for the EU-27 and to
8.4 percent for the euro zone (minus 0.9
percentage point in both areas).


6. Unemployment rates among young people under
25 (May 2007 estimates, unless otherwise noted)
ranged from 5.7 percent in the Netherlands and
6.4 percent in Denmark to 24.6 percent in
Greece (first quarter of 2007),22.1 percent in
Poland, and 21.9 percent in both France and
Romania. The rate for this age group in May
2007 was estimated at 15.9 percent for the EU-
27 and 15.3 percent for the euro zone, compared
to 17.5 percent (minus 1.6 percentage point)
and 16.6 percent (minus 1.3 percentage point)
respectively in May 2006.


7. EUROSTAT estimated that 16.4 million were
unemployed in the EU-27 in May 2007 (10.4
million in the euro zone). Following is the
breakdown of unemployment rates in ascending
order for the individual EU member states:

(Seasonally-adjusted)
(May 2007 unless otherwise indicated)

Netherlands 3.2
Denmark 3.3
Ireland 4.1
Cyprus 4.2
Austria 4.4
Luxembourg 4.8
Lithuania 4.9

BRUSSELS 00002199 002 OF 002


Slovenia 5.1
Estonia 5.2
UK 5.4 (March 2007)
Czech Republic 5.7
Latvia 5.9
Italy 6.2 (first quarter 2007)
Sweden 6.2 (provisional)
Malta 6.5
Germany 6.6 (provisional)
Finland 6.6
Bulgaria 7.2
Romania 7.3
Belgium 7.4
Hungary 7.7
Portugal 7.9
Spain 8.2
Greece 8.6 (first quarter 2007)
France 8.7 (see note below)
Poland 10.5
Slovakia 10.8
Euro zone 7.0
EU-27 7.0

Note: Estimates for France are based on results
of the Labor Force Survey that are provisional
and may be subject to revision later this year.


8. The monthly rates and numbers of unemployed
are estimated and based on data from the EU
labor force survey. The estimated rates may
differ from national unemployment rates due to
differences in methods and definitions of
unemployment. Unemployed people according to
ILO criteria are those aged 15 and over who:

-- Are without work;

-- Are available to start work within the
next two weeks; and

-- Have actively sought employment at some
time during the previous four weeks.

GRAY